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Stochastically compute random effects for MixedClass objects with Metropolis-Hastings samplers and averaging over the draws to obtain expected a posteriori predictions. Returns a list of the estimated effects.

Usage

randef(x, ndraws = 1000, thin = 10, return.draws = FALSE)

Arguments

x

an estimated model object from the mixedmirt function

ndraws

total number of draws to perform. Default is 1000

thin

amount of thinning to apply. Default is to use every 10th draw

return.draws

logical; return a list containing the thinned draws of the posterior?

References

Chalmers, R., P. (2012). mirt: A Multidimensional Item Response Theory Package for the R Environment. Journal of Statistical Software, 48(6), 1-29.

Chalmers, R. P. (2015). Extended Mixed-Effects Item Response Models with the MH-RM Algorithm. Journal of Educational Measurement, 52, 200-222. doi:10.1111/jedm.12072 doi:10.18637/jss.v048.i06

Author

Phil Chalmers rphilip.chalmers@gmail.com

Examples

# \donttest{
# make an arbitrary groups
covdat <- data.frame(group = rep(paste0('group', 1:49), each=nrow(Science)/49))

# partial credit model
mod <- mixedmirt(Science, covdat, model=1, random = ~ 1|group)
#> 
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -2033.5, AR(1.64) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -2049.6, AR(1.64) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -2028.4, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -2026.6, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1915
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -2043.7, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.1573
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -2022.4, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1007
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -1980.3, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0881
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -2001.3, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0682
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -2001.9, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0656
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -1992.8, AR(1.64) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0356
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -2012.9, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0255
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -2024.6, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0751
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -2007.2, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0268
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -1995.1, AR(1.64) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0304
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -1997.2, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0229
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -1993.9, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0200
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -1998.8, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0445
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -1993.3, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0308
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -1993.4, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0444
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -1962.8, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0135
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -1984.4, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0410
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -2012.5, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0253
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -2008.3, AR(1.64) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0290
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -2000.6, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -2002.8, AR(1.64) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0171
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -1986.9, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0140
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -1981.5, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -1981.1, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0350
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -1989.0, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0598
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -2005.0, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -1967.3, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -1991.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0261
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -1994.8, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0297
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -1981.2, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -1973.8, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -2001.8, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0281
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -1994.1, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -1998.4, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0302
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -2004.0, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0417
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -1973.4, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0215
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -1990.5, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0501
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -2014.0, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -1994.0, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0388
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -1970.3, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0248
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -1997.2, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0528
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -1964.9, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0227
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -1977.2, AR(1.64) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0224
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -1978.0, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0226
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -1990.3, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -1962.7, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -1991.2, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -2003.4, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0254
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -1973.9, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -1989.3, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0231
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -2009.0, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0188
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -1988.4, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0261
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -2001.1, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0165
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -1994.4, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -1981.7, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0445
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -1979.0, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0255
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -1995.1, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0269
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -1988.2, AR(1.64) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -1981.6, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0410
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -2001.1, AR(1.64) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -1997.7, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -1978.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -1979.2, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -2002.8, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0495
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -1982.5, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0382
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -1969.5, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0194
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -1995.1, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0273
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -1998.4, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0555
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -1981.3, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -2013.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0238
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -1976.3, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -1988.1, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0371
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -1996.7, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -1996.1, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0414
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -1978.6, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -1972.1, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0294
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -2001.6, AR(1.64) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0270
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -1997.7, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0228
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -1986.8, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -1971.8, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0323
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -1979.4, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0277
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -1992.7, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -1962.2, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -1979.9, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0214
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -1974.6, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0300
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -1981.3, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0302
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -1973.2, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0401
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -1989.6, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -1999.2, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0820
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -1977.5, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -1971.5, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -1997.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0619
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -1966.0, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0539
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -1973.6, AR(1.64) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -1990.4, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -1989.7, AR(1.53) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -1981.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0472
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -1966.5, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.47; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -1982.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.54; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0999
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -1973.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0248
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -1997.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.46; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0933
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -1967.3, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.45; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -1969.5, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.27], Max-Change = 0.0784
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -1971.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.47; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -2009.8, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.29], Max-Change = 0.0312
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -2008.5, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.29], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -1981.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0667
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -1982.2, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.52; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0366
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -1984.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.54; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.1640
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -1972.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.50; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0398
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -1989.5, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -1992.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.50; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0223
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -2001.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0374
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -1990.8, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.46; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -2011.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -1980.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0348
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -1992.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -1988.2, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.44; 0.27], Max-Change = 0.0261
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -2013.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.1477
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -1994.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.53; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0443
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -2018.6, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -2000.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.47; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -1990.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.53; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0168
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -1974.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.53; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0444
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -2016.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -1999.5, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -2011.7, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0231
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -2012.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.55; 0.08], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -1990.6, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.52; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0231
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -2002.5, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.47; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -1990.7, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.53; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -2001.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0440
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -2033.8, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.53; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0320
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -2006.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.50; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0238
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -1991.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0408
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -2010.7, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -1974.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.50; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0251
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -1986.8, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0223
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -2010.3, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.50; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -1989.8, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.02], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -1981.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.53; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0245
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -2003.6, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -1989.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0256
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -1971.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.50; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -2020.7, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0316
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -1995.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0363
Stage 1 = 151, CDLL = -1996.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0302
Stage 1 = 152, CDLL = -1996.6, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.08], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 153, CDLL = -1999.6, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.47; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0356
Stage 1 = 154, CDLL = -1976.6, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.55; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0298
Stage 1 = 155, CDLL = -2001.8, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.08], Max-Change = 0.0329
Stage 1 = 156, CDLL = -2005.3, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.08], Max-Change = 0.0517
Stage 1 = 157, CDLL = -2005.6, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.52; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0219
Stage 1 = 158, CDLL = -2000.8, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.54; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 159, CDLL = -1990.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 1 = 160, CDLL = -1985.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.53; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0283
Stage 1 = 161, CDLL = -1991.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0234
Stage 1 = 162, CDLL = -1999.2, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0235
Stage 1 = 163, CDLL = -1992.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.55; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0381
Stage 1 = 164, CDLL = -1996.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0311
Stage 1 = 165, CDLL = -1971.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.50; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0693
Stage 1 = 166, CDLL = -1980.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.50; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0397
Stage 1 = 167, CDLL = -1974.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.53; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0596
Stage 1 = 168, CDLL = -1954.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.08], Max-Change = 0.0471
Stage 1 = 169, CDLL = -1987.3, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.47; 0.02], Max-Change = 0.0343
Stage 1 = 170, CDLL = -1970.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.53; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0371
Stage 1 = 171, CDLL = -1984.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.52; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0371
Stage 1 = 172, CDLL = -1995.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 173, CDLL = -1996.4, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.47; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0327
Stage 1 = 174, CDLL = -1989.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.53; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 1 = 175, CDLL = -1981.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0242
Stage 1 = 176, CDLL = -1991.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.52; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0370
Stage 1 = 177, CDLL = -1988.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.50; 0.08], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 1 = 178, CDLL = -1982.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.52; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0365
Stage 1 = 179, CDLL = -1985.2, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.47; 0.02], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 180, CDLL = -1976.5, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.51; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0242
Stage 1 = 181, CDLL = -2011.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 1 = 182, CDLL = -1986.6, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.52; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0203
Stage 1 = 183, CDLL = -1998.2, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0343
Stage 1 = 184, CDLL = -1978.5, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.52; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0251
Stage 1 = 185, CDLL = -1988.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.54; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0231
Stage 1 = 186, CDLL = -1989.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.47; 0.02], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 187, CDLL = -2004.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.52; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 188, CDLL = -2000.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.50; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0328
Stage 1 = 189, CDLL = -1988.7, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0212
Stage 1 = 190, CDLL = -1984.3, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.53; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 1 = 191, CDLL = -2005.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.47; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0260
Stage 1 = 192, CDLL = -1972.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.52; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 193, CDLL = -1997.1, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.49; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 1 = 194, CDLL = -1997.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 1 = 195, CDLL = -1978.6, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.54; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 196, CDLL = -1971.3, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0552
Stage 1 = 197, CDLL = -2002.7, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 1 = 198, CDLL = -1973.0, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.52; 0.04], Max-Change = 0.0305
Stage 1 = 199, CDLL = -1997.9, AR(1.53; 4.08) = [0.48; 0.02], Max-Change = 0.0174
Stage 1 = 200, CDLL = -1964.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0232
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -1998.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0176
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -1987.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.63], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -1966.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0257
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -1966.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0202
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -1971.0, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0191
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -1972.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.82], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -1999.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.63], Max-Change = 0.0236
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -1976.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -1998.3, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -1970.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0412
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -1977.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.82], Max-Change = 0.0324
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -1975.0, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0294
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -2006.0, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -1980.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0159
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -1996.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.46; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0174
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -1975.3, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -1969.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0290
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -1988.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0222
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -1994.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.82], Max-Change = 0.0331
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -1987.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.84], Max-Change = 0.0446
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -2017.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0547
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -1981.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0381
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -2003.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0320
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -1969.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0527
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -1955.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0478
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -1974.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0351
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -1971.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0380
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -1994.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0211
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -1991.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -1958.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0547
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -1986.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -1997.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -2030.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -2022.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.61], Max-Change = 0.0393
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -1990.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -1993.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -1978.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0199
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -1980.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.63], Max-Change = 0.0740
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -1971.3, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -1982.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0230
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -1992.0, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0285
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -2009.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.46; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -2007.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -1987.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.45; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0257
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -1999.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -1995.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0203
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -1967.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0119
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -1997.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.59], Max-Change = 0.0317
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -1974.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -1973.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0327
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -1975.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0362
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -1983.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.61], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -1960.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -1949.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0571
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -1977.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0288
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -1963.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0133
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -1982.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0365
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -2004.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -1965.3, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0135
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -2019.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0211
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -1999.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0368
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -1983.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -1981.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0265
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -1983.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -1992.3, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.63], Max-Change = 0.0203
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -1969.3, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0366
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -1989.0, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0227
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -1966.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.63], Max-Change = 0.0356
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -1989.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.61], Max-Change = 0.0329
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -1968.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0566
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -2002.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -1961.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -1985.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.57], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -2015.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.57], Max-Change = 0.0133
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -1985.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0307
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -1965.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0247
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -1968.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -1985.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0221
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -1984.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -1983.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0242
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -1963.3, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.84], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -1979.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.45; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0228
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -1975.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -1975.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.86], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -1967.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.86], Max-Change = 0.0293
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -1985.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0277
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -1958.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -1979.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0471
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -1984.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -1998.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0236
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -1974.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0284
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -1969.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.86], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -1966.0, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0189
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -1982.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -1966.0, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0253
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -1974.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0429
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -1994.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -1965.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0276
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -1972.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0364
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -1980.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -1965.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.82], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -2005.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.59], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0217
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -1966.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.73], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -1972.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.76], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -1990.0, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.67], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -1974.0, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.71], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -1989.0, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.73], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -2001.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.80], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -1962.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.73], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -1961.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.82], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -1973.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.69], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -1988.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.55], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -1999.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.65], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -1994.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.67], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -1998.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.65], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -1980.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.69], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -2004.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.63], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -1987.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.73], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -1978.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.45; 0.61], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -1979.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.78], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -1984.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.73], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -1997.7, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.55], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -1982.3, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.69], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -1995.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.67], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -1981.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.71], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -1978.9, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.80], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -1977.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.71], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 28, CDLL = -1978.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.73], gam = 0.0150, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 29, CDLL = -1969.3, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.78], gam = 0.0146, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 30, CDLL = -1973.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.45; 0.76], gam = 0.0142, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 31, CDLL = -1995.8, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.59], gam = 0.0139, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 32, CDLL = -1983.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.73], gam = 0.0135, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 33, CDLL = -1979.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.73], gam = 0.0132, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 34, CDLL = -1983.0, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.65], gam = 0.0129, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 35, CDLL = -1985.6, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.69], gam = 0.0126, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 36, CDLL = -1983.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.69], gam = 0.0124, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 37, CDLL = -1976.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.67], gam = 0.0121, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 38, CDLL = -1996.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.57], gam = 0.0119, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 39, CDLL = -1978.1, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.67], gam = 0.0116, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 40, CDLL = -2001.4, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.65], gam = 0.0114, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 41, CDLL = -1977.5, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.47; 0.76], gam = 0.0112, Max-Change = 0.0003
Stage 3 = 42, CDLL = -2003.2, AR(2.82; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.63], gam = 0.0110, Max-Change = 0.0009

#> 
#> Calculating information matrix...
#> 
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(mod)
#> 
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = Science, covdata = covdat, model = 1, random = ~1 | 
#>     group)
#> 
#> 
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#> 
#> $Theta
#>      F1
#> F1 0.95
#> 
#> $group
#>           COV_group
#> COV_group    0.0185
#> 

effects <- randef(mod, ndraws = 2000, thin = 20)
head(effects$Theta)
#>              F1
#> [1,]  0.4747504
#> [2,]  0.1044589
#> [3,] -0.6365348
#> [4,] -0.6329222
#> [5,]  0.1750058
#> [6,]  0.9019217
head(effects$group)
#>                group
#> group1  0.0377102255
#> group2 -0.0145183641
#> group3 -0.0006203214
#> group4 -0.0071373780
#> group5 -0.0062500201
#> group6 -0.0550196725

# lr.random input
mod2 <- mixedmirt(Science, covdat, model=1, lr.random = ~ 1|group)
#> 
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -2033.5, AR(1.64) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -2049.6, AR(1.64) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -2028.4, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -2026.6, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1915
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -2043.7, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.1573
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -2022.4, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1007
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -1980.3, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0881
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -2001.3, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0682
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -2001.9, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0656
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -1992.8, AR(1.64) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0356
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -2012.9, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0255
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -2024.6, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0751
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -2007.2, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0268
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -1995.1, AR(1.64) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0304
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -1997.2, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0229
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -1993.9, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0200
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -1998.8, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0445
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -1993.3, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0308
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -1993.4, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0444
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -1962.8, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0135
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -1984.4, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0410
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -2012.5, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0253
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -2008.3, AR(1.64) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0290
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -2000.6, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -2002.8, AR(1.64) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0171
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -1986.9, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0140
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -1981.5, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -1981.1, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0350
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -1989.0, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0598
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -2005.0, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -1967.3, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -1991.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0261
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -1994.8, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0297
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -1981.2, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -1973.8, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -2001.8, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0281
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -1994.1, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -1998.4, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0302
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -2004.0, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0417
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -1973.4, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0215
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -1990.5, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0501
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -2014.0, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -1994.0, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0388
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -1970.3, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0248
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -1997.2, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0528
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -1964.9, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0227
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -1977.2, AR(1.64) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0224
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -1978.0, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0226
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -1990.3, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -1962.7, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -1991.2, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -2003.4, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0254
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -1973.9, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -1989.3, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0231
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -2009.0, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0188
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -1988.4, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0261
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -2001.1, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0165
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -1994.4, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -1981.7, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0445
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -1979.0, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0255
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -1995.1, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0269
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -1988.2, AR(1.64) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -1981.6, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0410
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -2001.1, AR(1.64) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -1997.7, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -1978.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -1979.2, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -2002.8, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0495
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -1982.5, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0382
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -1969.5, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0194
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -1995.1, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0273
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -1998.4, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0555
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -1981.3, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -2013.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0238
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -1976.3, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -1988.1, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0371
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -1996.7, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -1996.1, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0414
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -1978.6, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -1972.1, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0294
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -2001.6, AR(1.64) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0270
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -1997.7, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0228
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -1986.8, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -1971.8, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0323
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -1979.4, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0277
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -1992.7, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -1962.2, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -1979.9, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0214
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -1974.6, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0300
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -1981.3, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0302
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -1973.2, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0401
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -1989.6, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -1999.2, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0820
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -1977.5, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -1971.5, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -1997.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0619
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -1966.0, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0539
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -1973.6, AR(1.64) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -1990.4, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -2238.0, AR(1.51) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1899
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -2234.6, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.52; 0.55], Max-Change = 0.1933
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -2096.3, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.52; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.1280
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -2059.8, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.53; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.1086
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -2022.6, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.52; 0.53], Max-Change = 0.0546
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -2029.2, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.49; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0750
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -2022.8, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.50; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.1542
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -1997.8, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.50; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.1966
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -1995.3, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.49; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -2012.7, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.52; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0711
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -2005.0, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.51; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0324
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -1989.1, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.53; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -1997.9, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.54; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0462
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -2003.1, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.49; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0279
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -2005.3, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.54; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0309
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -2002.7, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.52; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0194
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -2002.0, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.51; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0733
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -2033.1, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.50; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.1374
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -2006.2, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.52; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0180
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -2018.7, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.52; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0347
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -1999.4, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.51; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.1197
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -2024.9, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.54; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -2019.7, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.50; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -2030.8, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.53; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0380
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -2015.7, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.52; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0629
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -2022.8, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.53; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -2013.3, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.48; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0315
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -2002.3, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.54; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0404
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -2008.4, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.55; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0238
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -2042.5, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.51; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0206
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -2030.9, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.51; 0.27], Max-Change = 0.0161
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -2025.6, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.53; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0327
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -2027.8, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.59; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0365
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -2020.0, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.54; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -2019.3, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.51; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0540
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -1986.1, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.51; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0262
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -2016.4, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.49; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0420
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -2058.7, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.55; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -2013.3, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.49; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0219
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -2023.3, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.51; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0658
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -2029.4, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.52; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0245
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -2014.6, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.50; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0234
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -1996.2, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.50; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0276
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -2005.7, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.49; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0224
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -2017.1, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.52; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0245
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -2025.2, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.53; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0237
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -2003.0, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.55; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -1989.2, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.49; 0.55], Max-Change = 0.0427
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -1985.3, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.54; 0.51], Max-Change = 0.0290
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -2025.0, AR(1.51; 0.11) = [0.49; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0313
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -2010.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0370
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -1988.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0373
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -1993.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.82], Max-Change = 0.0347
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -2011.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0522
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -1995.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0189
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -2000.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -1984.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0195
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -1998.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0284
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -1990.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0366
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -2000.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0176
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -1997.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0289
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -1987.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0262
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -1992.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0490
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -1987.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.63], Max-Change = 0.0336
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -2014.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.59], Max-Change = 0.0446
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -1991.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.59], Max-Change = 0.0192
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -2010.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0195
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -1975.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0348
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -1982.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0537
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -1968.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0329
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -1995.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0317
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -1985.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0398
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -1955.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0264
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -1973.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0277
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -1991.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0317
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -1974.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0294
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -2022.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.63], Max-Change = 0.0340
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -2000.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0406
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -1970.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0338
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -1997.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -2005.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0254
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -2007.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -1970.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.82], Max-Change = 0.0878
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -2000.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.57], Max-Change = 0.0468
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -1966.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0329
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -1966.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0246
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -1959.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.82], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -1966.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0205
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -1981.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0308
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -1984.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -1980.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0359
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -1963.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0225
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -1963.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -1996.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0261
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -1975.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0228
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -1973.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.61], Max-Change = 0.0223
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -1981.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0326
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -1967.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0343
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -1974.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0368
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -1963.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.63], Max-Change = 0.0338
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -1975.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -1985.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -1990.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -1968.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.63], Max-Change = 0.0453
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -1953.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0249
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -1946.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0423
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -1971.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.67], Max-Change = 0.0133
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -1983.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -1973.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0289
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -1977.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0234
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -1960.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0390
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -1960.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.88], Max-Change = 0.0520
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -1969.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0172
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -2005.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.57], Max-Change = 0.0222
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -1967.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0316
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -1986.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -1983.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -1963.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.84], Max-Change = 0.0311
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -1986.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0140
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -1981.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0150
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -1964.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.84], Max-Change = 0.0247
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -1982.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -1961.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0261
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -1972.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0283
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -1961.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0419
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -1950.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0289
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -1964.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -1953.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.78], Max-Change = 0.0154
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -1967.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0470
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -1971.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0236
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -1942.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0899
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -1987.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0252
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -1977.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -1986.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -1983.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.57], Max-Change = 0.0292
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -1967.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.61], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -1956.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0314
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -1964.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.84], Max-Change = 0.0378
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -1957.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0465
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -1958.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0288
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -1966.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.61], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -1936.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.86], Max-Change = 0.0226
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -1956.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.69], Max-Change = 0.0142
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -1957.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.73], Max-Change = 0.0498
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -1970.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -1971.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.63], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -1932.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -1935.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.76], Max-Change = 0.0520
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -1947.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.63], Max-Change = 0.0221
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -1952.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.71], Max-Change = 0.0362
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -1968.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.61], Max-Change = 0.0481
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -1978.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.73], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -1965.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.67], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -1966.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.84], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0270
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -1955.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.76], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -2000.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.69], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -1957.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.73], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -1975.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.67], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -1974.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.65], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -1964.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.80], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -2003.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.67], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -2000.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.71], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -1989.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.65], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -1979.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.69], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -1948.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.82], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -1961.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.71], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -1970.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.71], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -1974.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.69], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -1984.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.73], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -1965.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.71], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -1970.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.65], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -1994.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.57], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -1961.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.67], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -1984.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.55], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -2006.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.57], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -1977.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.69], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -1969.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.73], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -1978.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.78], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 28, CDLL = -1988.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.73], gam = 0.0150, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 29, CDLL = -1983.0, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.82], gam = 0.0146, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 30, CDLL = -1972.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.73], gam = 0.0142, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 31, CDLL = -1962.2, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.84], gam = 0.0139, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 32, CDLL = -1975.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.73], gam = 0.0135, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 33, CDLL = -1970.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.71], gam = 0.0132, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 34, CDLL = -1981.1, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.67], gam = 0.0129, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 35, CDLL = -1970.3, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.76], gam = 0.0126, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 36, CDLL = -1973.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.71], gam = 0.0124, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 37, CDLL = -1957.7, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.71], gam = 0.0121, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 38, CDLL = -1976.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.71], gam = 0.0119, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 39, CDLL = -1969.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.69], gam = 0.0116, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 40, CDLL = -1968.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.73], gam = 0.0114, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 41, CDLL = -1956.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.84], gam = 0.0112, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 42, CDLL = -1974.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.82], gam = 0.0110, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 43, CDLL = -1958.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.80], gam = 0.0108, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 44, CDLL = -1970.6, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.82], gam = 0.0106, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 45, CDLL = -1948.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.82], gam = 0.0104, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 46, CDLL = -1958.8, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.82], gam = 0.0102, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 47, CDLL = -1969.9, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.84], gam = 0.0101, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 48, CDLL = -1964.4, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.82], gam = 0.0099, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 49, CDLL = -1962.5, AR(3.51; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.82], gam = 0.0098, Max-Change = 0.0005

#> 
#> Calculating information matrix...
#> 
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(mod2)
#> 
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = Science, covdata = covdat, model = 1, lr.random = ~1 | 
#>     group)
#> 
#> 
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#> 
#> $Theta
#>       F1
#> F1 0.969
#> 
#> 
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#> 
#> $group
#>           COV_group
#> COV_group     0.284
#> 

effects <- randef(mod2, ndraws = 2000)
head(effects$Theta)
#>              F1
#> [1,]  0.5926779
#> [2,]  0.1519506
#> [3,] -0.7680430
#> [4,] -0.7047707
#> [5,]  0.1081905
#> [6,]  1.0414721
head(effects$group)
#>             group
#> group1  0.0118515
#> group2 -0.1216591
#> group3 -0.3711286
#> group4 -0.2623057
#> group5  0.1436017
#> group6 -0.2339290

# }