mixedmirt fits MIRT models using FIML estimation to dichotomous and polytomous
IRT models conditional on fixed and random effect of person and item level covariates.
This can also be understood as 'explanatory IRT' if only fixed effects are modeled, or
multilevel/mixed IRT if random and fixed effects are included. The method uses the MH-RM
algorithm exclusively. Additionally, computation of the log-likelihood can be sped up by
using parallel estimation via mirtCluster.
Usage
mixedmirt(
data,
covdata = NULL,
model = 1,
fixed = ~1,
random = NULL,
itemtype = "Rasch",
lr.fixed = ~1,
lr.random = NULL,
itemdesign = NULL,
constrain = NULL,
pars = NULL,
return.design = FALSE,
SE = TRUE,
internal_constraints = TRUE,
technical = list(SEtol = 1e-04),
...
)Arguments
- data
a
matrixordata.framethat consists of numerically ordered data, organized in the form of integers, with missing data coded asNA- covdata
a
data.framethat consists of thenrow(data)byK'person level' fixed and random predictors. If missing data are present in this object then the observations fromcovdataanddatawill be removed row-wise via therowSums(is.na(covdata)) > 0- model
an object returned from, or a string to be passed to,
mirt.model()to declare how the IRT model is to be estimated. Seemirt.modelandmirtfor more detail- fixed
a right sided R formula for specifying the fixed effect (aka 'explanatory') predictors from
covdataanditemdesign. To estimate the intercepts for each item the keyworditemsis reserved and automatically added to theitemdesigninput. If any polytomous items are being model theitemsare argument is not valid since all intercept parameters are freely estimated and identified with the parameterizations found inmirt, and the first column in the fixed design matrix (commonly the intercept or a reference group) is omitted- random
a right sided formula or list of formulas containing crossed random effects of the form
v1 + ... v_n | G, whereGis the grouping variable andv_nare random numeric predictors within each group. If no intercept value is specified then by default the correlations between thev's andGare estimated, but can be suppressed by including the~ -1 + ...or 0 constant.Gmay contain interaction terms, such asgroup:itemsto include cross or person-level interactions effects- itemtype
same as itemtype in
mirt, except when thefixedorrandominputs are used does not support the following item types:c('PC2PL', 'PC3PL', '2PLNRM', '3PLNRM', '3PLuNRM', '4PLNRM')- lr.fixed
an R formula (or list of formulas) to specify regression effects in the latent variables from the variables in
covdata. This is used to construct models such as the so-called 'latent regression model' to explain person-level ability/trait differences. If a named list of formulas is supplied (where the names correspond to the latent trait names inmodel) then specific regression effects can be estimated for each factor. Supplying a single formula will estimate the regression parameters for all latent traits by default.- lr.random
a list of random effect terms for modeling variability in the latent trait scores, where the syntax uses the same style as in the
randomargument. Useful for building so-called 'multilevel IRT' models which are non-Rasch (multilevel Rasch models do not technically require these because they can be built using thefixedandrandominputs alone)- itemdesign
a
data.frameobject used to create a design matrix for the items, where eachnrow(itemdesign) == nitemsand the number of columns is equal to the number of fixed effect predictors (i.e., item intercepts). By default anitemsvariable is reserved for modeling the item intercept parameters- constrain
a list indicating parameter equality constrains. See
mirtfor more detail- pars
used for parameter starting values. See
mirtfor more detail- return.design
logical; return the design matrices before they have (potentially) been reassigned?
- SE
logical; compute the standard errors by approximating the information matrix using the MHRM algorithm? Default is TRUE
- internal_constraints
logical; use the internally defined constraints for constraining effects across persons and items? Default is TRUE. Setting this to FALSE runs the risk of under-identification
- technical
the technical list passed to the MH-RM estimation engine, with the SEtol default increased to .0001. Additionally, the argument
RANDSTARTis available to indicate at which iteration (during the burn-in stage) the additional random effect variables should begin to be approximated (i.e., elements inlr.randomandrandom). The default forRANDSTARTis to start at iteration 100, and when random effects are included the default number of burn-in iterations is increased from 150 to 200. Seemirtfor further details- ...
additional arguments to be passed to the MH-RM estimation engine. See
mirtfor more details and examples
Value
function returns an object of class MixedClass
(MixedClass-class).
Details
For dichotomous response models, mixedmirt follows the general form
$$P(x = 1|\theta, \psi) = g + \frac{(u - g)}{1 + exp(-1 * [\theta a + X \beta + Z \delta])}$$
where X is a design matrix with associated \(\beta\) fixed effect intercept coefficients,
and Z is a design matrix with associated \(\delta\) random effects for the intercepts.
For simplicity and easier interpretation, the unique item intercept values typically found in
\(X \beta\)
are extracted and reassigned within mirt's 'intercept' parameters (e.g., 'd').
To observe how the design matrices are structured prior to reassignment and estimation pass
the argument return.design = TRUE.
Polytomous IRT models follow a similar format except the item intercepts are automatically
estimated internally, rendering the items argument in the fixed formula redundant and
therefore must be omitted from the specification. If there are a mixture of dichotomous and
polytomous items the intercepts for the dichotomous models are also estimated for consistency.
The decomposition of the \(\theta\) parameters is also possible to form
latent regression and multilevel IRT models by using the lr.fixed and lr.random
inputs. These effects decompose \(\theta\) such that
$$\theta = V \Gamma + W \zeta + \epsilon$$
where V and W are fixed and random effects design matrices for the associated coefficients.
To simulate expected a posteriori predictions for the random effect terms
use the randef function.
References
Chalmers, R., P. (2012). mirt: A Multidimensional Item Response Theory Package for the R Environment. Journal of Statistical Software, 48(6), 1-29. doi:10.18637/jss.v048.i06
Chalmers, R. P. (2015). Extended Mixed-Effects Item Response Models with the MH-RM Algorithm. Journal of Educational Measurement, 52, 200-222. doi:10.1111/jedm.12072
Author
Phil Chalmers rphilip.chalmers@gmail.com
Examples
# \donttest{
# make some data
set.seed(1234)
N <- 750
a <- matrix(rlnorm(10,.3,1),10,1)
d <- matrix(rnorm(10), 10)
Theta <- matrix(sort(rnorm(N)))
pseudoIQ <- Theta * 5 + 100 + rnorm(N, 0 , 5)
pseudoIQ <- (pseudoIQ - mean(pseudoIQ))/10 #rescale variable for numerical stability
group <- factor(rep(c('G1','G2','G3'), each = N/3))
data <- simdata(a,d,N, itemtype = rep('2PL',10), Theta=Theta)
covdata <- data.frame(group, pseudoIQ)
itemstats(data)
#> $overall
#> N mean_total.score sd_total.score ave.r sd.r alpha SEM.alpha
#> 750 4.655 2.346 0.166 0.133 0.671 1.345
#>
#> $itemstats
#> N mean sd total.r total.r_if_rm alpha_if_rm
#> Item_1 750 0.363 0.481 0.368 0.172 0.678
#> Item_2 750 0.335 0.472 0.631 0.485 0.617
#> Item_3 750 0.428 0.495 0.711 0.580 0.594
#> Item_4 750 0.512 0.500 0.234 0.021 0.708
#> Item_5 750 0.628 0.484 0.638 0.490 0.615
#> Item_6 750 0.472 0.500 0.669 0.523 0.607
#> Item_7 750 0.385 0.487 0.471 0.286 0.657
#> Item_8 750 0.301 0.459 0.483 0.312 0.651
#> Item_9 750 0.319 0.466 0.481 0.307 0.652
#> Item_10 750 0.912 0.283 0.295 0.180 0.670
#>
#> $proportions
#> 0 1
#> Item_1 0.637 0.363
#> Item_2 0.665 0.335
#> Item_3 0.572 0.428
#> Item_4 0.488 0.512
#> Item_5 0.372 0.628
#> Item_6 0.528 0.472
#> Item_7 0.615 0.385
#> Item_8 0.699 0.301
#> Item_9 0.681 0.319
#> Item_10 0.088 0.912
#>
# use parallel computing
if(interactive()) mirtCluster()
# specify IRT model
model <- 'Theta = 1-10'
# model with no person predictors
mod0 <- mirt(data, model, itemtype = 'Rasch')
#>
Iteration: 1, Log-Lik: -4389.811, Max-Change: 0.06506
Iteration: 2, Log-Lik: -4389.225, Max-Change: 0.02792
Iteration: 3, Log-Lik: -4388.986, Max-Change: 0.01978
Iteration: 4, Log-Lik: -4388.872, Max-Change: 0.01462
Iteration: 5, Log-Lik: -4388.817, Max-Change: 0.00933
Iteration: 6, Log-Lik: -4388.793, Max-Change: 0.00644
Iteration: 7, Log-Lik: -4388.781, Max-Change: 0.00470
Iteration: 8, Log-Lik: -4388.776, Max-Change: 0.00294
Iteration: 9, Log-Lik: -4388.774, Max-Change: 0.00202
Iteration: 10, Log-Lik: -4388.773, Max-Change: 0.00146
Iteration: 11, Log-Lik: -4388.772, Max-Change: 0.00092
Iteration: 12, Log-Lik: -4388.772, Max-Change: 0.00064
Iteration: 13, Log-Lik: -4388.772, Max-Change: 0.00046
Iteration: 14, Log-Lik: -4388.772, Max-Change: 0.00029
Iteration: 15, Log-Lik: -4388.772, Max-Change: 0.00019
Iteration: 16, Log-Lik: -4388.772, Max-Change: 0.00014
Iteration: 17, Log-Lik: -4388.772, Max-Change: 0.00009
# group as a fixed effect predictor (aka, uniform dif)
mod1 <- mixedmirt(data, covdata, model, fixed = ~ 0 + group + items)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -5626.3, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -5511.1, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -5435.1, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -5292.1, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -5203.1, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -5154.6, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -5051.8, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -4999.0, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -4931.9, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -4886.4, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -4792.0, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -4758.3, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -4691.2, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.1804
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -4663.9, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.1582
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -4669.8, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.1359
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -4678.3, AR(1.31) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1172
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -4590.4, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.1000
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -4600.3, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0848
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -4603.6, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0698
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -4589.1, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0570
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -4592.3, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0459
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -4563.8, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0370
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -4553.7, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0293
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -4540.3, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0246
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -4540.0, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0201
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -4543.5, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -4592.7, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -4552.2, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -4527.5, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -4546.1, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -4493.9, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -4507.9, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -4497.0, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -4479.0, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -4506.1, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -4518.7, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -4506.7, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -4489.4, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -4495.7, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -4482.4, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -4488.4, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -4477.6, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -4448.1, AR(1.31) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -4449.1, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -4445.9, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -4432.7, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -4467.0, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -4436.1, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -4444.8, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -4442.0, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -4440.7, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -4408.7, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -4449.4, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -4434.7, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -4401.7, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -4426.2, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -4431.8, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -4423.6, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -4443.2, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -4444.2, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -4446.2, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -4425.7, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -4442.1, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -4392.1, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -4416.4, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -4388.1, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -4413.8, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -4390.0, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -4383.6, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -4381.5, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -4369.6, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -4376.2, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -4407.8, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -4384.6, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -4392.4, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -4391.0, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -4372.2, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -4382.9, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -4360.9, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -4393.1, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -4390.4, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -4363.9, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -4369.4, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -4398.3, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -4349.2, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -4381.8, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -4387.5, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -4360.8, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -4368.4, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -4373.8, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -4378.5, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -4365.4, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -4339.4, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -4360.2, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -4356.3, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -4317.2, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -4353.2, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -4352.1, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -4345.8, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -4352.6, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -4330.2, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -4341.0, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -4340.6, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -4324.2, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -4322.1, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -4313.0, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -4337.0, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -4347.4, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -4354.2, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -4395.9, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -4313.6, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -4324.3, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -4326.8, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -4323.9, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -4317.1, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -4281.3, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -4308.5, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -4290.2, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -4289.1, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -4271.8, AR(1.31) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -4289.5, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -4272.7, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -4261.3, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -4312.5, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -4305.0, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -4292.6, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -4265.2, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -4254.8, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -4298.1, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -4284.1, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -4286.8, AR(1.31) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -4316.7, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -4257.1, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -4267.0, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -4273.4, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -4294.5, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -4301.2, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -4288.9, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -4256.2, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -4250.0, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -4281.7, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -4313.0, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -4301.9, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -4264.2, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -4249.6, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -4246.1, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -4285.6, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -4285.7, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -4271.7, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -4261.2, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -4280.6, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -4272.4, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -4260.4, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -4260.2, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -4262.4, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -4263.2, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -4250.0, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -4234.6, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -4232.6, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -4243.9, AR(0.78) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -4279.9, AR(0.78) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -4223.8, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -4265.9, AR(0.78) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -4230.1, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -4264.2, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -4250.6, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -4264.9, AR(0.78) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -4224.3, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -4276.5, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -4263.4, AR(0.78) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -4253.9, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -4224.8, AR(0.78) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -4235.6, AR(0.78) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -4234.7, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -4233.4, AR(0.78) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -4212.9, AR(0.78) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -4244.4, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -4245.4, AR(0.78) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -4259.4, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -4261.0, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -4222.2, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -4271.1, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -4235.1, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -4230.9, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -4225.8, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -4203.6, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -4228.7, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -4268.4, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -4233.8, AR(0.78) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -4227.6, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -4234.4, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -4241.2, AR(0.78) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -4201.8, AR(0.78) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -4235.0, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -4217.2, AR(0.78) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -4261.5, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -4230.8, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -4196.2, AR(0.78) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -4188.7, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -4210.9, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -4244.2, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -4212.1, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -4279.6, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -4226.6, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -4226.3, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -4223.1, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -4210.1, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -4262.9, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -4252.9, AR(0.78) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -4214.8, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -4262.7, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -4268.2, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -4242.9, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -4269.8, AR(0.78) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -4233.8, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -4257.2, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -4235.1, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -4243.5, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -4231.5, AR(0.78) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -4229.6, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -4237.6, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -4227.3, AR(0.78) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -4234.1, AR(0.78) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -4221.9, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -4230.8, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -4223.0, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -4230.9, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -4191.9, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -4170.5, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -4190.4, AR(0.78) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -4220.2, AR(0.78) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -4211.7, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -4216.0, AR(0.78) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -4190.7, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -4183.0, AR(0.78) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -4196.4, AR(0.78) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -4187.6, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -4177.9, AR(0.78) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -4186.4, AR(0.78) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -4207.4, AR(0.78) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -4203.3, AR(0.78) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -4228.6, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -4180.0, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -4238.2, AR(0.78) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -4215.4, AR(0.78) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -4204.9, AR(0.78) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -4207.2, AR(0.78) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -4204.7, AR(0.78) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -4204.9, AR(0.78) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -4193.7, AR(0.78) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -4230.6, AR(0.78) = [0.40], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -4233.3, AR(0.78) = [0.40], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -4245.0, AR(0.78) = [0.43], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -4222.3, AR(0.78) = [0.38], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -4233.5, AR(0.78) = [0.37], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -4228.5, AR(0.78) = [0.40], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -4235.2, AR(0.78) = [0.39], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -4245.6, AR(0.78) = [0.36], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -4246.9, AR(0.78) = [0.38], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -4279.6, AR(0.78) = [0.37], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -4212.4, AR(0.78) = [0.39], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -4261.4, AR(0.78) = [0.36], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -4274.5, AR(0.78) = [0.42], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0006
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
anova(mod0, mod1)
#> AIC SABIC HQ BIC logLik X2 df p
#> mod0 8799.543 8815.435 8819.126 8850.364 -4388.772
#> mod1 8111.326 8130.107 8134.469 8171.387 -4042.663 692.217 2 0
summary(mod1)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = data, covdata = covdata, model = model, fixed = ~0 +
#> group + items)
#>
#> --------------
#> FIXED EFFECTS:
#> Estimate Std.Error z.value
#> groupG1 -1.858 0.100 -18.495
#> groupG2 -0.748 0.094 -7.979
#> groupG3 0.515 0.094 5.493
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> Theta
#> Theta 0.118
#>
coef(mod1)
#> $Item_1
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3 a1 d g u
#> par -1.858 -0.748 0.515 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -2.055 -0.931 0.331 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.661 -0.564 0.699 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item_2
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3 a1 d g u
#> par -1.858 -0.748 0.515 1 -0.152 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -2.055 -0.931 0.331 NA -0.388 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.661 -0.564 0.699 NA 0.084 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_3
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3 a1 d g u
#> par -1.858 -0.748 0.515 1 0.340 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -2.055 -0.931 0.331 NA 0.109 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.661 -0.564 0.699 NA 0.572 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_4
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3 a1 d g u
#> par -1.858 -0.748 0.515 1 0.763 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -2.055 -0.931 0.331 NA 0.532 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.661 -0.564 0.699 NA 0.994 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_5
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3 a1 d g u
#> par -1.858 -0.748 0.515 1 1.353 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -2.055 -0.931 0.331 NA 1.119 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.661 -0.564 0.699 NA 1.588 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_6
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3 a1 d g u
#> par -1.858 -0.748 0.515 1 0.563 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -2.055 -0.931 0.331 NA 0.332 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.661 -0.564 0.699 NA 0.793 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_7
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3 a1 d g u
#> par -1.858 -0.748 0.515 1 0.120 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -2.055 -0.931 0.331 NA -0.113 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.661 -0.564 0.699 NA 0.353 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_8
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3 a1 d g u
#> par -1.858 -0.748 0.515 1 -0.339 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -2.055 -0.931 0.331 NA -0.578 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.661 -0.564 0.699 NA -0.101 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_9
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3 a1 d g u
#> par -1.858 -0.748 0.515 1 -0.241 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -2.055 -0.931 0.331 NA -0.478 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.661 -0.564 0.699 NA -0.004 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_10
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3 a1 d g u
#> par -1.858 -0.748 0.515 1 3.432 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -2.055 -0.931 0.331 NA 3.117 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.661 -0.564 0.699 NA 3.747 NA NA
#>
#> $GroupPars
#> MEAN_1 COV_11
#> par 0 0.118
#> CI_2.5 NA 0.072
#> CI_97.5 NA 0.164
#>
if (FALSE) { # \dontrun{
# same model as above in lme4
wide <- data.frame(id=1:nrow(data),data,covdata)
long <- reshape2::melt(wide, id.vars = c('id', 'group', 'pseudoIQ'))
library(lme4)
lmod0 <- glmer(value ~ 0 + variable + (1|id), long, family = binomial)
lmod1 <- glmer(value ~ 0 + group + variable + (1|id), long, family = binomial)
anova(lmod0, lmod1)
} # }
# model using 2PL items instead of Rasch
mod1b <- mixedmirt(data, covdata, model, fixed = ~ 0 + group + items, itemtype = '2PL')
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -5694.7, AR(1.58) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -5557.2, AR(1.58) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -5452.5, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -5319.7, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -5230.9, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -5153.9, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -5074.0, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -5077.4, AR(1.58) = [0.59], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -5019.2, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -5003.4, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -4970.6, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.1860
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -4955.6, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.1696
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -4958.9, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.1434
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -4905.4, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.1281
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -4942.4, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.1024
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -4896.7, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0980
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -4899.1, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0816
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -4913.2, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0806
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -4894.2, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0636
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -4880.3, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0644
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -4898.5, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0457
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -4935.1, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0484
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -4876.8, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0573
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -4897.2, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0544
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -4904.1, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0444
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -4927.3, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0289
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -4933.2, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0242
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -4924.3, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0313
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -4932.5, AR(1.58) = [0.60], Max-Change = 0.0332
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -4926.8, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0317
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -4927.0, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0343
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -4886.9, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0348
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -4913.0, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0514
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -4907.5, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0715
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -4907.5, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0273
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -4935.3, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0443
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -4945.9, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0254
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -4924.2, AR(1.58) = [0.60], Max-Change = 0.0261
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -4952.1, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0364
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -4925.8, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0200
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -4929.5, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0392
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -4895.1, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0491
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -4896.5, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0365
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -4896.3, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0491
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -4937.2, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0339
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -4910.5, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0376
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -4896.8, AR(1.58) = [0.60], Max-Change = 0.0239
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -4907.5, AR(1.58) = [0.59], Max-Change = 0.0464
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -4891.6, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0513
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -4928.4, AR(1.58) = [0.59], Max-Change = 0.0378
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -4867.6, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0793
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -4884.4, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0370
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -4892.3, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0447
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -4896.2, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0359
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -4865.4, AR(1.58) = [0.60], Max-Change = 0.0696
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -4837.4, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0790
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -4899.4, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0264
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -4868.0, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0346
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -4884.7, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0233
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -4868.2, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0334
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -4879.5, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0345
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -4873.1, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0441
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -4894.2, AR(1.58) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0441
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -4887.0, AR(1.58) = [0.59], Max-Change = 0.0380
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -4891.8, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0255
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -4845.1, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0391
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -4881.1, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0394
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -4849.1, AR(1.58) = [0.59], Max-Change = 0.0293
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -4875.3, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0720
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -4845.8, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0462
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -4847.5, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0417
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -4869.9, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0285
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -4852.4, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0245
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -4808.6, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0603
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -4835.1, AR(1.58) = [0.59], Max-Change = 0.0343
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -4848.5, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -4833.4, AR(1.58) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0561
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -4867.2, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0314
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -4873.8, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0257
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -4845.5, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0314
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -4812.7, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0342
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -4804.7, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0598
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -4808.0, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0402
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -4832.5, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0349
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -4829.3, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0471
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -4843.4, AR(1.58) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0189
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -4822.9, AR(1.58) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0324
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -4811.0, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0257
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -4776.4, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0750
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -4805.4, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0510
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -4794.3, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0721
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -4822.3, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0339
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -4798.7, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0547
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -4767.0, AR(1.58) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0469
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -4772.1, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0607
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -4773.5, AR(1.58) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0375
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -4791.1, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0417
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -4787.5, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0378
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -4771.2, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0610
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -4779.9, AR(1.58) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0517
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -4780.5, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0244
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -4759.1, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0349
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -4779.6, AR(1.58) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0239
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -4780.0, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0503
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -4796.3, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0232
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -4748.3, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0854
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -4801.4, AR(1.58) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0282
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -4759.6, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0397
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -4735.0, AR(1.58) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0406
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -4772.6, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0820
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -4774.3, AR(1.58) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0267
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -4765.5, AR(1.58) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0839
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -4778.6, AR(1.58) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0307
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -4764.7, AR(1.58) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0237
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -4805.7, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0285
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -4747.1, AR(1.58) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1084
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -4748.8, AR(1.58) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.1160
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -4762.8, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0390
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -4729.8, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0355
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -4735.4, AR(1.58) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0703
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -4746.1, AR(1.58) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0391
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -4728.8, AR(1.58) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0954
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -4721.2, AR(1.58) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0553
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -4754.1, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0308
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -4700.6, AR(1.58) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0652
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -4712.2, AR(1.58) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0169
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -4724.6, AR(1.58) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0664
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -4706.9, AR(1.58) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.1173
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -4736.9, AR(1.58) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0311
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -4753.2, AR(1.58) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0509
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -4730.6, AR(1.58) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1200
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -4753.4, AR(1.58) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0904
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -4684.9, AR(1.58) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.1736
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -4706.9, AR(1.58) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0696
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -4711.7, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0348
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -4707.0, AR(1.58) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0707
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -4693.8, AR(1.58) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0487
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -4684.6, AR(1.58) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0574
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -4681.7, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0342
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -4684.6, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0850
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -4679.2, AR(1.58) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0477
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -4693.2, AR(1.58) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0656
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -4695.9, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0731
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -4677.8, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0842
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -4685.4, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.1089
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -4679.6, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0266
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -4677.9, AR(1.58) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.1092
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -4692.3, AR(1.58) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0731
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -4718.3, AR(1.58) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0200
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -4677.0, AR(2.75) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0487
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -4674.9, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0573
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -4673.6, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1227
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -4690.6, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0633
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -4643.3, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0499
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -4664.1, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0307
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -4638.8, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1556
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -4666.5, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0620
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -4679.2, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0445
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -4638.7, AR(2.75) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.1713
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -4627.8, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0844
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -4652.6, AR(2.75) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0719
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -4675.5, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0258
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -4693.6, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0742
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -4623.1, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0565
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -4636.6, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0339
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -4673.2, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -4702.7, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0373
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -4669.2, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1227
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -4669.6, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0404
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -4691.9, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0894
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -4660.9, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0172
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -4655.3, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1133
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -4653.8, AR(2.75) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0502
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -4645.8, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0338
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -4640.2, AR(2.75) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0758
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -4674.7, AR(2.75) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0635
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -4653.2, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -4619.3, AR(2.75) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0781
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -4627.7, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0398
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -4634.4, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0805
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -4626.6, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1266
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -4639.8, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1815
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -4639.7, AR(2.75) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0498
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -4641.3, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0387
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -4658.9, AR(2.75) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0311
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -4623.0, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0463
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -4626.1, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.1127
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -4647.5, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0519
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -4634.9, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.1120
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -4607.5, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -4665.9, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -4703.9, AR(2.75) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0509
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -4631.7, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1411
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -4667.8, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1258
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -4658.7, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0486
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -4642.5, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0713
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -4622.3, AR(2.75) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0751
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -4611.4, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1150
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -4599.5, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0370
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -4605.6, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.1355
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -4632.4, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -4647.4, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1107
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -4640.9, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0404
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -4614.7, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1141
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -4618.8, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.1374
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -4617.9, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1567
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -4636.3, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0502
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -4655.2, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0305
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -4613.0, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0899
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -4610.7, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0245
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -4645.1, AR(2.75) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0828
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -4626.7, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.1181
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -4618.9, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0241
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -4651.9, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0989
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -4602.5, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1326
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -4632.7, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0390
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -4603.5, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1871
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -4601.9, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0252
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -4624.8, AR(2.75) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0234
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -4639.5, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0791
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -4612.5, AR(2.75) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.1058
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -4628.4, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0712
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -4611.2, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1591
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -4631.8, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0433
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -4638.1, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0432
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -4622.8, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0488
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -4661.7, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1257
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -4602.3, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -4640.8, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1857
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -4629.7, AR(2.75) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0790
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -4577.7, AR(2.75) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0391
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -4604.3, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0559
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -4617.5, AR(2.75) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -4649.5, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1776
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -4605.2, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -4612.5, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0494
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -4559.4, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -4597.2, AR(2.75) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -4622.5, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.1295
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -4629.2, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1152
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -4629.1, AR(2.75) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -4622.2, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1530
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -4620.4, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -4639.7, AR(2.75) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1586
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -4617.2, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0536
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -4619.5, AR(2.75) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0350
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -4592.3, AR(2.75) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0466
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -4611.5, AR(2.75) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0195
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -4626.0, AR(2.75) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0606
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -4616.4, AR(2.75) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1190
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -4619.0, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -4604.2, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.1087
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -4626.8, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0780
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -4625.4, AR(2.75) = [0.35], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0283
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -4622.3, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0549
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -4617.2, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -4647.5, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0171
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -4632.9, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -4636.6, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0220
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -4631.4, AR(2.75) = [0.36], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -4622.0, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0208
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -4616.4, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -4651.6, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -4621.9, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -4629.6, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -4618.2, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -4624.3, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -4620.4, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -4647.6, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -4663.3, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -4631.2, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -4624.5, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -4652.9, AR(2.75) = [0.36], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -4644.5, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -4610.8, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -4633.0, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -4613.6, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 3 = 28, CDLL = -4680.5, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0150, Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 3 = 29, CDLL = -4624.2, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0146, Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 3 = 30, CDLL = -4652.6, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0142, Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 3 = 31, CDLL = -4647.6, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0139, Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 3 = 32, CDLL = -4644.1, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0135, Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 3 = 33, CDLL = -4658.6, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0132, Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 3 = 34, CDLL = -4607.4, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0129, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 35, CDLL = -4606.6, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0126, Max-Change = 0.0119
Stage 3 = 36, CDLL = -4633.8, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0124, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 37, CDLL = -4628.0, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0121, Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 3 = 38, CDLL = -4622.1, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0119, Max-Change = 0.0169
Stage 3 = 39, CDLL = -4666.2, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0116, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 40, CDLL = -4609.6, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0114, Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 3 = 41, CDLL = -4647.6, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0112, Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 3 = 42, CDLL = -4626.4, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0110, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 43, CDLL = -4654.3, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0108, Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 3 = 44, CDLL = -4631.4, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0106, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 45, CDLL = -4625.9, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0104, Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 3 = 46, CDLL = -4602.7, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0102, Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 3 = 47, CDLL = -4628.2, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0101, Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 3 = 48, CDLL = -4652.7, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0099, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 49, CDLL = -4651.8, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0098, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 50, CDLL = -4619.1, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0096, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 51, CDLL = -4645.6, AR(2.75) = [0.36], gam = 0.0095, Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 3 = 52, CDLL = -4626.5, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0093, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 53, CDLL = -4645.3, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0092, Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 3 = 54, CDLL = -4641.4, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0091, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 55, CDLL = -4641.5, AR(2.75) = [0.43], gam = 0.0089, Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 3 = 56, CDLL = -4610.6, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0088, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 57, CDLL = -4636.5, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0087, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 58, CDLL = -4668.5, AR(2.75) = [0.42], gam = 0.0086, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 59, CDLL = -4614.8, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0085, Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 3 = 60, CDLL = -4631.9, AR(2.75) = [0.44], gam = 0.0084, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 61, CDLL = -4621.4, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0082, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 62, CDLL = -4634.5, AR(2.75) = [0.36], gam = 0.0081, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 63, CDLL = -4659.9, AR(2.75) = [0.36], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 3 = 64, CDLL = -4619.8, AR(2.75) = [0.43], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 65, CDLL = -4652.1, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0079, Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 3 = 66, CDLL = -4647.5, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0078, Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 3 = 67, CDLL = -4634.2, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0077, Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 3 = 68, CDLL = -4622.6, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0076, Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 3 = 69, CDLL = -4590.6, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0075, Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 3 = 70, CDLL = -4570.1, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0074, Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 3 = 71, CDLL = -4611.6, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 3 = 72, CDLL = -4616.8, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 73, CDLL = -4633.4, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0072, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 74, CDLL = -4614.1, AR(2.75) = [0.43], gam = 0.0071, Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 3 = 75, CDLL = -4627.3, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 76, CDLL = -4628.5, AR(2.75) = [0.42], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 77, CDLL = -4622.2, AR(2.75) = [0.43], gam = 0.0069, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 78, CDLL = -4604.7, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0068, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 79, CDLL = -4593.6, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0068, Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 3 = 80, CDLL = -4649.8, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0067, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 81, CDLL = -4664.5, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0066, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 82, CDLL = -4630.9, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0066, Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 3 = 83, CDLL = -4613.8, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0065, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 84, CDLL = -4613.2, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0065, Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 3 = 85, CDLL = -4630.8, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0064, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 86, CDLL = -4598.5, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0064, Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 3 = 87, CDLL = -4582.3, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0063, Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 3 = 88, CDLL = -4623.4, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0062, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 89, CDLL = -4603.8, AR(2.75) = [0.42], gam = 0.0062, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 90, CDLL = -4627.4, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0061, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 91, CDLL = -4624.4, AR(2.75) = [0.36], gam = 0.0061, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 92, CDLL = -4621.0, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0060, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 93, CDLL = -4610.1, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0060, Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 3 = 94, CDLL = -4637.8, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0059, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 95, CDLL = -4619.6, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0059, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 96, CDLL = -4601.9, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 3 = 97, CDLL = -4589.2, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 3 = 98, CDLL = -4615.9, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 3 = 99, CDLL = -4606.8, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0057, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 100, CDLL = -4633.1, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0057, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 101, CDLL = -4632.2, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0056, Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 3 = 102, CDLL = -4625.6, AR(2.75) = [0.35], gam = 0.0056, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 103, CDLL = -4606.5, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 104, CDLL = -4631.0, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 105, CDLL = -4626.6, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 106, CDLL = -4631.8, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0054, Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 3 = 107, CDLL = -4626.0, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0054, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 108, CDLL = -4622.4, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 109, CDLL = -4598.3, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 110, CDLL = -4612.9, AR(2.75) = [0.36], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 3 = 111, CDLL = -4642.4, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 112, CDLL = -4629.0, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 113, CDLL = -4633.5, AR(2.75) = [0.41], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 3 = 114, CDLL = -4622.9, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 3 = 115, CDLL = -4635.7, AR(2.75) = [0.36], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 116, CDLL = -4655.7, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 3 = 117, CDLL = -4616.7, AR(2.75) = [0.38], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 3 = 118, CDLL = -4618.5, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 119, CDLL = -4608.3, AR(2.75) = [0.36], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 3 = 120, CDLL = -4600.1, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 3 = 121, CDLL = -4626.8, AR(2.75) = [0.36], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 122, CDLL = -4625.0, AR(2.75) = [0.42], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 3 = 123, CDLL = -4651.4, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 124, CDLL = -4643.6, AR(2.75) = [0.37], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 125, CDLL = -4655.3, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 126, CDLL = -4618.5, AR(2.75) = [0.42], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 127, CDLL = -4636.4, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 128, CDLL = -4644.6, AR(2.75) = [0.40], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 129, CDLL = -4605.8, AR(2.75) = [0.36], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 130, CDLL = -4621.1, AR(2.75) = [0.39], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0008
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
anova(mod1, mod1b) #better with 2PL models using all criteria (as expected, given simdata pars)
#> AIC SABIC HQ BIC logLik X2 df p
#> mod1 8111.326 8130.107 8134.469 8171.387 -4042.663
#> mod1b 7975.487 8007.270 8014.651 8077.128 -3965.743 153.84 9 0
# continuous predictor with group
mod2 <- mixedmirt(data, covdata, model, fixed = ~ 0 + group + items + pseudoIQ)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -5626.3, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -5510.8, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -5435.6, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -5305.6, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -5215.2, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -5147.0, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -5056.4, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -5008.5, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -4905.6, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -4887.6, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -4801.2, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -4746.6, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -4682.3, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.1807
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -4661.7, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1593
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -4643.5, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.1350
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -4648.3, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.1155
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -4585.2, AR(1.31) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1001
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -4593.7, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0861
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -4596.3, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0702
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -4569.4, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0585
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -4560.5, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0465
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -4543.7, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0362
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -4517.9, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0292
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -4518.9, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0245
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -4492.5, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -4516.4, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -4547.2, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -4497.2, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -4515.9, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -4507.1, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -4479.3, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -4467.0, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -4465.3, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -4455.4, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -4479.3, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -4490.4, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -4483.8, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -4462.6, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -4457.9, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -4463.8, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -4485.5, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -4444.9, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -4440.1, AR(1.31) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -4425.7, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -4420.6, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -4413.2, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -4429.2, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -4403.5, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -4408.7, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -4418.1, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -4407.2, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -4395.6, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -4440.6, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -4422.6, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -4376.2, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -4393.2, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -4388.2, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -4378.3, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -4405.8, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -4400.5, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -4412.2, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -4392.7, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -4408.9, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -4361.2, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -4397.6, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -4351.3, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -4384.3, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -4355.5, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -4347.0, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -4345.3, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -4343.2, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -4351.2, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -4374.8, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -4345.9, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -4334.5, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -4341.6, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -4328.0, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -4355.0, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -4320.9, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -4353.9, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -4358.8, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -4315.1, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -4318.6, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -4332.6, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -4314.4, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -4352.1, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -4354.3, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -4327.6, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -4298.1, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -4315.8, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -4332.1, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -4319.9, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -4284.4, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -4320.0, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -4306.1, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0133
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -4274.4, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -4282.2, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -4296.1, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -4282.8, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -4312.8, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -4290.9, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -4297.2, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -4298.6, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -4282.3, AR(1.31) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -4280.5, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -4265.5, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -4293.6, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -4279.1, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -4291.6, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -4302.1, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -4247.6, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -4280.5, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -4294.6, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -4267.0, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -4261.4, AR(1.31) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -4231.2, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -4270.5, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -4224.5, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -4249.8, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -4234.3, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -4260.7, AR(1.31) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -4238.4, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -4228.8, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -4240.8, AR(1.31) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -4258.6, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -4243.8, AR(1.31) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -4262.3, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -4217.2, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -4251.0, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -4234.8, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -4236.5, AR(1.31) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -4262.3, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -4239.5, AR(1.31) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -4212.8, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -4235.5, AR(1.31) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -4244.0, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -4248.6, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -4224.9, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -4214.5, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -4200.5, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -4243.7, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -4247.7, AR(1.31) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -4239.8, AR(1.31) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -4229.7, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -4206.9, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -4218.7, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -4250.8, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -4214.3, AR(1.31) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -4232.4, AR(1.31) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -4219.2, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -4238.3, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -4230.6, AR(0.70) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -4248.7, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -4251.5, AR(0.70) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -4211.0, AR(0.70) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -4214.0, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -4217.6, AR(0.70) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -4225.1, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -4196.4, AR(0.70) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -4202.0, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -4248.5, AR(0.70) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -4210.8, AR(0.70) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -4261.3, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -4224.2, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -4264.9, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -4216.8, AR(0.70) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -4251.6, AR(0.70) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -4217.0, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -4266.0, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -4242.6, AR(0.70) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -4213.5, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0119
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -4207.0, AR(0.70) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -4213.0, AR(0.70) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -4215.1, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -4193.4, AR(0.70) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -4171.6, AR(0.70) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -4214.5, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -4184.0, AR(0.70) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -4208.4, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -4218.9, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -4209.8, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -4207.1, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -4184.0, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -4191.9, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -4189.7, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -4188.5, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -4196.8, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -4219.7, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -4221.1, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -4208.7, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -4228.8, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -4219.4, AR(0.70) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -4188.6, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -4205.9, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -4189.6, AR(0.70) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -4231.4, AR(0.70) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -4226.7, AR(0.70) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -4170.6, AR(0.70) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -4152.4, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -4182.2, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -4206.8, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -4160.3, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -4218.4, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -4163.5, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -4186.6, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -4174.6, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -4176.8, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -4189.6, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -4180.8, AR(0.70) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -4163.6, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -4189.0, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -4189.8, AR(0.70) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -4184.1, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -4183.8, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -4160.7, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -4201.4, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -4195.5, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -4188.9, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -4179.4, AR(0.70) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -4176.0, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -4177.2, AR(0.70) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -4167.2, AR(0.70) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -4175.0, AR(0.70) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -4174.2, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -4189.8, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -4155.5, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -4173.8, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -4143.1, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -4129.5, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -4144.7, AR(0.70) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -4168.4, AR(0.70) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -4152.7, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -4170.7, AR(0.70) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -4163.2, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -4127.8, AR(0.70) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -4156.9, AR(0.70) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -4165.3, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -4127.3, AR(0.70) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -4130.1, AR(0.70) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -4141.3, AR(0.70) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -4146.0, AR(0.70) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -4159.9, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -4140.7, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -4175.3, AR(0.70) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -4166.7, AR(0.70) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -4167.6, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -4155.9, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -4166.7, AR(0.70) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -4165.4, AR(0.70) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -4130.7, AR(0.70) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -4165.8, AR(0.70) = [0.39], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -4182.5, AR(0.70) = [0.40], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -4178.9, AR(0.70) = [0.43], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -4181.4, AR(0.70) = [0.37], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -4173.5, AR(0.70) = [0.39], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -4170.7, AR(0.70) = [0.40], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -4188.1, AR(0.70) = [0.39], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -4186.7, AR(0.70) = [0.35], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -4202.5, AR(0.70) = [0.38], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -4227.4, AR(0.70) = [0.36], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -4158.7, AR(0.70) = [0.38], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -4193.4, AR(0.70) = [0.37], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -4224.8, AR(0.70) = [0.41], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0006
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(mod2)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = data, covdata = covdata, model = model, fixed = ~0 +
#> group + items + pseudoIQ)
#>
#> --------------
#> FIXED EFFECTS:
#> Estimate Std.Error z.value
#> groupG1 -1.711 0.105 -16.317
#> groupG2 -0.750 0.093 -8.029
#> groupG3 0.366 0.099 3.714
#> pseudoIQ 0.268 0.058 4.594
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> Theta
#> Theta 0.105
#>
anova(mod1b, mod2)
#> AIC SABIC HQ BIC logLik X2 df p
#> mod1b 7975.487 8007.270 8014.651 8077.128 -3965.743
#> mod2 8090.269 8110.494 8115.192 8154.950 -4031.134 -130.782 -8 NaN
# view fixed design matrix with and without unique item level intercepts
withint <- mixedmirt(data, covdata, model, fixed = ~ 0 + items + group, return.design = TRUE)
withoutint <- mixedmirt(data, covdata, model, fixed = ~ 0 + group, return.design = TRUE)
# notice that in result above, the intercepts 'items1 to items 10' were reassigned to 'd'
head(withint$X)
#> items1 items2 items3 items4 items5 items6 items7 items8 items9 items10
#> 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
#> 2.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
#> 3.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
#> 4.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
#> 5.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
#> 6.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
#> groupG2 groupG3
#> 1.1 0 0
#> 2.1 0 0
#> 3.1 0 0
#> 4.1 0 0
#> 5.1 0 0
#> 6.1 0 0
tail(withint$X)
#> items1 items2 items3 items4 items5 items6 items7 items8 items9 items10
#> 745.10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
#> 746.10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
#> 747.10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
#> 748.10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
#> 749.10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
#> 750.10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
#> groupG2 groupG3
#> 745.10 0 1
#> 746.10 0 1
#> 747.10 0 1
#> 748.10 0 1
#> 749.10 0 1
#> 750.10 0 1
head(withoutint$X) # no intercepts design here to be reassigned into item intercepts
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3
#> 1.1 1 0 0
#> 2.1 1 0 0
#> 3.1 1 0 0
#> 4.1 1 0 0
#> 5.1 1 0 0
#> 6.1 1 0 0
tail(withoutint$X)
#> groupG1 groupG2 groupG3
#> 745.10 0 0 1
#> 746.10 0 0 1
#> 747.10 0 0 1
#> 748.10 0 0 1
#> 749.10 0 0 1
#> 750.10 0 0 1
###################################################
### random effects
# make the number of groups much larger
covdata$group <- factor(rep(paste0('G',1:50), each = N/50))
# random groups
rmod1 <- mixedmirt(data, covdata, 1, fixed = ~ 0 + items, random = ~ 1|group)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -5626.3, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -5495.5, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -5416.4, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -5319.9, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -5262.8, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -5206.4, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -5144.5, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -5143.8, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.1864
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -5089.2, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1623
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -5107.0, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1436
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -5053.3, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.1243
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -5047.2, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.1035
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -5051.6, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0953
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -5045.4, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0862
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -5050.4, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0730
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -5037.8, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0612
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -5065.7, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0490
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -5084.0, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0426
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -5066.2, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0342
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -5088.6, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0359
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -5086.1, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0255
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -5068.1, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0251
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -5033.7, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -5046.1, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -5055.4, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -5084.5, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -5108.5, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0194
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -5086.5, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -5083.8, AR(1.31) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -5083.5, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -5081.3, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -5050.3, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -5060.9, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -5079.2, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -5071.1, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -5074.3, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -5110.6, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -5090.2, AR(1.31) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -5115.7, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -5076.5, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -5088.5, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -5099.8, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -5070.8, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -5040.7, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -5071.8, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -5048.8, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -5071.6, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -5062.4, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -5056.7, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -5116.1, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -5043.3, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -5068.4, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -5095.0, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -5082.8, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -5044.2, AR(1.31) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -5041.7, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -5082.4, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -5109.0, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0135
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -5082.1, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -5119.6, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -5087.3, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -5106.6, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -5136.1, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -5079.9, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -5103.9, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -5068.4, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -5109.2, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -5078.1, AR(1.31) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -5086.6, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -5079.1, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -5079.0, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -5108.2, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -5081.7, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -5047.3, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -5074.3, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -5107.8, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -5110.9, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -5105.2, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -5105.2, AR(1.31) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -5112.2, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -5086.1, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -5057.9, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -5040.7, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -5105.2, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -5114.6, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -5102.1, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -5094.2, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -5080.1, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -5047.5, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0295
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -5077.6, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -5052.1, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -5104.0, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0154
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -5065.9, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -5055.3, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -5084.1, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -5092.8, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -5104.3, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -5081.7, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -5092.3, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -4838.5, AR(4.64) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -4788.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.33; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.1344
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -4779.6, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.34; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0744
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -4711.1, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.29; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0786
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -4674.1, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.29; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0581
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -4647.2, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.31; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0426
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -4640.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.32; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0315
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -4608.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.29; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0381
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -4579.7, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.31; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0227
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -4573.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.30; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0228
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -4559.0, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.28; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0159
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -4560.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.25; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0193
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -4538.6, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.29; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -4537.2, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.25; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -4506.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.24; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0150
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -4487.0, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.29; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -4483.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.24; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -4475.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.27; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0185
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -4486.2, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.24; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -4468.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.25; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -4456.0, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.25; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0167
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -4428.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -4422.2, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.25; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -4417.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -4411.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.24; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -4393.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.24; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0258
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -4431.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.24; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0316
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -4403.7, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -4411.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.25; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -4363.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -4363.6, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.25; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0252
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -4364.6, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0309
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -4387.6, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.22; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0159
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -4352.0, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -4384.0, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -4350.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.24; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -4306.1, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -4347.8, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -4369.6, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.20; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -4370.8, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -4303.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0225
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -4302.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.19; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -4334.0, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.20; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -4286.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.22; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -4273.6, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.20; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -4277.8, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.21; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -4279.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.21; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -4305.2, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.21; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0275
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -4281.0, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.16; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0248
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -4264.0, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.23; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -4248.8, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 1 = 151, CDLL = -4246.9, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.22; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 152, CDLL = -4235.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.20; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 153, CDLL = -4237.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.19; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 154, CDLL = -4246.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.20; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 155, CDLL = -4224.8, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.22; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 1 = 156, CDLL = -4259.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.20; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 157, CDLL = -4264.2, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.21; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0161
Stage 1 = 158, CDLL = -4216.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.20; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 1 = 159, CDLL = -4233.0, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.17; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 160, CDLL = -4221.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.20; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 1 = 161, CDLL = -4228.6, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.19; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 162, CDLL = -4187.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.16; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 163, CDLL = -4210.1, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 1 = 164, CDLL = -4206.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.19; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0228
Stage 1 = 165, CDLL = -4215.1, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.20; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 1 = 166, CDLL = -4194.7, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.20; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 1 = 167, CDLL = -4182.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 168, CDLL = -4171.2, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.17; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0223
Stage 1 = 169, CDLL = -4189.9, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0171
Stage 1 = 170, CDLL = -4171.6, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.16; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 1 = 171, CDLL = -4166.7, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 1 = 172, CDLL = -4138.9, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.17; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0246
Stage 1 = 173, CDLL = -4171.6, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.19; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 174, CDLL = -4203.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 175, CDLL = -4145.8, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.20; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 176, CDLL = -4180.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.22; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 177, CDLL = -4128.8, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 1 = 178, CDLL = -4096.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.19; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0207
Stage 1 = 179, CDLL = -4093.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 180, CDLL = -4155.7, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.16; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 181, CDLL = -4108.1, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.14; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 182, CDLL = -4102.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 183, CDLL = -4115.2, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.17; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 184, CDLL = -4092.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 185, CDLL = -4133.7, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.17; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 186, CDLL = -4092.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.16; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0207
Stage 1 = 187, CDLL = -4114.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.17; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 188, CDLL = -4099.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.16; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 1 = 189, CDLL = -4116.1, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0258
Stage 1 = 190, CDLL = -4082.8, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.16; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 191, CDLL = -4099.7, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.17; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 192, CDLL = -4104.1, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.16; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 1 = 193, CDLL = -4105.2, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 194, CDLL = -4078.0, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.15; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 195, CDLL = -4071.2, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.18; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 196, CDLL = -4045.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.16; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 197, CDLL = -4049.4, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.17; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 198, CDLL = -4023.3, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.17; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 199, CDLL = -4058.5, AR(4.64; 0.17) = [0.15; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 200, CDLL = -4055.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -4066.7, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.41; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0174
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -4064.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.40; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0161
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -4086.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -4085.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.43; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -4081.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.38; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -4063.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.39; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -4053.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.41; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0171
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -4059.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.38; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -4062.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -4090.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.42; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -4048.8, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.41; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -4017.2, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.41; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -4010.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0425
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -4015.8, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -4043.7, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -4059.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -4011.7, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0258
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -4022.5, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.38; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0168
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -4041.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.39; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0345
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -4043.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.40; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -4021.7, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -4017.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.40; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -4035.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -4030.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.39; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -4025.7, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -4012.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -4010.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.40; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -4000.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.40; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -3951.7, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -3960.8, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.38; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -3975.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.38; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0400
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -3968.5, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -4004.2, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -3966.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -3970.7, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -4017.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.39; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -3969.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -3951.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0199
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -3933.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -3970.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -3928.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -3939.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -3924.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -3954.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.38; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -3980.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -3943.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -3971.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -3943.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -3917.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -3913.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -3929.5, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -3953.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0208
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -3966.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -3924.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -3943.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -3940.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -3931.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -3898.2, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -3942.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -3925.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -3890.5, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -3893.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -3893.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -3890.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -3900.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -3882.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -3886.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -3882.2, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -3873.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -3900.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -3882.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -3853.5, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.31; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -3871.8, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0232
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -3883.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -3864.2, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -3861.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.30; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -3876.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -3833.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0252
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -3859.8, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0142
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -3834.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.31; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -3841.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.30; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -3812.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.31; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0333
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -3902.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -3827.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.31; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -3862.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -3843.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.31; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -3834.5, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0300
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -3843.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0306
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -3871.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -3887.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -3860.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -3851.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.30; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -3859.8, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0263
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -3831.2, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -3855.7, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -3832.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -3823.8, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.56], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -3854.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.31; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -3830.8, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.31; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -3830.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -3893.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.34], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -3953.2, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.32], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -3933.5, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.32], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -3937.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.24], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -3950.7, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.39; 0.34], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -3937.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.52], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -3913.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.36], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -3943.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.32], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -3942.8, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.28], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -3924.5, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.38], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -3947.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.44], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -3907.2, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.36], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -3955.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.38; 0.32], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -3940.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.33; 0.24], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -3983.4, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.36], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -3940.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.28], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -3901.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.34; 0.28], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -3914.6, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.30], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -3946.1, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.32], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -3961.9, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.32], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -3934.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.48], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -3899.7, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.30], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -3919.8, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.35; 0.30], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0003
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -3915.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.37; 0.42], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -3916.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.32], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -3937.3, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.36; 0.36], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -3951.0, AR(0.58; 0.26) = [0.32; 0.28], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0008
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(rmod1)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = data, covdata = covdata, model = 1, fixed = ~0 +
#> items, random = ~1 | group)
#>
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1
#> F1 0.062
#>
#> $group
#> COV_group
#> COV_group 1.11
#>
coef(rmod1)
#> $Item_1
#> a1 d g u
#> par 1 -0.713 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA -0.927 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA -0.500 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_2
#> a1 d g u
#> par 1 -0.867 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA -1.081 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA -0.653 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_3
#> a1 d g u
#> par 1 -0.370 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA -0.583 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA -0.156 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_4
#> a1 d g u
#> par 1 0.057 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA -0.161 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA 0.276 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_5
#> a1 d g u
#> par 1 0.654 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA 0.422 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA 0.886 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_6
#> a1 d g u
#> par 1 -0.145 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA -0.361 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA 0.071 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_7
#> a1 d g u
#> par 1 -0.592 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA -0.805 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA -0.379 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_8
#> a1 d g u
#> par 1 -1.057 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA -1.273 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA -0.842 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_9
#> a1 d g u
#> par 1 -0.957 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA -1.172 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA -0.743 NA NA
#>
#> $Item_10
#> a1 d g u
#> par 1 2.769 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA 2.425 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA 3.113 NA NA
#>
#> $GroupPars
#> MEAN_1 COV_11
#> par 0 0.062
#> CI_2.5 NA 0.004
#> CI_97.5 NA 0.120
#>
#> $group
#> COV_group_group
#> par 1.112
#> CI_2.5 0.631
#> CI_97.5 1.592
#>
# random groups and random items
rmod2 <- mixedmirt(data, covdata, 1, random = list(~ 1|group, ~ 1|items))
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -5626.3, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0274
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -5629.2, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0217
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -5643.0, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -5624.8, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0228
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -5651.1, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -5643.8, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0177
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -5602.0, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0220
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -5634.5, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0255
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -5604.6, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -5632.1, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -5609.1, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -5599.0, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -5584.3, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -5597.6, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -5591.2, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -5613.6, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -5598.0, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -5621.2, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -5588.5, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -5633.7, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -5594.8, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0232
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -5581.5, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -5568.3, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -5579.9, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -5608.9, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -5626.5, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -5664.4, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -5606.7, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -5595.0, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -5605.7, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -5574.6, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -5573.5, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -5601.3, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -5585.2, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -5618.2, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -5606.4, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -5590.0, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -5571.5, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -5603.9, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -5587.3, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -5574.4, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -5578.7, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0169
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -5561.0, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -5563.1, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -5573.4, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -5556.2, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -5575.3, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -5574.9, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -5566.5, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -5595.3, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -5560.7, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -5561.2, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -5577.5, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -5588.2, AR(1.31) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -5570.2, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -5564.5, AR(1.31) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -5575.5, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -5604.3, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -5577.4, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -5591.9, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -5589.4, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -5608.7, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -5612.5, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -5577.5, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -5599.4, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -5600.0, AR(1.31) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -5567.6, AR(1.31) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -5566.4, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -5579.3, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -5588.6, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -5566.2, AR(1.31) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -5568.4, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -5576.5, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -5552.6, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -5550.3, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -5591.3, AR(1.31) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -5571.1, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -5569.4, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -5611.2, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -5589.5, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -5563.8, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -5559.0, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -5575.9, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -5598.0, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -5626.9, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -5597.7, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -5604.7, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -5573.7, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -5553.4, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -5583.2, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -5567.7, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -5563.0, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -5573.7, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -5578.1, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -5568.9, AR(1.31) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -5580.3, AR(1.31) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -5592.2, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -5583.8, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -5606.3, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -4776.3, AR(1.18) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0504
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -4766.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.49; 0.46; 0.80], Max-Change = 0.1569
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -4723.8, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.50; 0.50; 0.70], Max-Change = 0.0713
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -4702.4, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.50; 0.30; 0.60], Max-Change = 0.0281
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -4708.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.48; 0.24; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0327
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -4634.2, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.48; 0.34; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0567
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -4651.8, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.47; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -4633.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.48; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -4637.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.47; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -4608.6, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.48; 0.26; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0226
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -4609.5, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.47; 0.28; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -4556.6, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.46; 0.36; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -4556.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.47; 0.28; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -4576.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.48; 0.36; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -4573.8, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -4525.6, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.48; 0.30; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -4518.6, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.30; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -4521.9, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.46; 0.30; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -4507.9, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.46; 0.28; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -4482.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0167
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -4456.4, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.54; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -4440.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.26; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0119
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -4425.1, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.40; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -4471.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.26; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -4435.9, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.30; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0199
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -4455.1, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.38; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -4426.2, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.28; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -4417.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -4406.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -4404.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0194
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -4423.8, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.28; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -4411.5, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -4404.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.26; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -4397.8, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -4372.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -4375.6, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -4390.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -4335.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.26; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -4343.9, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.28; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -4356.1, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -4332.6, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -4309.9, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -4296.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.42; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -4299.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -4310.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -4292.2, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -4270.4, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -4284.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -4309.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -4280.2, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -4277.8, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 151, CDLL = -4270.5, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 152, CDLL = -4258.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 153, CDLL = -4261.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 154, CDLL = -4240.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.24; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 155, CDLL = -4239.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 156, CDLL = -4263.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.42; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 157, CDLL = -4241.4, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 1 = 158, CDLL = -4247.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0230
Stage 1 = 159, CDLL = -4248.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 160, CDLL = -4235.9, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 161, CDLL = -4235.6, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.22; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 1 = 162, CDLL = -4233.4, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 1 = 163, CDLL = -4244.4, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 1 = 164, CDLL = -4205.1, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 165, CDLL = -4221.1, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 166, CDLL = -4209.1, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0140
Stage 1 = 167, CDLL = -4235.1, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 168, CDLL = -4212.6, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.54; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0193
Stage 1 = 169, CDLL = -4227.6, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 1 = 170, CDLL = -4165.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 171, CDLL = -4206.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 172, CDLL = -4222.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.24; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 173, CDLL = -4192.5, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 174, CDLL = -4196.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.22; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 1 = 175, CDLL = -4199.5, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 176, CDLL = -4203.9, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 177, CDLL = -4165.4, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 178, CDLL = -4211.1, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.26; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 1 = 179, CDLL = -4142.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.50; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 1 = 180, CDLL = -4184.9, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 181, CDLL = -4159.1, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 182, CDLL = -4160.6, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 1 = 183, CDLL = -4156.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 184, CDLL = -4194.9, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.50; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 1 = 185, CDLL = -4179.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 186, CDLL = -4145.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 187, CDLL = -4130.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 1 = 188, CDLL = -4157.3, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 189, CDLL = -4110.2, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.42; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 190, CDLL = -4109.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 191, CDLL = -4107.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 1 = 192, CDLL = -4135.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 193, CDLL = -4122.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 1 = 194, CDLL = -4141.9, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 1 = 195, CDLL = -4124.1, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 196, CDLL = -4097.1, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 1 = 197, CDLL = -4095.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 198, CDLL = -4102.7, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 1 = 199, CDLL = -4095.0, AR(1.18; 0.12; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 200, CDLL = -4101.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.42; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0511
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -4086.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -4071.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -4060.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.52; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -4053.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -4084.9, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -4040.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -4048.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -4065.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -4055.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -4061.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -4083.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -4062.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -4031.1, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.52; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -4032.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -4037.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -4011.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -4037.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0308
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -4011.4, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -4007.4, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.36; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0237
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -3984.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0222
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -4009.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0140
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -4046.9, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -4037.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.50; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0180
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -4025.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -3996.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -4033.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -3995.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -4038.4, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -4036.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0135
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -4046.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -4014.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -4021.1, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.30; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -4046.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -4013.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.27; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -3989.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -3976.1, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.28; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -3968.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -3999.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -3999.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -4001.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -3984.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.52; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -3970.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -3974.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.42; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -3968.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -3981.1, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.27; 0.54; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -3965.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.60; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -3950.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.42; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -3950.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -3952.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -3957.9, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -3953.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -3963.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.56; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -3934.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.52; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -3929.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.27; 0.52; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -3930.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.26; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -3908.4, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.27; 0.60; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -3928.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -3931.1, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -3922.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.54; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -3918.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.54; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -3934.9, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.27; 0.32; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -3902.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -3907.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -3939.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.56; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -3903.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.42; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -3902.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.50; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -3961.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.50; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -3920.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -3916.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.27; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -3901.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.60; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -3907.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.31; 0.50; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -3916.1, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.52; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -3930.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -3951.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.60; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -3884.4, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.58; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -3918.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -3937.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -3884.9, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.42; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -3887.4, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0142
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -3887.1, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.24; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -3882.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.27; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -3888.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.50; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -3891.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.40; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -3869.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.23; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -3893.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.24; 0.52; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -3867.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.42; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0173
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -3877.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.34; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -3886.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.27; 0.52; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0167
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -3902.2, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.27; 0.42; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -3875.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.24; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -3882.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.38; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -3901.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0173
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -3887.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.42; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -3869.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.27; 0.46; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -3875.1, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.64; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0287
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -3879.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.42; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -3874.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.23; 0.58; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -3880.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.44; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -3873.4, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.48; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -3874.4, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.26; 0.52; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -3962.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.29; 0.44; 0.00], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -3979.7, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.44; 0.00], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -3949.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.27; 0.48; 0.00], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -3942.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.48; 0.00], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -3935.3, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.56; 0.00], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -3963.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.58; 0.00], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -3953.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.25; 0.46; 0.00], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -3913.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.42; 0.00], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -3974.9, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.40; 0.00], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -3965.9, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.36; 0.00], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -3977.5, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.30; 0.48; 0.00], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -3956.8, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.46; 0.00], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -3933.6, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.44; 0.00], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -3925.1, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.52; 0.00], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -3951.0, AR(0.93; 0.10; 0.00) = [0.28; 0.46; 0.00], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0004
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(rmod2)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = data, covdata = covdata, model = 1, random = list(~1 |
#> group, ~1 | items))
#>
#> --------------
#> FIXED EFFECTS:
#> Estimate Std.Error z.value
#> (Intercept) -0.605 0.013 -47.455
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1
#> F1 0.0593
#>
#> $group
#> COV_group
#> COV_group 0.969
#>
#> $items
#> COV_items
#> COV_items 0.694
#>
eff <- randef(rmod2) #estimate random effects
# random slopes with fixed intercepts (suppressed correlation)
rmod3 <- mixedmirt(data, covdata, 1, fixed = ~ 0 + items, random = ~ -1 + pseudoIQ|group)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -5626.3, AR(1.31) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -5495.5, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -5416.4, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -5319.9, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -5262.8, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -5206.4, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -5144.5, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -5143.8, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.1864
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -5089.2, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1623
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -5107.0, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1436
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -5053.3, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.1243
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -5047.2, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.1035
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -5051.6, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0953
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -5045.4, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0862
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -5050.4, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0730
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -5037.8, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0612
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -5065.7, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0490
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -5084.0, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0426
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -5066.2, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0342
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -5088.6, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0359
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -5086.1, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0255
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -5068.1, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0251
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -5033.7, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -5046.1, AR(1.31) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -5055.4, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -5084.5, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -5108.5, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0194
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -5086.5, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -5083.8, AR(1.31) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -5083.5, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -5081.3, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -5050.3, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -5060.9, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -5079.2, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -5071.1, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -5074.3, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -5110.6, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -5090.2, AR(1.31) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -5115.7, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -5076.5, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -5088.5, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -5099.8, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -5070.8, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -5040.7, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -5071.8, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -5048.8, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -5071.6, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -5062.4, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -5056.7, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -5116.1, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -5043.3, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -5068.4, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -5095.0, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -5082.8, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -5044.2, AR(1.31) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -5041.7, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -5082.4, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -5109.0, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0135
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -5082.1, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -5119.6, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -5087.3, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -5106.6, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -5136.1, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -5079.9, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -5103.9, AR(1.31) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -5068.4, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -5109.2, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -5078.1, AR(1.31) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -5086.6, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -5079.1, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -5079.0, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -5108.2, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -5081.7, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -5047.3, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -5074.3, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -5107.8, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -5110.9, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -5105.2, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -5105.2, AR(1.31) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -5112.2, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -5086.1, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -5057.9, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -5040.7, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -5105.2, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -5114.6, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -5102.1, AR(1.31) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -5094.2, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -5080.1, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -5047.5, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0295
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -5077.6, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -5052.1, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -5104.0, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0154
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -5065.9, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -5055.3, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -5084.1, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -5092.8, AR(1.31) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -5104.3, AR(1.31) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -5081.7, AR(1.31) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -5092.3, AR(1.31) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -4826.9, AR(1.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -4791.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -4716.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.48; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -4708.1, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.47; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -4669.9, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.43; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0620
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -4657.5, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.47; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0394
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -4643.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.46; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0281
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -4618.6, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.43; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0205
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -4610.5, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.45; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0199
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -4570.9, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.41; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0517
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -4562.2, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.41; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0185
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -4584.5, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.43; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -4563.7, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.41; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -4533.1, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.46; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -4553.3, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.43; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -4547.1, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.40; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -4546.3, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.42; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0206
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -4521.2, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.44; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -4496.2, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.41; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -4488.6, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.40; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -4472.0, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.39; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -4453.9, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.41; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0133
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -4461.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.41; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -4467.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.41; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -4471.7, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.39; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0201
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -4416.6, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0119
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -4405.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -4389.9, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.39; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -4369.7, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.38; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -4397.5, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -4426.9, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -4368.5, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.38; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -4409.3, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -4386.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -4393.7, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.42; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -4400.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -4374.0, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -4358.1, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -4366.2, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -4347.6, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -4351.3, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0161
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -4345.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.38; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0211
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -4339.2, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0159
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -4322.2, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0214
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -4340.0, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -4314.5, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0161
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -4323.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0133
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -4328.1, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -4282.1, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -4271.7, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -4329.0, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 151, CDLL = -4253.7, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 152, CDLL = -4283.1, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 153, CDLL = -4299.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 1 = 154, CDLL = -4276.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.52], Max-Change = 0.0378
Stage 1 = 155, CDLL = -4268.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 1 = 156, CDLL = -4295.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 157, CDLL = -4270.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 158, CDLL = -4229.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0195
Stage 1 = 159, CDLL = -4242.9, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 1 = 160, CDLL = -4241.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.38; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0311
Stage 1 = 161, CDLL = -4216.5, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 1 = 162, CDLL = -4222.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 1 = 163, CDLL = -4269.3, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0165
Stage 1 = 164, CDLL = -4238.6, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0228
Stage 1 = 165, CDLL = -4200.0, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 1 = 166, CDLL = -4197.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0231
Stage 1 = 167, CDLL = -4219.9, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 1 = 168, CDLL = -4215.3, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 169, CDLL = -4212.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 170, CDLL = -4202.3, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 1 = 171, CDLL = -4202.3, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 172, CDLL = -4206.9, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 173, CDLL = -4170.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 174, CDLL = -4215.6, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 175, CDLL = -4177.2, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 176, CDLL = -4236.1, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 177, CDLL = -4196.0, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0211
Stage 1 = 178, CDLL = -4184.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 1 = 179, CDLL = -4214.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 1 = 180, CDLL = -4173.0, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 1 = 181, CDLL = -4170.0, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0214
Stage 1 = 182, CDLL = -4166.2, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 183, CDLL = -4169.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 1 = 184, CDLL = -4171.6, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 185, CDLL = -4162.9, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.28; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 186, CDLL = -4175.1, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.27; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 187, CDLL = -4160.9, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 1 = 188, CDLL = -4179.4, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 1 = 189, CDLL = -4146.7, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.28; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0292
Stage 1 = 190, CDLL = -4137.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.27; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 191, CDLL = -4157.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 1 = 192, CDLL = -4170.5, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 193, CDLL = -4145.5, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 1 = 194, CDLL = -4151.7, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 195, CDLL = -4175.8, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.26; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0174
Stage 1 = 196, CDLL = -4161.1, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 197, CDLL = -4160.2, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 198, CDLL = -4175.1, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0148
Stage 1 = 199, CDLL = -4139.9, AR(1.55; 0.09) = [0.28; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 1 = 200, CDLL = -4161.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.39; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -4139.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.38; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -4160.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.40; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -4134.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.39; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -4108.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.39; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -4133.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.39; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -4125.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0174
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -4121.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0189
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -4113.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.41; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -4115.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -4138.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0168
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -4101.9, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -4108.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -4080.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -4108.9, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.38; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0223
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -4102.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.41; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -4121.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.38; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -4108.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.38; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -4103.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -4096.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -4118.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0142
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -4096.8, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -4120.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.38; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -4110.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -4089.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -4084.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -4083.8, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0401
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -4078.9, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.38; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0167
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -4058.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -4074.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -4061.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -4071.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -4063.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -4075.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -4081.3, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -4059.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -4034.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -4030.4, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -4016.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -4009.3, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -4000.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -4038.3, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -3992.9, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -4036.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -4033.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -4011.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0171
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -4019.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -4010.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0159
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -3998.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -3997.8, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -3996.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -3972.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -4002.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.38; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -4015.3, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -4003.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0174
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -3956.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -3965.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -3965.9, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -3965.3, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -3961.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -3972.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0176
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -3961.3, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0243
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -3970.4, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -3942.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -3903.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -3931.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -3919.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -3926.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -3923.4, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -3983.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -3925.8, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -3922.9, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -3912.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -3931.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0313
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -3934.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0248
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -3887.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -3879.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.28; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -3901.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -3891.4, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -3898.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0210
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -3906.4, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -3925.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -3930.4, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0173
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -3924.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -3915.3, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -3931.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0150
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -3913.3, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.27; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -3907.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.27; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -3897.3, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -3909.4, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -3940.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -3894.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0174
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -3865.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -3893.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -3876.8, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0159
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -3899.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -3911.8, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0215
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -3925.6, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -3899.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.27; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0148
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -3891.9, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -3870.4, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -3951.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.36], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -3972.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.32], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -3976.8, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.29; 0.38], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -4027.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.38], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -4006.4, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.34], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -4024.8, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.42], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -3987.2, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.36; 0.32], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -3964.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.36], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -4000.1, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.40], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -4012.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.34], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -4015.7, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.36], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -3997.8, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.34; 0.38], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -3963.9, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.42], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -3994.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.37; 0.26], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -3984.8, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.30], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -4011.3, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.33; 0.26], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -3986.0, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.32; 0.44], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -3983.5, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.30; 0.38], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -3990.9, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.31; 0.22], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -4000.3, AR(0.74; 0.09) = [0.35; 0.32], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0004
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(rmod3)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = data, covdata = covdata, model = 1, fixed = ~0 +
#> items, random = ~-1 + pseudoIQ | group)
#>
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1
#> F1 0.073
#>
#> $group
#> COV_group COV_pseudoIQ
#> COV_group 0.903 0.00
#> COV_pseudoIQ 0.000 0.16
#>
eff <- randef(rmod3)
str(eff)
#> List of 2
#> $ Theta: num [1:750, 1] -0.0844 0.0406 0.034 0.0489 -0.0366 ...
#> ..- attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
#> .. ..$ : NULL
#> .. ..$ : chr "F1"
#> $ group: num [1:50, 1:2] -1.7 -1.18 -1.31 -1.6 -1.44 ...
#> ..- attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
#> .. ..$ : chr [1:50] "G1" "G2" "G3" "G4" ...
#> .. ..$ : chr [1:2] "group" "pseudoIQ"
###################################################
## LLTM, and 2PL version of LLTM
data(SAT12)
data <- key2binary(SAT12,
key = c(1,4,5,2,3,1,2,1,3,1,2,4,2,1,5,3,4,4,1,4,3,3,4,1,3,5,1,3,1,5,4,5))
model <- 'Theta = 1-32'
# for unconditional intercept comparison
mod <- mirt(data, model, itemtype='Rasch')
#>
Iteration: 1, Log-Lik: -9648.234, Max-Change: 0.28892
Iteration: 2, Log-Lik: -9644.252, Max-Change: 0.04200
Iteration: 3, Log-Lik: -9643.652, Max-Change: 0.01901
Iteration: 4, Log-Lik: -9643.519, Max-Change: 0.00868
Iteration: 5, Log-Lik: -9643.484, Max-Change: 0.00431
Iteration: 6, Log-Lik: -9643.475, Max-Change: 0.00206
Iteration: 7, Log-Lik: -9643.472, Max-Change: 0.00103
Iteration: 8, Log-Lik: -9643.471, Max-Change: 0.00053
Iteration: 9, Log-Lik: -9643.470, Max-Change: 0.00038
Iteration: 10, Log-Lik: -9643.470, Max-Change: 0.00031
Iteration: 11, Log-Lik: -9643.469, Max-Change: 0.00009
coef(mod, simplify=TRUE)
#> $items
#> a1 d g u
#> Item.1 1 -1.077 0 1
#> Item.2 1 0.331 0 1
#> Item.3 1 -1.096 0 1
#> Item.4 1 -0.574 0 1
#> Item.5 1 0.581 0 1
#> Item.6 1 -1.912 0 1
#> Item.7 1 1.342 0 1
#> Item.8 1 -1.593 0 1
#> Item.9 1 2.324 0 1
#> Item.10 1 -0.362 0 1
#> Item.11 1 4.449 0 1
#> Item.12 1 -0.394 0 1
#> Item.13 1 0.791 0 1
#> Item.14 1 1.124 0 1
#> Item.15 1 1.724 0 1
#> Item.16 1 -0.402 0 1
#> Item.17 1 3.620 0 1
#> Item.18 1 -0.709 0 1
#> Item.19 1 0.237 0 1
#> Item.20 1 2.204 0 1
#> Item.21 1 2.684 0 1
#> Item.22 1 2.991 0 1
#> Item.23 1 -0.910 0 1
#> Item.24 1 1.153 0 1
#> Item.25 1 -0.590 0 1
#> Item.26 1 -0.179 0 1
#> Item.27 1 2.094 0 1
#> Item.28 1 0.150 0 1
#> Item.29 1 -0.769 0 1
#> Item.30 1 -0.274 0 1
#> Item.31 1 1.852 0 1
#> Item.32 1 -1.899 0 1
#>
#> $means
#> Theta
#> 0
#>
#> $cov
#> Theta
#> Theta 0.82
#>
# Suppose that the first 16 items were suspected to be easier than the last 16 items,
# and we wish to test this item structure hypothesis (more intercept designs are possible
# by including more columns).
itemdesign <- data.frame(itemorder = factor(c(rep('easier', 16), rep('harder', 16))))
rownames(itemdesign) <- colnames(data)
itemdesign
#> itemorder
#> Item.1 easier
#> Item.2 easier
#> Item.3 easier
#> Item.4 easier
#> Item.5 easier
#> Item.6 easier
#> Item.7 easier
#> Item.8 easier
#> Item.9 easier
#> Item.10 easier
#> Item.11 easier
#> Item.12 easier
#> Item.13 easier
#> Item.14 easier
#> Item.15 easier
#> Item.16 easier
#> Item.17 harder
#> Item.18 harder
#> Item.19 harder
#> Item.20 harder
#> Item.21 harder
#> Item.22 harder
#> Item.23 harder
#> Item.24 harder
#> Item.25 harder
#> Item.26 harder
#> Item.27 harder
#> Item.28 harder
#> Item.29 harder
#> Item.30 harder
#> Item.31 harder
#> Item.32 harder
# notice that the 'fixed = ~ ... + items' argument is omitted
LLTM <- mixedmirt(data, model = model, fixed = ~ 0 + itemorder, itemdesign = itemdesign,
SE = TRUE) # SE argument ensures that the information matrix is computed accurately
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -13135.3, AR(0.55) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -13039.6, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.1211
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -13030.6, AR(0.55) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0434
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -12998.9, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0359
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -12980.3, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0327
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -12971.2, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0388
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -12958.2, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -12920.6, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0267
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -12928.1, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -12979.6, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -12919.2, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -12928.5, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0148
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -12938.7, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -12940.1, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -12902.9, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -12916.6, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -12928.7, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -12909.7, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -12889.6, AR(0.55) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -12925.5, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -12901.5, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -12913.0, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -12902.0, AR(0.55) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -12936.2, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -12890.0, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -12936.7, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -12958.2, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -12929.6, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -12925.7, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -12902.8, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -12884.9, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -12879.3, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -12900.4, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -12891.3, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -12883.5, AR(0.55) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -12870.2, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -12899.1, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -12917.8, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -12867.0, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -12856.7, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -12883.1, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -12887.7, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -12896.0, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -12892.5, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -12871.4, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -12887.9, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -12882.7, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -12867.9, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -12880.8, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -12896.2, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -12856.3, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -12930.0, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -12903.8, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -12901.9, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -12905.9, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -12873.2, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -12879.1, AR(0.55) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -12881.8, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -12880.9, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -12885.0, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -12868.7, AR(0.55) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -12904.0, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -12877.2, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -12899.1, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -12876.9, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -12892.3, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -12870.3, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -12869.1, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -12858.8, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -12909.8, AR(0.55) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -12894.4, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -12887.4, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -12906.3, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -12902.1, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -12879.4, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -12882.0, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -12885.4, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -12884.7, AR(0.55) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -12867.5, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -12849.1, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -12872.4, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -12905.2, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -12887.4, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -12898.6, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -12898.3, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -12892.8, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -12887.3, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -12893.2, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -12911.1, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -12911.7, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -12893.2, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -12874.9, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -12885.9, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -12894.6, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -12888.8, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -12913.6, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -12898.2, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -12919.2, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -12897.7, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -12878.2, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -12863.8, AR(0.55) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -12887.1, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -12876.7, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -12883.9, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -12909.4, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -12884.3, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -12891.8, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -12895.6, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -12888.6, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -12870.7, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -12879.8, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -12881.2, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -12901.6, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -12896.9, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -12905.5, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -12877.9, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -12910.8, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -12918.1, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -12883.1, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -12912.2, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -12888.4, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -12896.2, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -12902.7, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -12883.0, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -12883.6, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -12880.3, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -12864.8, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -12889.2, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -12907.6, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -12874.0, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -12926.6, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -12872.5, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -12908.9, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -12886.2, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -12884.7, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -12899.1, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -12911.3, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -12902.1, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -12911.1, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -12891.7, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -12924.2, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -12915.0, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -12896.4, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -12886.9, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -12869.8, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -12882.1, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -12885.4, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -12867.5, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0002
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -12905.8, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -12894.4, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -12898.0, AR(0.96) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -12886.8, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -12885.5, AR(0.96) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -12889.1, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -12893.7, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -12890.6, AR(0.96) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -12884.1, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -12906.6, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -12895.6, AR(0.96) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -12868.6, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -12905.6, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -12899.1, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -12927.0, AR(0.96) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -12930.3, AR(0.96) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -12906.8, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -12886.3, AR(0.96) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -12891.4, AR(0.96) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -12902.3, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -12888.6, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -12861.5, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -12924.4, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -12929.8, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -12882.5, AR(0.96) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -12897.9, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -12907.0, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -12882.9, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -12878.5, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -12892.1, AR(0.96) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -12881.4, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -12892.8, AR(0.96) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -12903.6, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -12905.7, AR(0.96) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -12882.2, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -12869.6, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -12900.0, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -12868.1, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -12888.0, AR(0.96) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -12891.4, AR(0.96) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -12874.0, AR(0.96) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -12893.6, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -12875.5, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -12887.0, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -12875.4, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -12899.6, AR(0.96) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -12892.6, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -12906.6, AR(0.96) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -12900.4, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -12881.4, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -12871.8, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -12884.4, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -12896.4, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -12883.2, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -12891.2, AR(0.96) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -12874.9, AR(0.96) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -12887.5, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -12909.9, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -12914.2, AR(0.96) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -12880.9, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -12894.8, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -12914.6, AR(0.96) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -12873.9, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -12893.5, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -12861.1, AR(0.96) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -12891.2, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -12857.6, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -12907.1, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -12870.3, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -12876.5, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -12899.6, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -12862.7, AR(0.96) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -12868.0, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -12865.5, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -12881.7, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -12862.1, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -12874.8, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -12879.9, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -12894.3, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -12904.9, AR(0.96) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -12888.8, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -12897.0, AR(0.96) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -12895.0, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -12917.7, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -12893.5, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -12892.4, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -12896.9, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -12906.7, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -12897.8, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -12860.1, AR(0.96) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -12898.1, AR(0.96) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -12879.6, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -12921.0, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -12899.4, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -12912.2, AR(0.96) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -12891.1, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -12883.1, AR(0.96) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -12888.8, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -12895.8, AR(0.96) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -12896.1, AR(0.96) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -12934.8, AR(0.96) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -12892.4, AR(0.96) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -12925.9, AR(0.96) = [0.39], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -12887.8, AR(0.96) = [0.34], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -12897.1, AR(0.96) = [0.37], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -12904.7, AR(0.96) = [0.41], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -12882.4, AR(0.96) = [0.38], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -12886.0, AR(0.96) = [0.38], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -12887.0, AR(0.96) = [0.40], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0008
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(LLTM)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = data, model = model, fixed = ~0 + itemorder,
#> itemdesign = itemdesign, SE = TRUE)
#>
#> --------------
#> FIXED EFFECTS:
#> Estimate Std.Error z.value
#> itemordereasier 0.165 0.029 5.746
#> itemorderharder 0.456 0.029 15.757
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> Theta
#> Theta 0.359
#>
coef(LLTM)
#> $Item.1
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.2
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.3
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.4
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.5
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.6
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.7
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.8
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.9
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.10
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.11
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.12
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.13
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.14
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.15
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.16
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.17
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.18
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.19
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.20
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.21
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.22
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.23
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.24
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.25
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.26
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.27
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.28
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.29
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.30
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.31
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.32
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.165 0.456 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 0.109 0.400 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.221 0.513 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $GroupPars
#> MEAN_1 COV_11
#> par 0 0.359
#> CI_2.5 NA 0.300
#> CI_97.5 NA 0.417
#>
wald(LLTM)
#> itemordereasier.1.7.13.19.25.31.37.43.49.55.61.67.73.79.85.91.97.103.109.115.121.127.133.139.145.151.157.163.169.175.181.187
#> 0.165
#> itemorderharder.2.8.14.20.26.32.38.44.50.56.62.68.74.80.86.92.98.104.110.116.122.128.134.140.146.152.158.164.170.176.182.188
#> 0.456
#> COV_11.194
#> 0.359
L <- matrix(c(-1, 1, 0), 1)
wald(LLTM, L) #first half different from second
#> W df p
#> 1 92.08467 1 0
# compare to items with estimated slopes (2PL)
twoPL <- mixedmirt(data, model = model, fixed = ~ 0 + itemorder, itemtype = '2PL',
itemdesign = itemdesign)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -13169.1, AR(0.67) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -12973.6, AR(0.67) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -12806.4, AR(0.67) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -12606.6, AR(0.67) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -12333.9, AR(0.67) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -12050.4, AR(0.67) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -11794.4, AR(0.67) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -11529.3, AR(0.67) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -11320.6, AR(0.67) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -11184.4, AR(0.67) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -10988.5, AR(0.67) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -10899.0, AR(0.67) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -10843.8, AR(0.67) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -10730.7, AR(0.67) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -10652.2, AR(0.67) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -10576.4, AR(0.67) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -10551.2, AR(0.67) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -10494.9, AR(0.67) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -10457.3, AR(0.67) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -10416.7, AR(0.67) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -10372.7, AR(0.67) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -10362.8, AR(0.67) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -10347.6, AR(0.67) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -10326.8, AR(0.67) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -10276.4, AR(0.67) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -10275.0, AR(0.67) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -10263.3, AR(0.67) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -10226.1, AR(0.67) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -10225.0, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -10252.4, AR(0.67) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -10213.0, AR(0.67) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -10177.2, AR(0.67) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -10183.7, AR(0.67) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -10163.5, AR(0.67) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -10131.6, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -10145.2, AR(0.67) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -10164.6, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -10152.1, AR(0.67) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -10107.9, AR(0.67) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -10090.4, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -10115.4, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -10117.0, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -10127.0, AR(0.67) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -10116.5, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -10123.6, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -10123.0, AR(0.67) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -10109.1, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.1442
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -10086.3, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1334
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -10134.7, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.1011
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -10108.6, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.1513
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -10094.7, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.1542
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -10110.8, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.1931
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -10101.9, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.1260
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -10096.6, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1033
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -10083.5, AR(0.67) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0642
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -10075.3, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0382
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -10068.5, AR(0.67) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0362
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -10066.8, AR(0.67) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0938
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -10085.6, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1657
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -10089.5, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0519
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -10078.7, AR(0.67) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0473
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -10084.2, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0912
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -10068.3, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1021
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -10028.2, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0542
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -10062.5, AR(0.67) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0314
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -10082.9, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0865
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -10077.4, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1497
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -10096.0, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0749
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -10056.6, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0938
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -10040.6, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0806
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -10055.1, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0620
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -10067.3, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1095
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -10065.6, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0995
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -10085.9, AR(0.67) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.0615
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -10076.6, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0376
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -10076.0, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0565
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -10094.9, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1273
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -10049.4, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0580
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -10050.3, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0892
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -10046.9, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1018
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -10048.4, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1197
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -10069.5, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0277
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -10055.6, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0370
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -10045.3, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0888
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -10039.6, AR(0.67) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1287
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -10030.4, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0706
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -10060.1, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0717
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -10050.6, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.1049
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -10060.4, AR(0.67) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0358
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -10056.1, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0426
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -10037.2, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0958
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -10067.4, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0737
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -10054.7, AR(0.67) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0686
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -10043.1, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0378
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -10021.8, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -10028.1, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0456
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -10021.9, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0404
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -10036.5, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0484
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -10067.3, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0489
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -10048.9, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0659
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -10018.6, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0907
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -10003.0, AR(0.67) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0830
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -10039.3, AR(0.67) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0461
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -10031.4, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0758
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -10011.4, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0964
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -10031.4, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0503
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -10030.3, AR(0.67) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1839
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -10028.0, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0628
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -10037.8, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0445
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -10008.1, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0308
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -10025.0, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.1108
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -10015.5, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0750
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -10034.1, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0491
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -10035.2, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.1908
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -10040.0, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0673
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -10001.9, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1160
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -10016.4, AR(0.67) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -10021.9, AR(0.67) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0481
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -10033.9, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1369
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -10062.5, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0348
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -10028.2, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0430
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -10063.4, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0454
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -10046.4, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0662
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -10018.4, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.1296
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -10034.1, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0452
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -10043.7, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0481
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -10035.8, AR(0.67) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.1019
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -10018.1, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0639
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -10004.5, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0883
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -10025.3, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0408
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -10023.0, AR(0.67) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1144
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -9987.6, AR(0.67) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0848
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -10021.8, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0220
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -10008.8, AR(0.67) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0204
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -10009.9, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1042
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -10009.3, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0727
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -9997.6, AR(0.67) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0235
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -10012.8, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1152
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -10033.8, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.1283
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -10046.4, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -10017.0, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1024
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -10014.5, AR(0.67) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0790
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -10001.2, AR(0.67) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0530
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -10010.4, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.1599
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -9998.4, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0882
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -9998.0, AR(0.67) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0701
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -9989.5, AR(0.67) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0432
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -9995.6, AR(0.67) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0908
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -10012.5, AR(0.67) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0740
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -9992.5, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0306
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -10020.4, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1226
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -10002.4, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0799
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -10011.6, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0216
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -9986.1, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0709
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -10001.7, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0772
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -9997.3, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0427
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -9997.3, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0283
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -10000.0, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.1534
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -10011.7, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0620
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -10001.9, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.1452
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -10014.1, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0580
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -10036.1, AR(0.32) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1788
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -10016.8, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -10022.2, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0533
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -10015.3, AR(0.32) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0625
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -10029.7, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0330
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -10029.9, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0542
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -10003.2, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.1262
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -10021.6, AR(0.32) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0511
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -10009.4, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0660
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -10028.5, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0970
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -10053.3, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0928
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -10039.5, AR(0.32) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0803
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -10017.3, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0857
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -10019.5, AR(0.32) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -10027.9, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.1594
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -9979.7, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0863
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -10022.7, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0378
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -10026.8, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0311
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -10009.9, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0886
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -10016.5, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0715
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -10031.5, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1207
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -10021.2, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0359
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -10024.3, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0906
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -10032.6, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.1337
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -10008.0, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0909
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -10003.8, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0324
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -9990.9, AR(0.32) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.1398
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -9993.7, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.1323
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -9984.9, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0913
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -9996.7, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0333
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -9997.0, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0595
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -9969.2, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0449
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -9989.9, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.1344
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -10011.9, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -10019.5, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -10032.4, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0459
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -9995.4, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.1154
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -9989.3, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0319
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -9997.8, AR(0.32) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0714
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -9999.2, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.1099
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -9995.9, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0942
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -10025.7, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0636
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -9994.2, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0819
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -10012.8, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0860
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -10016.0, AR(0.32) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.0412
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -10049.4, AR(0.32) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -10016.3, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0422
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -10023.7, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1284
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -10007.6, AR(0.32) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0594
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -9991.9, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0843
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -9995.5, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0775
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -10009.0, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0348
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -10018.4, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.1056
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -10012.8, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0353
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -10005.3, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0363
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -9993.4, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.1896
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -9991.6, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0535
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -9999.1, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0978
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -9993.0, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0959
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -9992.6, AR(0.32) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.0827
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -9998.5, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0291
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -10020.1, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.1093
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -10012.8, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0862
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -9995.7, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.1114
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -10019.7, AR(0.32) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0440
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -10018.9, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0922
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -10047.7, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0546
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -9999.1, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0655
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -10004.2, AR(0.32) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.1098
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -9995.9, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0620
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -10038.1, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0964
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -10016.1, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.1176
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -10036.4, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0687
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -10004.4, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0395
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -10027.9, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1172
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -10030.2, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1350
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -9998.5, AR(0.32) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.1815
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -10012.1, AR(0.32) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0760
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -10034.1, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0625
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -10041.5, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0623
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -10045.9, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.1998
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -10010.7, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0979
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -10014.5, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.1779
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -10010.4, AR(0.32) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0804
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -10022.6, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.1349
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -10023.0, AR(0.32) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0441
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -10008.7, AR(0.32) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0772
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -10036.9, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1331
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -10010.3, AR(0.32) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1961
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -10006.5, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -9992.2, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0468
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -10003.1, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -10037.4, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -10010.3, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0159
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -9987.5, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -9984.4, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -9999.9, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0233
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -10026.2, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0305
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -10011.4, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0305
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -10017.0, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -9997.2, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -9989.9, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -10006.1, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0119
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -10008.6, AR(0.32) = [0.40], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -10007.9, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -10018.1, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -10030.8, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -10020.4, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -10004.2, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -9996.3, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -9999.0, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -10010.7, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -9989.9, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -10002.5, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -10033.7, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -10024.1, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 3 = 28, CDLL = -10023.3, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0150, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 29, CDLL = -9996.6, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0146, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 30, CDLL = -10035.2, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0142, Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 3 = 31, CDLL = -9998.5, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0139, Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 3 = 32, CDLL = -10011.2, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0135, Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 3 = 33, CDLL = -9998.7, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0132, Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 3 = 34, CDLL = -9996.3, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0129, Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 3 = 35, CDLL = -9990.2, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0126, Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 3 = 36, CDLL = -9995.4, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0124, Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 3 = 37, CDLL = -10012.8, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0121, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 38, CDLL = -10009.4, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0119, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 39, CDLL = -10037.1, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0116, Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 3 = 40, CDLL = -9998.6, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0114, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 41, CDLL = -10008.2, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0112, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 42, CDLL = -10021.5, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0110, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 43, CDLL = -9988.9, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0108, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 44, CDLL = -10028.2, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0106, Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 3 = 45, CDLL = -9993.0, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0104, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 46, CDLL = -9985.0, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0102, Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 3 = 47, CDLL = -9999.6, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0101, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 48, CDLL = -10019.2, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0099, Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 3 = 49, CDLL = -10034.4, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0098, Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 3 = 50, CDLL = -9995.4, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0096, Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 3 = 51, CDLL = -9996.9, AR(0.32) = [0.40], gam = 0.0095, Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 3 = 52, CDLL = -10006.7, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0093, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 53, CDLL = -10016.8, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0092, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 54, CDLL = -9997.0, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0091, Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 3 = 55, CDLL = -10006.9, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0089, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 56, CDLL = -9993.2, AR(0.32) = [0.32], gam = 0.0088, Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 3 = 57, CDLL = -9996.1, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0087, Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 3 = 58, CDLL = -10025.3, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0086, Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 3 = 59, CDLL = -9994.6, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0085, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 60, CDLL = -10001.5, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0084, Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 3 = 61, CDLL = -10008.6, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0082, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 62, CDLL = -9992.2, AR(0.32) = [0.32], gam = 0.0081, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 63, CDLL = -10003.5, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 64, CDLL = -10028.8, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 3 = 65, CDLL = -9976.3, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0079, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 66, CDLL = -10004.1, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0078, Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 3 = 67, CDLL = -10048.0, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0077, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 68, CDLL = -10024.0, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0076, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 69, CDLL = -10010.0, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0075, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 70, CDLL = -10021.2, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0074, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 71, CDLL = -10012.4, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 72, CDLL = -10021.8, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 73, CDLL = -10025.0, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0072, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 74, CDLL = -10027.4, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0071, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 75, CDLL = -10026.0, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 3 = 76, CDLL = -10044.1, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 77, CDLL = -10011.3, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0069, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 78, CDLL = -9998.8, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0068, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 79, CDLL = -10017.5, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0068, Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 3 = 80, CDLL = -9997.0, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0067, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 81, CDLL = -10016.6, AR(0.32) = [0.32], gam = 0.0066, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 82, CDLL = -10012.7, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0066, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 83, CDLL = -9998.5, AR(0.32) = [0.40], gam = 0.0065, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 84, CDLL = -10003.0, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0065, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 85, CDLL = -10007.4, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0064, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 86, CDLL = -9986.6, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0064, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 87, CDLL = -9975.6, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0063, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 88, CDLL = -10007.6, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0062, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 89, CDLL = -9990.7, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0062, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 90, CDLL = -10012.4, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0061, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 91, CDLL = -10018.8, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0061, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 92, CDLL = -10054.5, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0060, Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 3 = 93, CDLL = -9982.3, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0060, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 94, CDLL = -10012.8, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0059, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 95, CDLL = -10024.3, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0059, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 96, CDLL = -9982.6, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 97, CDLL = -9982.5, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 98, CDLL = -9992.9, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 99, CDLL = -9996.3, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0057, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 100, CDLL = -9987.8, AR(0.32) = [0.40], gam = 0.0057, Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 3 = 101, CDLL = -9997.6, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0056, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 102, CDLL = -9988.0, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0056, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 103, CDLL = -9992.2, AR(0.32) = [0.32], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 104, CDLL = -10011.9, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 105, CDLL = -10012.6, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 106, CDLL = -9980.5, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0054, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 107, CDLL = -9991.7, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0054, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 108, CDLL = -9973.8, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 109, CDLL = -9973.5, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 110, CDLL = -10010.4, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 111, CDLL = -9984.5, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 112, CDLL = -10017.7, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 113, CDLL = -10032.8, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 114, CDLL = -10019.3, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 115, CDLL = -10039.4, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 3 = 116, CDLL = -10031.8, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 117, CDLL = -9987.3, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 118, CDLL = -10021.5, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 119, CDLL = -10007.3, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 120, CDLL = -10025.9, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 121, CDLL = -9987.7, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 122, CDLL = -10002.0, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 123, CDLL = -10011.8, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 124, CDLL = -10033.8, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 125, CDLL = -10033.3, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 3 = 126, CDLL = -9994.6, AR(0.32) = [0.32], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 127, CDLL = -10031.7, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 128, CDLL = -10001.0, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 129, CDLL = -10009.4, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 3 = 130, CDLL = -9994.1, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 131, CDLL = -10013.3, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 132, CDLL = -10025.1, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 133, CDLL = -9989.1, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 134, CDLL = -9993.7, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 135, CDLL = -10031.0, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 136, CDLL = -10046.1, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 137, CDLL = -10009.3, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 138, CDLL = -10017.9, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 139, CDLL = -10018.5, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 140, CDLL = -10040.5, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 141, CDLL = -9997.4, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 142, CDLL = -10006.6, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 143, CDLL = -10042.9, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 144, CDLL = -10032.4, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 145, CDLL = -10001.5, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 146, CDLL = -10010.1, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 147, CDLL = -9982.2, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 148, CDLL = -9991.0, AR(0.32) = [0.40], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 149, CDLL = -10017.1, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 150, CDLL = -10022.1, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 151, CDLL = -10019.7, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 152, CDLL = -10016.4, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 153, CDLL = -9999.2, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 154, CDLL = -10010.9, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 155, CDLL = -10049.0, AR(0.32) = [0.32], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 156, CDLL = -10034.6, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 157, CDLL = -10034.9, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 158, CDLL = -10009.6, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 159, CDLL = -10037.1, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 160, CDLL = -10007.7, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 161, CDLL = -10026.2, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 162, CDLL = -9981.0, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 163, CDLL = -9984.5, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 164, CDLL = -9995.5, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 165, CDLL = -9987.8, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 166, CDLL = -9985.6, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 167, CDLL = -9968.9, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 168, CDLL = -10001.1, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 169, CDLL = -9978.6, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 170, CDLL = -10014.3, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 171, CDLL = -10012.5, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 172, CDLL = -9993.5, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 173, CDLL = -10037.0, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 174, CDLL = -9987.9, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 175, CDLL = -10028.0, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 176, CDLL = -10014.8, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 177, CDLL = -9987.4, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 178, CDLL = -9978.3, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 179, CDLL = -9985.0, AR(0.32) = [0.32], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 180, CDLL = -10026.6, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 181, CDLL = -9995.1, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 182, CDLL = -10021.7, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 183, CDLL = -9995.5, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 184, CDLL = -10033.4, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 185, CDLL = -9996.7, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 186, CDLL = -10009.1, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 187, CDLL = -10023.8, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 188, CDLL = -10011.9, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 189, CDLL = -9989.0, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 190, CDLL = -10010.6, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 191, CDLL = -10023.4, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 192, CDLL = -10000.8, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 193, CDLL = -10008.1, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 194, CDLL = -10035.5, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 195, CDLL = -10026.2, AR(0.32) = [0.37], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 196, CDLL = -10007.5, AR(0.32) = [0.34], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 197, CDLL = -9999.5, AR(0.32) = [0.38], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 198, CDLL = -10027.4, AR(0.32) = [0.33], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 199, CDLL = -10020.9, AR(0.32) = [0.35], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 200, CDLL = -10017.6, AR(0.32) = [0.36], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 201, CDLL = -10024.6, AR(0.32) = [0.39], gam = 0.0033, Max-Change = 0.0007
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
# twoPL not mixing too well (AR should be between .2 and .5), decrease MHcand
twoPL <- mixedmirt(data, model = model, fixed = ~ 0 + itemorder, itemtype = '2PL',
itemdesign = itemdesign, technical = list(MHcand = 0.8))
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -13161.1, AR(0.80) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -12996.3, AR(0.80) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -12829.7, AR(0.80) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -12629.9, AR(0.80) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -12383.1, AR(0.80) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -12096.1, AR(0.80) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -11817.9, AR(0.80) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -11579.6, AR(0.80) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -11362.9, AR(0.80) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -11202.2, AR(0.80) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -11041.0, AR(0.80) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -10934.4, AR(0.80) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -10879.2, AR(0.80) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -10750.2, AR(0.80) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -10680.0, AR(0.80) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -10624.2, AR(0.80) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -10560.3, AR(0.80) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -10492.8, AR(0.80) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -10442.9, AR(0.80) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -10421.8, AR(0.80) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -10386.5, AR(0.80) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -10389.7, AR(0.80) = [0.32], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -10353.7, AR(0.80) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -10327.2, AR(0.80) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -10291.3, AR(0.80) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -10274.9, AR(0.80) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -10251.1, AR(0.80) = [0.33], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -10230.2, AR(0.80) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -10225.2, AR(0.80) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -10225.3, AR(0.80) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -10202.1, AR(0.80) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -10180.7, AR(0.80) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -10173.7, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -10154.4, AR(0.80) = [0.31], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -10129.5, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -10148.9, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -10163.2, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -10149.7, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -10096.4, AR(0.80) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -10086.6, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -10098.0, AR(0.80) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -10106.8, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -10101.4, AR(0.80) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -10104.4, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -10109.9, AR(0.80) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -10113.9, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -10096.2, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.1580
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -10080.5, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1493
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -10082.7, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1590
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -10093.8, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.1453
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -10081.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1497
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -10088.5, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -10090.9, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.1382
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -10056.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1473
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -10073.3, AR(0.80) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0963
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -10049.1, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0840
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -10051.9, AR(0.80) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0516
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -10054.5, AR(0.80) = [0.30], Max-Change = 0.0416
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -10052.5, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0567
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -10077.4, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0582
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -10082.2, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0715
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -10072.5, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0502
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -10055.6, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0950
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -10048.6, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0412
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -10065.4, AR(0.80) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0287
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -10094.4, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0941
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -10050.7, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.1107
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -10071.1, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1413
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -10049.2, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1043
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -10046.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0567
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -10038.8, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0544
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -10049.3, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0555
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -10040.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0547
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -10034.5, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0563
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -10049.4, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0415
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -10032.4, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0593
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -10053.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0620
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -10035.0, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0563
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -10033.5, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1559
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -10037.1, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1268
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -10041.4, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0883
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -10034.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1939
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -10029.9, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0395
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -10024.7, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0775
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -10023.0, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.1430
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -10015.0, AR(0.80) = [0.21], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -10022.3, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0591
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -10015.3, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0400
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -10026.8, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0300
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -10037.8, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0472
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -10050.3, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0765
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -10056.8, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0602
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -10040.4, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0876
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -10028.8, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0224
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -10021.6, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0339
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -10012.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0400
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -10015.8, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0394
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -10028.6, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0533
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -10042.4, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0396
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -10036.1, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0462
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -10016.6, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0959
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -10007.9, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0746
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -10034.0, AR(0.80) = [0.20], Max-Change = 0.1065
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -10005.5, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1064
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -9989.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1416
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -10031.2, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1050
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -10065.2, AR(0.80) = [0.22], Max-Change = 0.0815
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -10031.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0823
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -10047.4, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -10017.8, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0448
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -10021.7, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0489
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -10001.9, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0875
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -9991.3, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0658
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -10026.7, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1561
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -10025.2, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1379
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -10009.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1195
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -10021.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1394
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -9998.0, AR(0.80) = [0.21], Max-Change = 0.1107
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -10028.8, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0919
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -10040.2, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0363
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -10026.8, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0454
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -10053.1, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0601
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -10030.0, AR(0.80) = [0.22], Max-Change = 0.0507
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -10028.2, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0918
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -10023.2, AR(0.80) = [0.29], Max-Change = 0.0841
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -10043.4, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0292
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -10031.5, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0758
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -10016.0, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0761
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -9994.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1493
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -10013.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0472
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -10026.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1030
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -10004.7, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -10024.7, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0412
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -10008.8, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0247
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -10018.3, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0416
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -9995.5, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1399
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -9996.5, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.1462
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -10005.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -10011.7, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0908
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -10023.7, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -10019.6, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1294
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -9987.4, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0560
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -9998.4, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0362
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -10005.0, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.1113
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -9992.5, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0892
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -9994.7, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0927
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -9992.6, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0413
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -9994.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0558
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -10008.8, AR(0.80) = [0.22], Max-Change = 0.0763
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -10025.0, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.1423
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -10032.1, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0551
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -10012.5, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0409
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -10021.8, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0732
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -10022.7, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1227
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -10023.1, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0615
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -9993.2, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1213
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -10002.3, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1253
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -9991.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0463
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -10024.4, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0600
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -10021.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1780
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -10047.2, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1414
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -10031.1, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0771
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -10017.8, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.1539
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -10003.9, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0594
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -10003.3, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0397
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -9994.8, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0837
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -10012.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0690
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -10030.5, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0433
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -10017.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0624
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -10016.7, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0244
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -10020.2, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0493
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -10026.0, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.1388
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -10007.3, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0777
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -10042.2, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0834
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -10008.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0300
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -10011.6, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0289
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -10015.4, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0614
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -9998.7, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1249
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -9998.2, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0689
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -9989.8, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0364
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -10039.6, AR(0.80) = [0.21], Max-Change = 0.0754
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -10035.0, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.1376
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -10027.8, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0851
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -10011.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0522
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -10013.2, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0723
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -9989.7, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0945
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -9992.2, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1353
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -10007.6, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0725
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -9997.2, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0754
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -10030.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1172
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -10011.4, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0907
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -10026.5, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -9990.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0900
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -10021.4, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0957
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -10019.0, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1489
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -10049.5, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0403
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -10036.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0805
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -10037.4, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1271
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -10032.8, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0559
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -10039.3, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0699
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -10035.0, AR(0.80) = [0.21], Max-Change = 0.0948
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -10014.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0515
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -10018.9, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0648
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -10001.5, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.1273
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -10021.7, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0964
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -10021.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0342
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -10021.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1370
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -9992.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0237
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -10007.3, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0425
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -10040.4, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0494
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -10008.7, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0508
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -10013.7, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0394
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -10013.3, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1035
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -10021.3, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0739
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -10014.4, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0707
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -9999.5, AR(0.80) = [0.21], Max-Change = 0.0908
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -9988.6, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0850
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -9993.0, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0558
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -10018.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1103
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -10013.5, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1808
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -10006.4, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1738
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -10003.5, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.1432
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -10024.7, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0501
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -9995.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -10002.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.0585
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -10009.7, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1046
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -10012.2, AR(0.80) = [0.22], Max-Change = 0.1443
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -10017.4, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.1918
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -9985.9, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0686
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -10003.8, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0578
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -10019.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0658
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -10026.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0790
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -10052.4, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1219
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -10024.9, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1074
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -10036.8, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1143
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -10037.0, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1944
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -10035.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -10036.4, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0279
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -10023.6, AR(0.80) = [0.22], Max-Change = 0.1737
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -10039.7, AR(0.80) = [0.28], Max-Change = 0.0589
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -10038.8, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1507
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -10025.5, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.1349
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -10035.9, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0647
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -10021.1, AR(0.80) = [0.26], Max-Change = 0.1399
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -10027.1, AR(0.80) = [0.23], Max-Change = 0.0462
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -10036.5, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1044
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -10041.4, AR(0.80) = [0.27], Max-Change = 0.0908
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -10040.5, AR(0.80) = [0.24], Max-Change = 0.0564
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -10061.0, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.0726
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -10042.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], Max-Change = 0.1225
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -10027.2, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -10011.8, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0746
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -10021.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0272
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -10011.8, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0412
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -10005.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0188
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -10020.0, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -10023.2, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0202
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -10021.8, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -9991.1, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -10020.2, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -10043.7, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -10017.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0220
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -10028.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -10008.6, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -10022.7, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -10012.7, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0220
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -10010.3, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -10014.9, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -9998.7, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -10015.8, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -10037.0, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -10011.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -10027.6, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -10018.7, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -10030.9, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -10006.6, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -10043.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 3 = 28, CDLL = -10015.5, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0150, Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 3 = 29, CDLL = -10004.7, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0146, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 30, CDLL = -10004.0, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0142, Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 3 = 31, CDLL = -10016.3, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0139, Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 3 = 32, CDLL = -10009.8, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0135, Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 3 = 33, CDLL = -9991.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0132, Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 3 = 34, CDLL = -10009.4, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0129, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 35, CDLL = -10006.5, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0126, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 36, CDLL = -9976.5, AR(0.80) = [0.22], gam = 0.0124, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 37, CDLL = -9954.8, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0121, Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 3 = 38, CDLL = -10015.3, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0119, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 39, CDLL = -10013.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0116, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 40, CDLL = -10013.7, AR(0.80) = [0.22], gam = 0.0114, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 41, CDLL = -9994.8, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0112, Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 3 = 42, CDLL = -9998.6, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0110, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 43, CDLL = -10013.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0108, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 44, CDLL = -10019.7, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0106, Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 3 = 45, CDLL = -10024.9, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0104, Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 3 = 46, CDLL = -10021.3, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0102, Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 3 = 47, CDLL = -10018.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0101, Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 3 = 48, CDLL = -10012.6, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0099, Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 3 = 49, CDLL = -10031.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0098, Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 3 = 50, CDLL = -9998.1, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0096, Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 3 = 51, CDLL = -9988.3, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0095, Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 3 = 52, CDLL = -9970.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0093, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 53, CDLL = -10019.5, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0092, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 54, CDLL = -10015.8, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0091, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 55, CDLL = -9994.6, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0089, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 56, CDLL = -9978.9, AR(0.80) = [0.22], gam = 0.0088, Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 3 = 57, CDLL = -10002.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0087, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 58, CDLL = -10015.3, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0086, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 59, CDLL = -10015.2, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0085, Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 3 = 60, CDLL = -10069.1, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0084, Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 3 = 61, CDLL = -10022.8, AR(0.80) = [0.21], gam = 0.0082, Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 3 = 62, CDLL = -10005.2, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0081, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 63, CDLL = -10026.2, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 3 = 64, CDLL = -10028.3, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 3 = 65, CDLL = -10004.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0079, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 66, CDLL = -10004.4, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0078, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 67, CDLL = -10035.7, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0077, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 68, CDLL = -10020.3, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0076, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 69, CDLL = -10008.0, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0075, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 70, CDLL = -10023.3, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0074, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 71, CDLL = -10037.7, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 72, CDLL = -10029.7, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 73, CDLL = -10018.3, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0072, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 74, CDLL = -10016.4, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0071, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 75, CDLL = -10027.3, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 76, CDLL = -10026.2, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 3 = 77, CDLL = -10001.7, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0069, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 78, CDLL = -9993.5, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0068, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 79, CDLL = -10005.7, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0068, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 80, CDLL = -10015.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0067, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 81, CDLL = -10002.3, AR(0.80) = [0.22], gam = 0.0066, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 82, CDLL = -9996.4, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0066, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 83, CDLL = -10012.5, AR(0.80) = [0.29], gam = 0.0065, Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 3 = 84, CDLL = -10017.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0065, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 85, CDLL = -10015.5, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0064, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 86, CDLL = -9973.0, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0064, Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 3 = 87, CDLL = -9986.7, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0063, Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 3 = 88, CDLL = -9995.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0062, Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 3 = 89, CDLL = -9994.7, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0062, Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 3 = 90, CDLL = -10006.5, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0061, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 91, CDLL = -10029.4, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0061, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 92, CDLL = -10055.3, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0060, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 93, CDLL = -10021.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0060, Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 3 = 94, CDLL = -10015.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0059, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 95, CDLL = -10031.8, AR(0.80) = [0.21], gam = 0.0059, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 96, CDLL = -9997.9, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 97, CDLL = -9990.5, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 3 = 98, CDLL = -9978.7, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 99, CDLL = -10014.9, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0057, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 100, CDLL = -9994.1, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0057, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 101, CDLL = -10040.0, AR(0.80) = [0.29], gam = 0.0056, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 102, CDLL = -10019.5, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0056, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 103, CDLL = -10021.3, AR(0.80) = [0.22], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 104, CDLL = -10037.4, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 105, CDLL = -10007.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 106, CDLL = -9991.6, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0054, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 107, CDLL = -9985.5, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0054, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 108, CDLL = -10018.9, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 109, CDLL = -9984.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 110, CDLL = -10025.7, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 111, CDLL = -10014.7, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 112, CDLL = -9999.4, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 113, CDLL = -10017.7, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 114, CDLL = -10012.5, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 115, CDLL = -10014.8, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 116, CDLL = -10025.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 117, CDLL = -9985.4, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 118, CDLL = -10002.5, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 119, CDLL = -9993.2, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 120, CDLL = -9987.9, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 121, CDLL = -9994.4, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 122, CDLL = -10031.3, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 123, CDLL = -10059.2, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 124, CDLL = -10031.4, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 125, CDLL = -10009.7, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 126, CDLL = -9983.4, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 3 = 127, CDLL = -10016.0, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 3 = 128, CDLL = -10013.3, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 129, CDLL = -10033.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 130, CDLL = -10039.6, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 131, CDLL = -10017.3, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 132, CDLL = -10028.8, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 133, CDLL = -10002.3, AR(0.80) = [0.29], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 134, CDLL = -10007.0, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 135, CDLL = -10020.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 136, CDLL = -9999.9, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 137, CDLL = -10014.1, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 138, CDLL = -10025.5, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 139, CDLL = -10014.9, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 140, CDLL = -10008.3, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 141, CDLL = -10014.9, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 142, CDLL = -10010.2, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 143, CDLL = -10026.5, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 144, CDLL = -10038.6, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 145, CDLL = -9995.2, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 3 = 146, CDLL = -9991.9, AR(0.80) = [0.20], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 147, CDLL = -10000.0, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 148, CDLL = -9966.8, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 149, CDLL = -10022.6, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 150, CDLL = -10022.8, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 151, CDLL = -10053.4, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 152, CDLL = -10011.8, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 153, CDLL = -10007.4, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 154, CDLL = -9994.9, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 155, CDLL = -10006.1, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 156, CDLL = -10026.5, AR(0.80) = [0.22], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 157, CDLL = -9994.6, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 158, CDLL = -9986.0, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 159, CDLL = -9993.9, AR(0.80) = [0.22], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 160, CDLL = -9973.2, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 161, CDLL = -10001.9, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 162, CDLL = -9998.5, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 163, CDLL = -10005.7, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 164, CDLL = -9998.4, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 165, CDLL = -10011.3, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 166, CDLL = -10011.5, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 167, CDLL = -10017.4, AR(0.80) = [0.22], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 168, CDLL = -10023.0, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 169, CDLL = -10011.1, AR(0.80) = [0.26], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 170, CDLL = -9991.5, AR(0.80) = [0.21], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 171, CDLL = -10001.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 172, CDLL = -9992.5, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 173, CDLL = -10028.7, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 174, CDLL = -9992.1, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 175, CDLL = -10029.8, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 176, CDLL = -10053.8, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 177, CDLL = -10014.3, AR(0.80) = [0.27], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 178, CDLL = -10017.1, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 179, CDLL = -10003.1, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 180, CDLL = -10010.2, AR(0.80) = [0.29], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 181, CDLL = -9985.6, AR(0.80) = [0.22], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 182, CDLL = -10008.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 183, CDLL = -10008.7, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 184, CDLL = -10009.6, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 185, CDLL = -9999.3, AR(0.80) = [0.25], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 186, CDLL = -10018.0, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 187, CDLL = -10008.3, AR(0.80) = [0.28], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 188, CDLL = -10009.6, AR(0.80) = [0.23], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 189, CDLL = -9998.6, AR(0.80) = [0.24], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0005
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
anova(twoPL, LLTM) #much better fit
#> AIC SABIC HQ BIC logLik X2 df p
#> twoPL 20484.33 20525.88 20542.52 20633.82 -10208.16
#> LLTM 25464.27 25467.94 25469.41 25477.47 -12729.14 -5041.948 -31 NaN
summary(twoPL)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = data, model = model, fixed = ~0 + itemorder,
#> itemtype = "2PL", itemdesign = itemdesign, technical = list(MHcand = 0.8))
#>
#> --------------
#> FIXED EFFECTS:
#> Estimate Std.Error z.value
#> itemordereasier -1.669 0.087 -19.127
#> itemorderharder -1.644 0.095 -17.316
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> Theta
#> Theta 1
#>
coef(twoPL)
#> $Item.1
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 0.930 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 0.696 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 1.165 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.2
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 2.526 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 2.201 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 2.851 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.3
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 1.00 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 0.77 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 1.23 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.4
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 1.288 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 1.035 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 1.540 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.5
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 2.704 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 2.359 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 3.049 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.6
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 0.42 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 0.19 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 0.65 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.7
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 3.913 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 3.461 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 4.365 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.8
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 0.513 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 0.282 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 0.744 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.9
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 5.455 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 4.840 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 6.071 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.10
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 1.628 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 1.352 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 1.905 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.11
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 13.512 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 10.680 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 16.344 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.12
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 1.245 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 0.974 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 1.515 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.13
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 3.042 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 2.668 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 3.416 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.14
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 3.488 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 3.076 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 3.899 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.15
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 4.749 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 4.225 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 5.272 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.16
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 1.469 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 1.205 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 1.733 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.17
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 9.952 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 8.451 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 11.454 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.18
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 1.408 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 1.145 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 1.670 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.19
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 2.155 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 1.825 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 2.486 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.20
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 5.787 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 5.118 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 6.456 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.21
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 6.345 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 5.595 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 7.094 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.22
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 7.826 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 6.827 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 8.824 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.23
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 0.982 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 0.732 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 1.231 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.24
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 3.622 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 3.186 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 4.057 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.25
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 1.293 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 1.021 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 1.565 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.26
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 1.907 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 1.608 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 2.205 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.27
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 5.656 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 5.018 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 6.293 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.28
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 2.120 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 1.807 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 2.433 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.29
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 1.165 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 0.910 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 1.420 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.30
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 1.442 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 1.156 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 1.727 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.31
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 5.235 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 4.637 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 5.832 NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.32
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par -1.669 -1.644 0.097 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -1.840 -1.831 -0.163 NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 -1.498 -1.458 0.357 NA NA NA
#>
#> $GroupPars
#> MEAN_1 COV_11
#> par 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA NA
#>
wald(twoPL)
#> itemordereasier.1.7.13.19.25.31.37.43.49.55.61.67.73.79.85.91.97.103.109.115.121.127.133.139.145.151.157.163.169.175.181.187
#> -1.669
#> itemorderharder.2.8.14.20.26.32.38.44.50.56.62.68.74.80.86.92.98.104.110.116.122.128.134.140.146.152.158.164.170.176.182.188
#> -1.644
#> a1.3
#> 0.930
#> a1.9
#> 2.526
#> a1.15
#> 1.000
#> a1.21
#> 1.288
#> a1.27
#> 2.704
#> a1.33
#> 0.420
#> a1.39
#> 3.913
#> a1.45
#> 0.513
#> a1.51
#> 5.455
#> a1.57
#> 1.628
#> a1.63
#> 13.512
#> a1.69
#> 1.245
#> a1.75
#> 3.042
#> a1.81
#> 3.488
#> a1.87
#> 4.749
#> a1.93
#> 1.469
#> a1.99
#> 9.952
#> a1.105
#> 1.408
#> a1.111
#> 2.155
#> a1.117
#> 5.787
#> a1.123
#> 6.345
#> a1.129
#> 7.826
#> a1.135
#> 0.982
#> a1.141
#> 3.622
#> a1.147
#> 1.293
#> a1.153
#> 1.907
#> a1.159
#> 5.656
#> a1.165
#> 2.120
#> a1.171
#> 1.165
#> a1.177
#> 1.442
#> a1.183
#> 5.235
#> a1.189
#> 0.097
L <- matrix(0, 1, 34)
L[1, 1] <- 1
L[1, 2] <- -1
wald(twoPL, L) # n.s., which is the correct conclusion. Rasch approach gave wrong inference
#> W df p
#> 1 0.07451603 1 0.7848715
## LLTM with item error term
LLTMwithError <- mixedmirt(data, model = model, fixed = ~ 0 + itemorder, random = ~ 1|items,
itemdesign = itemdesign)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -13135.3, AR(0.55) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -13039.6, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.1211
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -13030.6, AR(0.55) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0434
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -12998.9, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0359
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -12980.3, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0327
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -12971.2, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0388
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -12958.2, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -12920.6, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0267
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -12928.1, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -12979.6, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -12919.2, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -12928.5, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0148
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -12938.7, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -12940.1, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -12902.9, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -12916.6, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -12928.7, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -12909.7, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -12889.6, AR(0.55) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -12925.5, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -12901.5, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -12913.0, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -12902.0, AR(0.55) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -12936.2, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -12890.0, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -12936.7, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -12958.2, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -12929.6, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -12925.7, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -12902.8, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -12884.9, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -12879.3, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -12900.4, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -12891.3, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -12883.5, AR(0.55) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -12870.2, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -12899.1, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -12917.8, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -12867.0, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -12856.7, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -12883.1, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -12887.7, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -12896.0, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -12892.5, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -12871.4, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -12887.9, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -12882.7, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -12867.9, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -12880.8, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -12896.2, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -12856.3, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -12930.0, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -12903.8, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -12901.9, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -12905.9, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -12873.2, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -12879.1, AR(0.55) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -12881.8, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -12880.9, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -12885.0, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -12868.7, AR(0.55) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -12904.0, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -12877.2, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -12899.1, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -12876.9, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -12892.3, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -12870.3, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -12869.1, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -12858.8, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -12909.8, AR(0.55) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -12894.4, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -12887.4, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -12906.3, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -12902.1, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -12879.4, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -12882.0, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -12885.4, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -12884.7, AR(0.55) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -12867.5, AR(0.55) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -12849.1, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -12872.4, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -12905.2, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -12887.4, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -12898.6, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -12898.3, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -12892.8, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -12887.3, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -12893.2, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -12911.1, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -12911.7, AR(0.55) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -12893.2, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -12874.9, AR(0.55) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -12885.9, AR(0.55) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -12894.6, AR(0.55) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -12888.8, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -12913.6, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -12898.2, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -12919.2, AR(0.55) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -12897.7, AR(0.55) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -9936.3, AR(0.48) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -9947.9, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.49; 0.56], Max-Change = 0.0703
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -9954.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.50; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0721
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -9919.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.52; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0756
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -9946.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0767
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -9940.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0753
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -9954.5, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0733
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -9961.3, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.49; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0733
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -9940.3, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.51; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0746
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -9958.5, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0813
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -9934.5, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.50; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0766
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -9927.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0805
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -9897.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0598
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -9929.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.51; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0810
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -9919.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0682
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -9961.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0495
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -9956.5, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0376
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -9952.3, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0505
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -9914.8, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0389
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -9950.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.50; 0.03], Max-Change = 0.0431
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -9909.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0425
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -9958.0, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.52; 0.03], Max-Change = 0.0365
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -9939.1, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -9938.9, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0223
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -9969.5, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0212
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -9961.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -9959.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -9970.1, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.60; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -9970.8, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -9986.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -9980.0, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -9923.9, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.52; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0469
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -9949.0, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -9949.0, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.51; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0240
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -9928.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0292
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -9932.3, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -9958.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0413
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -9977.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -9950.1, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.52; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -9976.9, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.57; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -9967.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -9943.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -9993.8, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -9986.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -9941.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0423
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -10008.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -9954.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -9976.9, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -9983.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -9982.3, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -9989.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 1 = 151, CDLL = -9971.8, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 152, CDLL = -9984.5, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.57; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0326
Stage 1 = 153, CDLL = -9970.9, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 1 = 154, CDLL = -9956.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0608
Stage 1 = 155, CDLL = -9958.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0353
Stage 1 = 156, CDLL = -9966.1, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.57; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 1 = 157, CDLL = -9980.1, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 158, CDLL = -9955.7, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.57; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 159, CDLL = -9953.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0236
Stage 1 = 160, CDLL = -9957.9, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0192
Stage 1 = 161, CDLL = -9954.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 162, CDLL = -9950.3, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.52; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 163, CDLL = -9965.1, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.51; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 164, CDLL = -9987.1, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0269
Stage 1 = 165, CDLL = -9934.3, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 166, CDLL = -9960.8, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 1 = 167, CDLL = -9960.5, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 168, CDLL = -9957.5, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.51; 0.03], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 169, CDLL = -10004.9, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.57; 0.03], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 1 = 170, CDLL = -9968.3, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0172
Stage 1 = 171, CDLL = -9955.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.51; 0.03], Max-Change = 0.0192
Stage 1 = 172, CDLL = -9951.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 173, CDLL = -9959.5, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 1 = 174, CDLL = -9964.7, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 175, CDLL = -9970.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 1 = 176, CDLL = -9943.7, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 177, CDLL = -9989.0, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 178, CDLL = -9949.0, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 1 = 179, CDLL = -9955.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 180, CDLL = -9943.7, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.51; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 181, CDLL = -9979.1, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0275
Stage 1 = 182, CDLL = -9946.0, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 1 = 183, CDLL = -9966.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.00], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 184, CDLL = -9983.4, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.55; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0265
Stage 1 = 185, CDLL = -9923.8, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 186, CDLL = -9945.7, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 187, CDLL = -9961.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.58; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 188, CDLL = -9939.5, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.58; 0.03], Max-Change = 0.0211
Stage 1 = 189, CDLL = -9945.1, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.03], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 190, CDLL = -9935.9, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.52; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 191, CDLL = -9943.7, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.52; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0203
Stage 1 = 192, CDLL = -9949.7, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.54; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0169
Stage 1 = 193, CDLL = -9938.8, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.52; 0.03], Max-Change = 0.0201
Stage 1 = 194, CDLL = -9969.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 195, CDLL = -9957.5, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0366
Stage 1 = 196, CDLL = -9973.0, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.52; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0321
Stage 1 = 197, CDLL = -9953.3, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.53; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0214
Stage 1 = 198, CDLL = -9952.2, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.49; 0.03], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 199, CDLL = -9948.6, AR(0.48; 0.05) = [0.56; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 200, CDLL = -9956.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0295
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -9949.8, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -9915.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -9952.2, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -9985.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -10002.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -9977.2, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -9997.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0135
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -9974.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -9957.1, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -9921.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -9939.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -9959.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -9964.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -9965.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -9958.1, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.03], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -9977.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.06], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -9961.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -9937.5, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -9979.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -9952.5, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -9947.5, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -9956.7, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -9951.6, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -9941.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0218
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -9952.6, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -9917.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -9955.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -9968.5, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -9966.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -9950.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -9972.7, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -9951.6, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -9922.6, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -9924.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -9975.5, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -9957.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -9957.2, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -9924.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -9931.5, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -9954.2, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -9949.5, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -9974.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -9951.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -9944.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -9974.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -9950.2, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -9975.7, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -9981.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -9955.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -9948.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -9960.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -9942.1, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -9937.2, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -9960.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -9949.8, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -9965.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -9945.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -9969.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -9931.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -9917.7, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -9932.1, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -9918.5, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -9944.8, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -9955.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -9952.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -9954.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -9946.1, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -9977.8, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -9940.1, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -9973.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -9954.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -9962.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -9946.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -9945.7, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -9966.2, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -9943.5, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -9949.6, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -9941.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -9960.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -9971.2, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -9958.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -9975.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -9989.7, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -9979.2, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -9956.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -9961.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -9951.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -9953.1, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -9972.2, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -9972.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -9923.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -9957.8, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -9943.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -9965.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -9948.9, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -9971.6, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -9968.3, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -9955.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -9995.1, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.44; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -9980.4, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -10003.0, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.09], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -9979.6, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.19], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -9988.1, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.25], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -9967.6, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.09], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -9965.6, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.16], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -9948.6, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.16], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -9945.8, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.19], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -9954.1, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.16], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -9951.8, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.22], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -9948.2, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.16], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0003
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -9922.6, AR(1.26; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.22], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0010
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(LLTMwithError)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = data, model = model, fixed = ~0 + itemorder,
#> random = ~1 | items, itemdesign = itemdesign)
#>
#> --------------
#> FIXED EFFECTS:
#> Estimate Std.Error z.value
#> itemordereasier 0.147 0.153 0.961
#> itemorderharder 0.567 0.138 4.107
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> Theta
#> Theta 0.77
#>
#> $items
#> COV_items
#> COV_items 2.36
#>
# large item level variance after itemorder is regressed; not a great predictor of item difficulty
coef(LLTMwithError)
#> $Item.1
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.2
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.3
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.4
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.5
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.6
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.7
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.8
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.9
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.10
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.11
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.12
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.13
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.14
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.15
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.16
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.17
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.18
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.19
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.20
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.21
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.22
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.23
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.24
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.25
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.26
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.27
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.28
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.29
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.30
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.31
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $Item.32
#> itemordereasier itemorderharder a1 d g u
#> par 0.147 0.567 1 0 0 1
#> CI_2.5 -0.153 0.296 NA NA NA NA
#> CI_97.5 0.446 0.838 NA NA NA NA
#>
#> $GroupPars
#> MEAN_1 COV_11
#> par 0 0.770
#> CI_2.5 NA 0.656
#> CI_97.5 NA 0.884
#>
#> $items
#> COV_items_items
#> par 2.363
#> CI_2.5 1.229
#> CI_97.5 3.497
#>
###################################################
### Polytomous example
# make an arbitrary group difference
covdat <- data.frame(group = rep(c('m', 'f'), nrow(Science)/2))
# partial credit model
mod <- mixedmirt(Science, covdat, model=1, fixed = ~ 0 + group)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -2033.5, AR(1.64) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -2049.4, AR(1.64) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -2028.4, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -2025.9, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1962
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -2040.8, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.1682
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -2027.2, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1133
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -1979.7, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0674
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -1997.7, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0992
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -1998.6, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0598
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -1993.7, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0391
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -2011.7, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0767
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -2024.3, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0756
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -2011.9, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0498
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -1994.3, AR(1.64) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0341
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -2000.1, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0267
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -1999.4, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0180
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -2004.3, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0456
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -1998.1, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0402
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -1989.0, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0274
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -1961.0, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0393
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -1974.9, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0554
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -2002.2, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0284
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -1998.5, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -1994.9, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -1987.8, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0220
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -1994.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -1980.0, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -1986.2, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0283
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -1991.0, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0373
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -2014.2, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0308
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -1964.0, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -1991.7, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -1992.7, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0788
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -1999.4, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -1983.8, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0216
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -1999.0, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -2001.4, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -1984.1, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0380
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -2005.5, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0473
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -1965.2, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0301
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -1991.4, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0510
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -1991.2, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0303
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -1993.8, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0534
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -1972.8, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0369
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -1976.2, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0366
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -1972.2, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -1965.3, AR(1.64) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -1976.4, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -1978.9, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0241
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -1967.4, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -1990.8, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -1995.3, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0322
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -1976.4, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -1983.0, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0257
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -1995.0, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0167
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -1978.4, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -1986.4, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0230
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -1993.7, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -1983.8, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0330
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -1981.5, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -1978.2, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0185
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -1969.1, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -1968.3, AR(1.64) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0584
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -1990.8, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -1991.7, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0264
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -1976.7, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0230
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -1978.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0302
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -1997.2, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0573
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -1967.5, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -1965.8, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0394
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -1982.2, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0492
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -1965.7, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1002
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -1963.2, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0201
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -1995.2, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0600
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -1975.8, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0258
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -1987.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0563
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -1984.7, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -1983.4, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -1980.2, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0245
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -1960.0, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0342
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -2016.4, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0495
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -1987.5, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -1958.6, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0301
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -1943.3, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0319
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -1966.2, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0743
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -1980.8, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -1965.3, AR(1.64) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -1968.5, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0248
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -1968.6, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0238
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -1965.0, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0409
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -1969.3, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0393
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -1989.0, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0248
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -2011.1, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0402
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -1976.8, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -1960.2, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0208
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -1985.0, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0514
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -1974.8, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0607
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -1965.8, AR(1.64) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0259
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -1977.0, AR(1.64) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0346
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -1967.7, AR(1.64) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0313
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -1975.9, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0295
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -1959.2, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0630
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -1965.4, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0644
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -1980.2, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0463
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -1983.0, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0292
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -2019.3, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0367
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -2031.9, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0403
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -1992.6, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0443
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -2019.9, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0677
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -1994.6, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0219
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -1977.4, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -1982.3, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0540
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -2007.1, AR(1.64) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0469
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -2013.9, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0200
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -1981.6, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0142
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -1994.1, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -1974.2, AR(1.64) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0355
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -1971.4, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0165
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -1966.5, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0266
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -1963.0, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0173
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -2021.0, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0206
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -2000.3, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0325
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -1995.6, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0488
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -1980.5, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -1994.5, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0374
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -1972.9, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -1985.7, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -1978.3, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -2007.9, AR(1.64) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0323
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -1975.8, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -2009.4, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0225
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -1957.9, AR(1.64) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0657
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -2017.5, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0597
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -2014.0, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -2006.2, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -1982.8, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0257
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -1970.5, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0453
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -1972.2, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -2003.5, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0347
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -1976.7, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0347
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -1979.3, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -1997.1, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0305
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -1984.2, AR(1.64) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -1998.6, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0487
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -1994.2, AR(1.64) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -1944.7, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0418
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -2020.2, AR(1.64) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0272
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -1997.0, AR(1.64) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0292
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -2028.3, AR(1.64) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0300
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -2001.5, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0573
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -1983.4, AR(2.88) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0277
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -1972.7, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -1984.8, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0474
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -1976.1, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0222
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -1980.2, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0189
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -2000.8, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -2019.0, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0296
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -1982.5, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -2032.8, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0725
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -1978.1, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0465
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -1984.2, AR(2.88) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -1991.8, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -1984.2, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0480
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -2001.5, AR(2.88) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0664
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -1993.7, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0191
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -1994.6, AR(2.88) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0223
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -2011.2, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -1990.4, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0465
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -1994.5, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0288
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -2002.0, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0670
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -2014.5, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0177
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -2010.7, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0684
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -2001.4, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0415
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -1997.4, AR(2.88) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0246
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -1997.4, AR(2.88) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -1994.1, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0224
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -1999.4, AR(2.88) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0199
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -1993.4, AR(2.88) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -2001.0, AR(2.88) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0258
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -1987.9, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0154
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -2003.5, AR(2.88) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0388
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -2007.7, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0320
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -1977.5, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0259
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -1982.8, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0501
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -1963.0, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.1062
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -1979.4, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0204
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -1979.1, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0840
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -2002.8, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -1998.5, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0397
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -1995.7, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0191
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -1965.3, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0168
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -2001.2, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0256
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -2003.6, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0382
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -2001.5, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0726
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -1983.8, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0670
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -1989.0, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0159
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -1983.3, AR(2.88) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -2003.1, AR(2.88) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0558
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -1982.5, AR(2.88) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0305
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -1997.7, AR(2.88) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -1997.6, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0227
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -1980.4, AR(2.88) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0270
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -2005.4, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -2013.3, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0755
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -1996.8, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0284
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -2004.5, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -1986.1, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0220
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -1981.8, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0491
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -2000.9, AR(2.88) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0176
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -1990.2, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -2006.7, AR(2.88) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0212
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -1993.3, AR(2.88) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -2004.8, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0251
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -1964.9, AR(2.88) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0252
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -2001.3, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0374
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -1956.2, AR(2.88) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0572
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -2013.0, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0189
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -1986.3, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0261
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -1976.6, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -1987.9, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0336
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -1984.3, AR(2.88) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0352
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -1994.8, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0230
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -2006.8, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -1985.1, AR(2.88) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0347
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -1982.8, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0476
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -1987.5, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -1992.8, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0521
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -2001.9, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0576
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -2002.6, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -1994.6, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -1984.0, AR(2.88) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0292
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -2000.6, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -2004.4, AR(2.88) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0307
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -1996.8, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0539
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -1980.8, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0581
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -1994.0, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -1980.2, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0614
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -1962.6, AR(2.88) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0283
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -1992.4, AR(2.88) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -1994.4, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0422
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -1959.8, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0528
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -1985.2, AR(2.88) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0289
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -2002.1, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0444
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -1996.0, AR(2.88) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0230
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -2001.2, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -1990.7, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -2004.4, AR(2.88) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0254
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -1980.6, AR(2.88) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0421
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -1980.6, AR(2.88) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -1988.3, AR(2.88) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0437
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -1972.0, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -1971.5, AR(2.88) = [0.40], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0321
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -1977.7, AR(2.88) = [0.43], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -1981.5, AR(2.88) = [0.45], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -1988.4, AR(2.88) = [0.36], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -1966.1, AR(2.88) = [0.43], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -1980.9, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -1958.7, AR(2.88) = [0.40], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -1987.7, AR(2.88) = [0.39], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -1977.8, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -1969.3, AR(2.88) = [0.38], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -1992.9, AR(2.88) = [0.39], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -1984.5, AR(2.88) = [0.37], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -2008.1, AR(2.88) = [0.38], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -1978.2, AR(2.88) = [0.39], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -1990.9, AR(2.88) = [0.49], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -1986.4, AR(2.88) = [0.39], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -1978.3, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -1968.2, AR(2.88) = [0.36], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -1987.2, AR(2.88) = [0.40], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -2000.8, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -1995.4, AR(2.88) = [0.46], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -1982.8, AR(2.88) = [0.37], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -1995.4, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -1982.0, AR(2.88) = [0.44], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -1999.0, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -1999.3, AR(2.88) = [0.43], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 28, CDLL = -1979.7, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0150, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 29, CDLL = -2010.7, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0146, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 30, CDLL = -1985.5, AR(2.88) = [0.43], gam = 0.0142, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 31, CDLL = -1997.1, AR(2.88) = [0.43], gam = 0.0139, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 32, CDLL = -1992.9, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0135, Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 3 = 33, CDLL = -1993.7, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0132, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 34, CDLL = -1991.4, AR(2.88) = [0.45], gam = 0.0129, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 35, CDLL = -1982.9, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0126, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 36, CDLL = -1970.1, AR(2.88) = [0.43], gam = 0.0124, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 37, CDLL = -1972.4, AR(2.88) = [0.35], gam = 0.0121, Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 3 = 38, CDLL = -1980.4, AR(2.88) = [0.38], gam = 0.0119, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 39, CDLL = -1995.4, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0116, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 40, CDLL = -1985.3, AR(2.88) = [0.39], gam = 0.0114, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 41, CDLL = -1987.3, AR(2.88) = [0.39], gam = 0.0112, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 42, CDLL = -1978.2, AR(2.88) = [0.43], gam = 0.0110, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 43, CDLL = -1956.5, AR(2.88) = [0.37], gam = 0.0108, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 44, CDLL = -1961.5, AR(2.88) = [0.40], gam = 0.0106, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 45, CDLL = -2014.0, AR(2.88) = [0.44], gam = 0.0104, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 46, CDLL = -1963.5, AR(2.88) = [0.36], gam = 0.0102, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 47, CDLL = -2010.5, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0101, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 48, CDLL = -1973.5, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0099, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 49, CDLL = -1981.9, AR(2.88) = [0.39], gam = 0.0098, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 50, CDLL = -1999.4, AR(2.88) = [0.43], gam = 0.0096, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 51, CDLL = -1970.2, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0095, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 52, CDLL = -1966.5, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0093, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 53, CDLL = -1963.4, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0092, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 54, CDLL = -1984.7, AR(2.88) = [0.38], gam = 0.0091, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 55, CDLL = -2006.6, AR(2.88) = [0.39], gam = 0.0089, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 56, CDLL = -1972.2, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0088, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 57, CDLL = -1980.2, AR(2.88) = [0.44], gam = 0.0087, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 58, CDLL = -1989.4, AR(2.88) = [0.43], gam = 0.0086, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 59, CDLL = -1999.5, AR(2.88) = [0.40], gam = 0.0085, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 60, CDLL = -1979.8, AR(2.88) = [0.36], gam = 0.0084, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 61, CDLL = -1979.3, AR(2.88) = [0.36], gam = 0.0082, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 62, CDLL = -1980.4, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0081, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 63, CDLL = -1992.2, AR(2.88) = [0.43], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 64, CDLL = -1989.1, AR(2.88) = [0.39], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 65, CDLL = -1995.1, AR(2.88) = [0.44], gam = 0.0079, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 66, CDLL = -2003.9, AR(2.88) = [0.45], gam = 0.0078, Max-Change = 0.0003
Stage 3 = 67, CDLL = -2009.3, AR(2.88) = [0.43], gam = 0.0077, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 68, CDLL = -2006.5, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0076, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 69, CDLL = -1993.2, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0075, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 70, CDLL = -2001.6, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0074, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 71, CDLL = -2000.3, AR(2.88) = [0.40], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 72, CDLL = -1986.4, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 73, CDLL = -1972.0, AR(2.88) = [0.40], gam = 0.0072, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 74, CDLL = -1978.2, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0071, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 75, CDLL = -2017.9, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 76, CDLL = -1985.7, AR(2.88) = [0.41], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 77, CDLL = -1995.5, AR(2.88) = [0.42], gam = 0.0069, Max-Change = 0.0006
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
coef(mod)
#> $Comfort
#> groupm a1 ak0 ak1 ak2 ak3 d0 d1 d2 d3
#> par -0.084 1 0 1 2 3 0 3.098 5.718 4.364
#> CI_2.5 -0.336 NA NA NA NA NA NA 2.086 4.677 3.257
#> CI_97.5 0.167 NA NA NA NA NA NA 4.110 6.759 5.472
#>
#> $Work
#> groupm a1 ak0 ak1 ak2 ak3 d0 d1 d2 d3
#> par -0.084 1 0 1 2 3 0 1.919 2.859 1.038
#> CI_2.5 -0.336 NA NA NA NA NA NA 1.455 2.311 0.352
#> CI_97.5 0.167 NA NA NA NA NA NA 2.382 3.406 1.723
#>
#> $Future
#> groupm a1 ak0 ak1 ak2 ak3 d0 d1 d2 d3
#> par -0.084 1 0 1 2 3 0 2.665 4.114 3.013
#> CI_2.5 -0.336 NA NA NA NA NA NA 2.026 3.406 2.214
#> CI_97.5 0.167 NA NA NA NA NA NA 3.304 4.822 3.813
#>
#> $Benefit
#> groupm a1 ak0 ak1 ak2 ak3 d0 d1 d2 d3
#> par -0.084 1 0 1 2 3 0 2.469 3.398 2.076
#> CI_2.5 -0.336 NA NA NA NA NA NA 1.932 2.779 1.349
#> CI_97.5 0.167 NA NA NA NA NA NA 3.006 4.016 2.803
#>
#> $GroupPars
#> MEAN_1 COV_11
#> par 0 0.985
#> CI_2.5 NA 0.707
#> CI_97.5 NA 1.264
#>
# gpcm to estimate slopes
mod2 <- mixedmirt(Science, covdat, model=1, fixed = ~ 0 + group,
itemtype = 'gpcm')
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -2095.2, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -2117.9, AR(1.92) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -2079.7, AR(1.92) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -2079.9, AR(1.92) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1776
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -2072.1, AR(1.92) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.1068
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -2052.0, AR(1.92) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.1180
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -2024.5, AR(1.92) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.1121
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -2030.7, AR(1.92) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0996
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -2023.5, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1305
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -2015.4, AR(1.92) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0338
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -1997.0, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.1041
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -2034.7, AR(1.92) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0588
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -2014.4, AR(1.92) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0460
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -2023.4, AR(1.92) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0885
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -2016.7, AR(1.92) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0954
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -1995.5, AR(1.92) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0450
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -2018.6, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.1303
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -2008.6, AR(1.92) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0976
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -2004.6, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.1155
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -1967.7, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0919
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -1977.1, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.1057
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -1986.5, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0780
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -1989.9, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0979
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -1988.8, AR(1.92) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0675
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -1971.3, AR(1.92) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.1021
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -1964.1, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0427
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -1973.2, AR(1.92) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0814
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -1965.8, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0625
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -1978.0, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0662
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -1994.5, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0919
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -1965.8, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.1059
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -1966.8, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.1302
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -1978.0, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0629
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -1972.7, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0813
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -1957.1, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0782
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -1972.6, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1577
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -1974.8, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0302
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -1962.9, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0778
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -1985.6, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.1032
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -1960.6, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0458
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -1952.0, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0519
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -1978.2, AR(1.92) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0532
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -1986.9, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.1538
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -1946.7, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.1558
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -1955.1, AR(1.92) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1330
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -1957.2, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0485
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -1949.6, AR(1.92) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0976
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -1974.0, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0576
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -1967.1, AR(1.92) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0236
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -1939.1, AR(1.92) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.1744
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -1961.1, AR(1.92) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0174
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -1967.2, AR(1.92) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0716
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -1975.4, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1091
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -1976.8, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0652
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -1980.6, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0722
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -1958.9, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.1248
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -1973.8, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0696
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -1949.1, AR(1.92) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0928
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -1969.3, AR(1.92) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0199
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -1966.5, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1060
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -1957.3, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0868
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -1943.0, AR(1.92) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0901
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -1958.7, AR(1.92) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.1216
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -1991.0, AR(1.92) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0595
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -1972.7, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0360
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -1947.9, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0834
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -1950.5, AR(1.92) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1512
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -1948.3, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0561
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -1947.7, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1249
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -1960.3, AR(1.92) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0744
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -1974.5, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.1373
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -1973.2, AR(1.92) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1111
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -1978.8, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0304
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -1984.2, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.1097
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -1963.9, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0966
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -1988.7, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0830
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -1994.2, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0232
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -1981.5, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0628
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -1974.7, AR(1.92) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0403
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -1968.9, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.1226
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -1989.3, AR(1.92) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0310
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -1981.8, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0457
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -1957.9, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.1221
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -1951.8, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.1108
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -1959.5, AR(1.92) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.1636
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -1979.5, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.1611
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -1945.8, AR(1.92) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1112
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -1950.8, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0778
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -1968.0, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.1025
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -1957.3, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0633
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -1942.0, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0344
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -1978.7, AR(1.92) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0296
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -1983.1, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0352
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -1950.5, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0954
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -1963.8, AR(1.92) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.1280
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -1983.2, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0501
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -1936.0, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1303
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -1953.1, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0549
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -1951.4, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.1357
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -1950.8, AR(1.92) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1346
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -1946.9, AR(1.92) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0546
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -1955.3, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0694
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -1947.1, AR(1.92) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0904
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -1943.1, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.1042
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -1945.2, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0233
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -1983.2, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0545
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -1997.8, AR(1.92) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1438
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -1963.7, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0567
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -1982.7, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0701
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -1973.4, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0924
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -1961.8, AR(1.92) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0772
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -1947.4, AR(1.92) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1517
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -1972.0, AR(1.92) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0887
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -1976.7, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0719
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -1950.8, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0368
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -1976.5, AR(1.92) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1098
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -1963.2, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.1057
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -1960.2, AR(1.92) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0267
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -1921.1, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -1946.4, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0747
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -1979.2, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0943
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -1971.2, AR(1.92) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0283
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -1965.3, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0432
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -1956.6, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0995
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -1958.9, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0564
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -1956.6, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -1947.4, AR(1.92) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1342
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -1971.2, AR(1.92) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0971
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -1965.7, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0706
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -1942.5, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.1048
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -1956.0, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0733
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -1937.6, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0640
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -1973.3, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1025
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -1950.3, AR(1.92) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0336
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -1978.0, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0938
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -1977.7, AR(1.92) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0412
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -1956.5, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0341
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -1952.3, AR(1.92) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0649
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -2002.4, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1457
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -1957.8, AR(1.92) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0507
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -1970.2, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0572
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -1984.4, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1275
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -1936.2, AR(1.92) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0559
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -1984.1, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0260
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -1971.1, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1585
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -1935.8, AR(1.92) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0572
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -1979.5, AR(1.92) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.1437
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -1959.7, AR(1.92) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0925
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -1986.2, AR(1.92) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0352
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -1966.9, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0378
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -1941.4, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.1587
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -1946.3, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0881
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -1943.0, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1472
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -1949.2, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0677
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -1950.7, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0775
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -1962.8, AR(2.37) = [0.34], Max-Change = 0.1794
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -1977.5, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0888
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -1933.3, AR(2.37) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.1212
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -1966.7, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0466
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -1943.0, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0483
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -1933.9, AR(2.37) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0559
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -1941.7, AR(2.37) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0440
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -1963.3, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1637
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -1966.7, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0334
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -1976.5, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0264
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -1966.8, AR(2.37) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0531
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -1958.4, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0262
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -1948.4, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1146
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -1935.5, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0283
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -1949.0, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0489
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -1962.6, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1149
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -1950.2, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1332
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -1955.9, AR(2.37) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.1170
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -1973.1, AR(2.37) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0390
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -1958.2, AR(2.37) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0484
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -1947.1, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0567
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -1957.1, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0678
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -1949.4, AR(2.37) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0505
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -1952.7, AR(2.37) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0526
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -1938.1, AR(2.37) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -1947.7, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0915
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -1958.2, AR(2.37) = [0.35], Max-Change = 0.0471
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -1927.6, AR(2.37) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.1616
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -1926.3, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0679
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -1923.1, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1139
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -1937.3, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0587
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -1922.5, AR(2.37) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0723
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -1959.5, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1630
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -1934.5, AR(2.37) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.1455
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -1942.2, AR(2.37) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0390
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -1923.4, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.1358
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -1949.3, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1216
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -1953.6, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1024
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -1959.0, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0847
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -1934.5, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1856
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -1945.3, AR(2.37) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.1123
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -1943.5, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0340
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -1956.2, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1251
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -1945.7, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0451
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -1952.1, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0858
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -1951.2, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1119
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -1942.6, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0819
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -1949.1, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1402
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -1969.6, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0619
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -1946.7, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0700
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -1946.0, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0546
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -1948.0, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0847
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -1945.5, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0283
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -1939.2, AR(2.37) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0607
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -1945.1, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1731
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -1947.5, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0976
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -1952.0, AR(2.37) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0916
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -1957.9, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1646
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -1916.8, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0688
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -1941.2, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0275
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -1909.3, AR(2.37) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -1938.1, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0603
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -1917.3, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0934
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -1923.9, AR(2.37) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0944
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -1937.0, AR(2.37) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.1044
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -1916.1, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1739
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -1936.4, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0828
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -1932.9, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0794
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -1957.7, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0359
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -1918.3, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0265
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -1921.8, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1483
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -1935.2, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0836
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -1941.4, AR(2.37) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -1932.9, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0339
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -1935.9, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0317
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -1923.7, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0652
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -1943.6, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0273
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -1961.6, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1724
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -1954.3, AR(2.37) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0454
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -1941.0, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0369
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -1940.2, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0521
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -1937.5, AR(2.37) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0760
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -1928.4, AR(2.37) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0256
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -1959.4, AR(2.37) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.1141
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -1952.5, AR(2.37) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0382
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -1913.9, AR(2.37) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0813
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -1947.4, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.1710
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -1971.1, AR(2.37) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0684
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -1949.5, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0900
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -1966.3, AR(2.37) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -1944.7, AR(2.37) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0473
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -1966.6, AR(2.37) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0458
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -1944.5, AR(2.37) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.1378
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -1941.3, AR(2.37) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0302
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -1942.2, AR(2.37) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0392
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -1936.6, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -1936.5, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0665
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -1929.9, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0327
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -1928.4, AR(2.37) = [0.44], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0223
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -1943.6, AR(2.37) = [0.35], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -1921.1, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0253
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -1916.1, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0294
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -1923.8, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0359
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -1946.6, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0188
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -1918.7, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -1917.9, AR(2.37) = [0.37], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -1928.9, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -1932.7, AR(2.37) = [0.37], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0225
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -1971.0, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -1950.3, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -1941.2, AR(2.37) = [0.49], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -1934.9, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -1930.2, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -1937.2, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -1937.0, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -1937.1, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -1963.0, AR(2.37) = [0.45], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -1938.5, AR(2.37) = [0.35], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0234
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -1950.1, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -1945.5, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -1958.1, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -1955.0, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 3 = 28, CDLL = -1940.0, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0150, Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 3 = 29, CDLL = -1954.1, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0146, Max-Change = 0.0173
Stage 3 = 30, CDLL = -1941.3, AR(2.37) = [0.44], gam = 0.0142, Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 3 = 31, CDLL = -1936.9, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0139, Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 3 = 32, CDLL = -1959.7, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0135, Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 3 = 33, CDLL = -1941.7, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0132, Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 3 = 34, CDLL = -1942.1, AR(2.37) = [0.45], gam = 0.0129, Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 3 = 35, CDLL = -1924.4, AR(2.37) = [0.44], gam = 0.0126, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 36, CDLL = -1942.9, AR(2.37) = [0.45], gam = 0.0124, Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 3 = 37, CDLL = -1932.1, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0121, Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 3 = 38, CDLL = -1937.8, AR(2.37) = [0.37], gam = 0.0119, Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 3 = 39, CDLL = -1943.6, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0116, Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 3 = 40, CDLL = -1950.9, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0114, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 41, CDLL = -1943.1, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0112, Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 3 = 42, CDLL = -1941.7, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0110, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 43, CDLL = -1922.5, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0108, Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 3 = 44, CDLL = -1922.5, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0106, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 45, CDLL = -1954.8, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0104, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 46, CDLL = -1922.5, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0102, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 47, CDLL = -1960.5, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0101, Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 3 = 48, CDLL = -1921.4, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0099, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 49, CDLL = -1931.8, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0098, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 50, CDLL = -1953.9, AR(2.37) = [0.44], gam = 0.0096, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 51, CDLL = -1931.4, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0095, Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 3 = 52, CDLL = -1933.5, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0093, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 53, CDLL = -1925.6, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0092, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 54, CDLL = -1939.6, AR(2.37) = [0.35], gam = 0.0091, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 55, CDLL = -1947.3, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0089, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 56, CDLL = -1939.1, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0088, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 57, CDLL = -1940.9, AR(2.37) = [0.45], gam = 0.0087, Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 3 = 58, CDLL = -1954.1, AR(2.37) = [0.44], gam = 0.0086, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 59, CDLL = -1950.4, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0085, Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 3 = 60, CDLL = -1928.8, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0084, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 61, CDLL = -1929.7, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0082, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 62, CDLL = -1935.1, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0081, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 63, CDLL = -1930.9, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 64, CDLL = -1935.5, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 65, CDLL = -1955.4, AR(2.37) = [0.46], gam = 0.0079, Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 3 = 66, CDLL = -1938.6, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0078, Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 3 = 67, CDLL = -1951.6, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0077, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 68, CDLL = -1940.5, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0076, Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 3 = 69, CDLL = -1939.1, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0075, Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 3 = 70, CDLL = -1960.8, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0074, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 71, CDLL = -1947.0, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 3 = 72, CDLL = -1920.3, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 3 = 73, CDLL = -1925.3, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0072, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 74, CDLL = -1929.2, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0071, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 75, CDLL = -1976.2, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 76, CDLL = -1938.5, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 77, CDLL = -1937.7, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0069, Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 3 = 78, CDLL = -1941.0, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0068, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 79, CDLL = -1944.8, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0068, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 80, CDLL = -1971.2, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0067, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 81, CDLL = -1955.2, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0066, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 82, CDLL = -1931.7, AR(2.37) = [0.44], gam = 0.0066, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 83, CDLL = -1933.6, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0065, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 84, CDLL = -1960.5, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0065, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 85, CDLL = -1961.3, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0064, Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 3 = 86, CDLL = -1933.1, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0064, Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 3 = 87, CDLL = -1936.9, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0063, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 88, CDLL = -1936.0, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0062, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 89, CDLL = -1920.0, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0062, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 90, CDLL = -1929.1, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0061, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 91, CDLL = -1928.2, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0061, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 92, CDLL = -1914.6, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0060, Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 3 = 93, CDLL = -1927.2, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0060, Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 3 = 94, CDLL = -1982.8, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0059, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 95, CDLL = -1936.7, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0059, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 96, CDLL = -1916.9, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 3 = 97, CDLL = -1934.8, AR(2.37) = [0.35], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 98, CDLL = -1951.7, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 99, CDLL = -1932.7, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0057, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 100, CDLL = -1950.5, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0057, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 101, CDLL = -1937.2, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0056, Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 3 = 102, CDLL = -1935.8, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0056, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 103, CDLL = -1952.4, AR(2.37) = [0.44], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 104, CDLL = -1955.5, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 105, CDLL = -1945.2, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0055, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 106, CDLL = -1930.9, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0054, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 107, CDLL = -1949.4, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0054, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 108, CDLL = -1935.5, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 109, CDLL = -1954.0, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 110, CDLL = -1911.9, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0053, Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 3 = 111, CDLL = -1932.8, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 3 = 112, CDLL = -1935.6, AR(2.37) = [0.37], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 113, CDLL = -1944.5, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0052, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 114, CDLL = -1938.8, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 115, CDLL = -1945.3, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 116, CDLL = -1959.3, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0051, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 117, CDLL = -1932.1, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 118, CDLL = -1935.3, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 119, CDLL = -1919.7, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0050, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 120, CDLL = -1919.3, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 121, CDLL = -1931.8, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 3 = 122, CDLL = -1934.3, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0049, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 123, CDLL = -1921.1, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 124, CDLL = -1951.0, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 125, CDLL = -1948.2, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 126, CDLL = -1952.7, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0048, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 127, CDLL = -1933.2, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 128, CDLL = -1941.6, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 129, CDLL = -1932.0, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0047, Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 3 = 130, CDLL = -1931.0, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 131, CDLL = -1915.5, AR(2.37) = [0.47], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 132, CDLL = -1919.0, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 3 = 133, CDLL = -1947.4, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0046, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 134, CDLL = -1919.4, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 135, CDLL = -1912.2, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 136, CDLL = -1959.5, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 137, CDLL = -1935.6, AR(2.37) = [0.44], gam = 0.0045, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 138, CDLL = -1928.6, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 139, CDLL = -1951.4, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 140, CDLL = -1920.6, AR(2.37) = [0.34], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 141, CDLL = -1942.6, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0044, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 142, CDLL = -1935.8, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 143, CDLL = -1903.7, AR(2.37) = [0.35], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 144, CDLL = -1928.1, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 3 = 145, CDLL = -1932.9, AR(2.37) = [0.37], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 146, CDLL = -1932.7, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0043, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 147, CDLL = -1938.6, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 148, CDLL = -1933.2, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 149, CDLL = -1933.6, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 150, CDLL = -1920.0, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0042, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 151, CDLL = -1941.8, AR(2.37) = [0.37], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 152, CDLL = -1964.4, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 153, CDLL = -1966.2, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 3 = 154, CDLL = -1975.3, AR(2.37) = [0.37], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 155, CDLL = -1932.2, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0041, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 156, CDLL = -1930.7, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 157, CDLL = -1941.0, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 158, CDLL = -1949.1, AR(2.37) = [0.44], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 159, CDLL = -1921.2, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 160, CDLL = -1920.8, AR(2.37) = [0.35], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 161, CDLL = -1938.2, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0040, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 162, CDLL = -1940.0, AR(2.37) = [0.45], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 163, CDLL = -1937.6, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 164, CDLL = -1937.5, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 165, CDLL = -1956.0, AR(2.37) = [0.44], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 166, CDLL = -1944.0, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0039, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 167, CDLL = -1946.6, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 168, CDLL = -1947.4, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 169, CDLL = -1945.6, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 170, CDLL = -1963.6, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 171, CDLL = -1939.1, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 172, CDLL = -1957.0, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0038, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 173, CDLL = -1929.6, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 174, CDLL = -1944.4, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 175, CDLL = -1943.4, AR(2.37) = [0.45], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 176, CDLL = -1944.1, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 177, CDLL = -1949.2, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 178, CDLL = -1945.3, AR(2.37) = [0.45], gam = 0.0037, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 179, CDLL = -1934.2, AR(2.37) = [0.37], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 180, CDLL = -1950.9, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 181, CDLL = -1939.2, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 182, CDLL = -1936.2, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 183, CDLL = -1922.9, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 184, CDLL = -1925.2, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 185, CDLL = -1951.0, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0036, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 186, CDLL = -1968.5, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 187, CDLL = -1956.0, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 188, CDLL = -1944.1, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 189, CDLL = -1928.7, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 190, CDLL = -1956.1, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 3 = 191, CDLL = -1952.3, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 192, CDLL = -1910.0, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0035, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 193, CDLL = -1948.1, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 194, CDLL = -1950.1, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 195, CDLL = -1938.0, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 196, CDLL = -1922.8, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 197, CDLL = -1951.9, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 198, CDLL = -1945.9, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 199, CDLL = -1920.4, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 200, CDLL = -1939.6, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0034, Max-Change = 0.0003
Stage 3 = 201, CDLL = -1930.6, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0033, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 202, CDLL = -1925.6, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0033, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 203, CDLL = -1934.5, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0033, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 204, CDLL = -1934.0, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0033, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 205, CDLL = -1937.5, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0033, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 206, CDLL = -1934.0, AR(2.37) = [0.37], gam = 0.0033, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 207, CDLL = -1939.8, AR(2.37) = [0.37], gam = 0.0033, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 208, CDLL = -1941.4, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0033, Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 3 = 209, CDLL = -1945.5, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0032, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 210, CDLL = -1938.0, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0032, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 211, CDLL = -1926.0, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0032, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 212, CDLL = -1948.7, AR(2.37) = [0.43], gam = 0.0032, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 213, CDLL = -1917.3, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0032, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 214, CDLL = -1951.7, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0032, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 215, CDLL = -1951.3, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0032, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 216, CDLL = -1927.5, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0032, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 217, CDLL = -1936.1, AR(2.37) = [0.37], gam = 0.0032, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 218, CDLL = -1942.9, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0031, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 219, CDLL = -1927.7, AR(2.37) = [0.38], gam = 0.0031, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 220, CDLL = -1936.0, AR(2.37) = [0.35], gam = 0.0031, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 221, CDLL = -1944.9, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0031, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 222, CDLL = -1934.7, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0031, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 223, CDLL = -1931.3, AR(2.37) = [0.36], gam = 0.0031, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 224, CDLL = -1944.7, AR(2.37) = [0.40], gam = 0.0031, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 225, CDLL = -1943.7, AR(2.37) = [0.41], gam = 0.0031, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 226, CDLL = -1946.1, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0031, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 227, CDLL = -1975.8, AR(2.37) = [0.45], gam = 0.0031, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 228, CDLL = -1934.6, AR(2.37) = [0.42], gam = 0.0030, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 229, CDLL = -1934.8, AR(2.37) = [0.44], gam = 0.0030, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 230, CDLL = -1927.7, AR(2.37) = [0.39], gam = 0.0030, Max-Change = 0.0009
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(mod2)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = Science, covdata = covdat, model = 1, fixed = ~0 +
#> group, itemtype = "gpcm")
#>
#> --------------
#> FIXED EFFECTS:
#> Estimate Std.Error z.value
#> groupm -0.176 0.118 -1.494
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1
#> F1 1
#>
anova(mod, mod2)
#> AIC SABIC HQ BIC logLik X2 df p
#> mod 3264.979 3276.155 3287.014 3320.577 -1618.489
#> mod2 3258.379 3271.950 3285.136 3325.891 -1612.190 12.6 3 0.006
# graded model
mod3 <- mixedmirt(Science, covdat, model=1, fixed = ~ 0 + group,
itemtype = 'graded')
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -2076.5, AR(2.29) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0936
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -2097.6, AR(2.29) = [0.57], Max-Change = 0.0628
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -2066.7, AR(2.29) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0682
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -2077.3, AR(2.29) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0779
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -2078.5, AR(2.29) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0530
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -2064.4, AR(2.29) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0384
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -2047.9, AR(2.29) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0643
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -2048.0, AR(2.29) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0358
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -2046.5, AR(2.29) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.1088
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -2041.1, AR(2.29) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0556
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -2012.9, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0754
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -2026.2, AR(2.29) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0696
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -2030.1, AR(2.29) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0500
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -2024.4, AR(2.29) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0316
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -2021.4, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0371
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -2000.8, AR(2.29) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0448
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -2009.4, AR(2.29) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0569
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -1995.6, AR(2.29) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0753
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -1994.3, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0459
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -1961.9, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0565
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -1981.4, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0385
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -2002.1, AR(2.29) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0177
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -1991.1, AR(2.29) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0258
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -1983.3, AR(2.29) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0425
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -1988.2, AR(2.29) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0579
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -1973.7, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0233
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -1977.4, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0269
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -1988.6, AR(2.29) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0206
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -2003.7, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0494
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -2003.3, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0379
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -1966.1, AR(2.29) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0439
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -1965.9, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0775
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -1972.6, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0386
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -1971.8, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0435
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -1969.3, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0212
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -1954.1, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0944
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -1971.6, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -1974.0, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0412
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -1973.5, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0670
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -1964.3, AR(2.29) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0318
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -1956.7, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0405
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -1981.6, AR(2.29) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0383
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -1962.3, AR(2.29) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0675
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -1953.2, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0429
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -1950.7, AR(2.29) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0710
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -1950.5, AR(2.29) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0385
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -1949.4, AR(2.29) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0516
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -1958.9, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0490
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -1946.1, AR(2.29) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0381
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -1932.1, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0909
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -1951.7, AR(2.29) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0201
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -1960.5, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0393
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -1959.6, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0424
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -1956.3, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0310
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -1955.1, AR(2.29) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0379
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -1974.4, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0371
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -1989.6, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.1221
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -1961.2, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0474
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -1969.9, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0486
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -1957.7, AR(2.29) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0651
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -1940.6, AR(2.29) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0363
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -1944.5, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0310
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -1946.7, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0917
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -1977.4, AR(2.29) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0539
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -1962.9, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0282
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -1934.6, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0437
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -1938.0, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0413
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -1934.5, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0446
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -1935.8, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0343
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -1946.1, AR(2.29) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0360
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -1958.0, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0701
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -1983.6, AR(2.29) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0552
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -1979.3, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0295
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -1976.2, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0505
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -1960.1, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0599
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -1973.8, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0442
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -1963.0, AR(2.29) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0321
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -1961.2, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0408
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -1965.2, AR(2.29) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0260
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -1953.8, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0358
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -1949.0, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0379
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -1960.9, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0366
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -1938.4, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0425
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -1928.3, AR(2.29) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0911
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -1949.8, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0482
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -1966.7, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0729
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -1937.4, AR(2.29) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0495
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -1948.9, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0480
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -1950.7, AR(2.29) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0313
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -1946.2, AR(2.29) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0560
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -1938.7, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0323
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -1949.3, AR(2.29) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0339
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -1940.8, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0423
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -1931.3, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0947
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -1944.5, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0268
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -1971.2, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0233
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -1938.4, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0482
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -1947.5, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0317
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -1952.1, AR(2.29) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0484
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -1947.1, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0427
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -1942.0, AR(2.29) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0749
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -1960.3, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0558
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -1963.6, AR(2.29) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0468
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -1956.2, AR(2.29) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0896
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -1947.0, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0333
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -1967.4, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0351
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -1955.4, AR(2.29) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0371
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -1967.1, AR(2.29) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0444
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -1969.6, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0392
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -1970.1, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0493
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -1950.9, AR(2.29) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0454
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -1957.0, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0264
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -1956.2, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0272
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -1968.5, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0301
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -1960.2, AR(2.29) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0299
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -1953.9, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0344
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -1954.4, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0460
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -1932.0, AR(2.29) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0483
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -1922.0, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0884
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -1936.6, AR(2.29) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0503
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -1988.1, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0337
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -1965.2, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0218
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -1961.0, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0212
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -1956.1, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0804
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -1958.9, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0338
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -1942.2, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0272
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -1942.7, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0332
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -1938.2, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0395
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -1960.6, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0609
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -1928.4, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0310
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -1949.8, AR(2.29) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0271
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -1939.9, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0554
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -1952.1, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0289
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -1954.3, AR(2.29) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0460
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -1958.6, AR(2.29) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0677
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -1944.9, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0711
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -1928.8, AR(2.29) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0312
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -1951.7, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0287
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -1973.8, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0526
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -1946.7, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0342
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -1925.5, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0345
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -1938.7, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0297
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -1937.5, AR(2.29) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0384
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -1945.7, AR(2.29) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0285
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -1963.7, AR(2.29) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0479
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -1923.2, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0354
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -1963.9, AR(2.29) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.1089
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -1960.0, AR(2.29) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0675
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -1988.7, AR(2.29) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0314
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -1953.5, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0452
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -1928.1, AR(2.33) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.1232
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -1935.8, AR(2.33) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0390
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -1945.4, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0892
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -1932.1, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0303
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -1937.0, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0327
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -1953.4, AR(2.33) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.1439
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -1951.6, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0321
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -1921.9, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0940
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -1956.1, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0379
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -1938.0, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0813
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -1927.8, AR(2.33) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0346
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -1944.7, AR(2.33) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0404
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -1946.2, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0554
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -1964.0, AR(2.33) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0336
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -1955.9, AR(2.33) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0281
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -1944.1, AR(2.33) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0589
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -1960.1, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0316
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -1942.7, AR(2.33) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0912
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -1952.8, AR(2.33) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0500
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -1965.4, AR(2.33) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0364
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -1971.8, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.1087
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -1985.1, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0267
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -1957.1, AR(2.33) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0234
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -1956.3, AR(2.33) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0413
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -1956.8, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0177
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -1957.6, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0276
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -1978.4, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0715
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -1973.9, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0415
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -1964.3, AR(2.33) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -1957.8, AR(2.33) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.1006
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -1958.7, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0210
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -1954.3, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0568
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -1929.9, AR(2.33) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.1370
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -1950.7, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0315
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -1924.5, AR(2.33) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0599
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -1953.3, AR(2.33) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -1926.2, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0953
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -1970.0, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0973
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -1953.7, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0536
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -1976.7, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0967
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -1937.5, AR(2.33) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0323
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -1954.8, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0438
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -1960.4, AR(2.33) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0825
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -1967.0, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0453
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -1974.0, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0471
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -1953.2, AR(2.33) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0624
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -1944.6, AR(2.33) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0290
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -1954.8, AR(2.33) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0384
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -1953.6, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0372
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -1951.3, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0810
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -1935.3, AR(2.33) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0457
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -1937.8, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0415
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -1961.3, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0329
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -1965.8, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0675
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -1939.1, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0283
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -1959.2, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0571
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -1933.4, AR(2.33) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0277
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -1943.3, AR(2.33) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0567
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -1958.6, AR(2.33) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0597
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -1948.2, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.1081
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -1941.7, AR(2.33) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0365
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -1934.2, AR(2.33) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0409
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -1943.1, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0624
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -1898.8, AR(2.33) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0567
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -1941.9, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0347
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -1910.9, AR(2.33) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.1347
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -1934.0, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0570
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -1910.3, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0683
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -1916.8, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0604
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -1950.6, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0916
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -1924.9, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0895
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -1937.5, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0384
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -1953.2, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0310
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -1949.9, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0302
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -1919.4, AR(2.33) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0528
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -1940.2, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0244
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -1932.8, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0991
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -1919.5, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0630
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -1941.7, AR(2.33) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0419
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -1926.5, AR(2.33) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0702
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -1928.6, AR(2.33) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0346
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -1948.4, AR(2.33) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0397
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -1959.9, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0542
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -1942.5, AR(2.33) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0295
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -1927.2, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0251
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -1932.6, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0376
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -1938.2, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0436
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -1918.8, AR(2.33) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -1947.7, AR(2.33) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0323
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -1966.9, AR(2.33) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0293
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -1927.0, AR(2.33) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0452
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -1961.2, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.1383
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -1961.5, AR(2.33) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0361
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -1955.9, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0899
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -1941.2, AR(2.33) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -1939.6, AR(2.33) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0330
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -1961.2, AR(2.33) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0329
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -1940.1, AR(2.33) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0665
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -1947.4, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0744
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -1947.7, AR(2.33) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0201
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -1925.8, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -1927.8, AR(2.33) = [0.39], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0371
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -1919.0, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0347
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -1922.6, AR(2.33) = [0.47], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -1937.8, AR(2.33) = [0.38], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -1909.7, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -1937.3, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -1917.6, AR(2.33) = [0.39], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -1946.2, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0204
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -1932.3, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -1913.1, AR(2.33) = [0.39], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -1943.3, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -1910.4, AR(2.33) = [0.37], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -1956.5, AR(2.33) = [0.37], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -1935.2, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -1922.6, AR(2.33) = [0.48], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -1944.1, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -1924.1, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -1925.6, AR(2.33) = [0.38], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -1947.4, AR(2.33) = [0.38], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -1946.1, AR(2.33) = [0.39], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -1950.7, AR(2.33) = [0.45], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -1934.7, AR(2.33) = [0.37], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -1934.3, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -1927.4, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -1946.1, AR(2.33) = [0.43], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -1943.2, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 28, CDLL = -1946.2, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0150, Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 3 = 29, CDLL = -1938.3, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0146, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 30, CDLL = -1933.1, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0142, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 31, CDLL = -1941.1, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0139, Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 3 = 32, CDLL = -1946.6, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0135, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 33, CDLL = -1935.1, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0132, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 34, CDLL = -1917.7, AR(2.33) = [0.44], gam = 0.0129, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 35, CDLL = -1927.0, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0126, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 36, CDLL = -1925.1, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0124, Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 3 = 37, CDLL = -1909.1, AR(2.33) = [0.37], gam = 0.0121, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 38, CDLL = -1940.2, AR(2.33) = [0.39], gam = 0.0119, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 39, CDLL = -1936.0, AR(2.33) = [0.38], gam = 0.0116, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 40, CDLL = -1935.0, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0114, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 41, CDLL = -1943.3, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0112, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 42, CDLL = -1946.5, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0110, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 43, CDLL = -1922.4, AR(2.33) = [0.39], gam = 0.0108, Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 3 = 44, CDLL = -1921.0, AR(2.33) = [0.39], gam = 0.0106, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 45, CDLL = -1939.1, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0104, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 46, CDLL = -1930.9, AR(2.33) = [0.36], gam = 0.0102, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 47, CDLL = -1945.3, AR(2.33) = [0.43], gam = 0.0101, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 48, CDLL = -1918.1, AR(2.33) = [0.39], gam = 0.0099, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 49, CDLL = -1943.6, AR(2.33) = [0.36], gam = 0.0098, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 50, CDLL = -1942.7, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0096, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 51, CDLL = -1928.5, AR(2.33) = [0.43], gam = 0.0095, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 52, CDLL = -1914.7, AR(2.33) = [0.45], gam = 0.0093, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 53, CDLL = -1921.3, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0092, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 54, CDLL = -1934.1, AR(2.33) = [0.36], gam = 0.0091, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 55, CDLL = -1950.4, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0089, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 56, CDLL = -1941.9, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0088, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 57, CDLL = -1944.0, AR(2.33) = [0.46], gam = 0.0087, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 58, CDLL = -1955.9, AR(2.33) = [0.44], gam = 0.0086, Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 3 = 59, CDLL = -1944.2, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0085, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 60, CDLL = -1917.7, AR(2.33) = [0.36], gam = 0.0084, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 61, CDLL = -1920.3, AR(2.33) = [0.36], gam = 0.0082, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 62, CDLL = -1940.0, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0081, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 63, CDLL = -1924.1, AR(2.33) = [0.44], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 64, CDLL = -1928.0, AR(2.33) = [0.39], gam = 0.0080, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 65, CDLL = -1947.0, AR(2.33) = [0.45], gam = 0.0079, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 66, CDLL = -1944.0, AR(2.33) = [0.44], gam = 0.0078, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 67, CDLL = -1941.1, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0077, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 68, CDLL = -1931.9, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0076, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 69, CDLL = -1935.3, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0075, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 70, CDLL = -1952.4, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0074, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 71, CDLL = -1969.5, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 72, CDLL = -1925.4, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0073, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 73, CDLL = -1933.2, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0072, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 74, CDLL = -1943.2, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0071, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 75, CDLL = -1970.3, AR(2.33) = [0.39], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 76, CDLL = -1953.8, AR(2.33) = [0.38], gam = 0.0070, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 77, CDLL = -1940.5, AR(2.33) = [0.39], gam = 0.0069, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 78, CDLL = -1934.1, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0068, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 79, CDLL = -1945.9, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0068, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 80, CDLL = -1959.6, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0067, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 81, CDLL = -1943.8, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0066, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 82, CDLL = -1922.5, AR(2.33) = [0.45], gam = 0.0066, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 83, CDLL = -1919.7, AR(2.33) = [0.43], gam = 0.0065, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 84, CDLL = -1958.9, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0065, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 85, CDLL = -1947.9, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0064, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 86, CDLL = -1925.3, AR(2.33) = [0.44], gam = 0.0064, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 87, CDLL = -1937.8, AR(2.33) = [0.44], gam = 0.0063, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 88, CDLL = -1935.4, AR(2.33) = [0.43], gam = 0.0062, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 89, CDLL = -1924.7, AR(2.33) = [0.36], gam = 0.0062, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 90, CDLL = -1924.7, AR(2.33) = [0.43], gam = 0.0061, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 91, CDLL = -1929.0, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0061, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 92, CDLL = -1923.8, AR(2.33) = [0.41], gam = 0.0060, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 93, CDLL = -1938.8, AR(2.33) = [0.40], gam = 0.0060, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 94, CDLL = -1955.6, AR(2.33) = [0.38], gam = 0.0059, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 95, CDLL = -1927.7, AR(2.33) = [0.44], gam = 0.0059, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 96, CDLL = -1926.2, AR(2.33) = [0.42], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 97, CDLL = -1934.7, AR(2.33) = [0.36], gam = 0.0058, Max-Change = 0.0007
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
coef(mod3)
#> $Comfort
#> groupm a1 d1 d2 d3
#> par -0.248 1.000 4.951 2.735 -1.327
#> CI_2.5 -0.578 0.636 3.989 2.289 -1.682
#> CI_97.5 0.082 1.363 5.913 3.181 -0.971
#>
#> $Work
#> groupm a1 d1 d2 d3
#> par -0.248 1.212 3.034 1.020 -2.133
#> CI_2.5 -0.578 0.873 2.545 0.697 -2.554
#> CI_97.5 0.082 1.551 3.522 1.342 -1.712
#>
#> $Future
#> groupm a1 d1 d2 d3
#> par -0.248 2.581 5.761 2.524 -1.995
#> CI_2.5 -0.578 1.251 3.733 1.497 -2.807
#> CI_97.5 0.082 3.911 7.789 3.551 -1.182
#>
#> $Benefit
#> groupm a1 d1 d2 d3
#> par -0.248 1.075 3.456 1.110 -1.554
#> CI_2.5 -0.578 0.728 2.905 0.796 -1.925
#> CI_97.5 0.082 1.423 4.007 1.423 -1.183
#>
#> $GroupPars
#> MEAN_1 COV_11
#> par 0 1
#> CI_2.5 NA NA
#> CI_97.5 NA NA
#>
###################################################
# latent regression with Rasch and 2PL models
set.seed(1)
n <- 300
a <- matrix(1, 10)
d <- matrix(rnorm(10))
Theta <- matrix(c(rnorm(n, 0), rnorm(n, 1), rnorm(n, 2)))
covdata <- data.frame(group=rep(c('g1','g2','g3'), each=n))
dat <- simdata(a, d, N=n*3, Theta=Theta, itemtype = '2PL')
itemstats(dat)
#> $overall
#> N mean_total.score sd_total.score ave.r sd.r alpha SEM.alpha
#> 900 6.932 2.347 0.197 0.035 0.709 1.266
#>
#> $itemstats
#> N mean sd total.r total.r_if_rm alpha_if_rm
#> Item_1 900 0.570 0.495 0.604 0.443 0.673
#> Item_2 900 0.689 0.463 0.518 0.351 0.690
#> Item_3 900 0.526 0.500 0.531 0.352 0.691
#> Item_4 900 0.892 0.310 0.422 0.305 0.698
#> Item_5 900 0.748 0.435 0.522 0.367 0.687
#> Item_6 900 0.543 0.498 0.569 0.398 0.682
#> Item_7 900 0.759 0.428 0.530 0.379 0.685
#> Item_8 900 0.803 0.398 0.516 0.375 0.686
#> Item_9 900 0.777 0.417 0.489 0.337 0.692
#> Item_10 900 0.626 0.484 0.548 0.378 0.685
#>
#> $proportions
#> 0 1
#> Item_1 0.430 0.570
#> Item_2 0.311 0.689
#> Item_3 0.474 0.526
#> Item_4 0.108 0.892
#> Item_5 0.252 0.748
#> Item_6 0.457 0.543
#> Item_7 0.241 0.759
#> Item_8 0.197 0.803
#> Item_9 0.223 0.777
#> Item_10 0.374 0.626
#>
# had we known the latent abilities, we could have computed the regression coefs
summary(lm(Theta ~ covdata$group))
#>
#> Call:
#> lm(formula = Theta ~ covdata$group)
#>
#> Residuals:
#> Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
#> -2.9871 -0.6851 -0.0427 0.7170 3.8313
#>
#> Coefficients:
#> Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
#> (Intercept) 0.04434 0.05970 0.743 0.458
#> covdata$groupg2 0.93468 0.08443 11.071 <2e-16 ***
#> covdata$groupg3 1.88134 0.08443 22.284 <2e-16 ***
#> ---
#> Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1
#>
#> Residual standard error: 1.034 on 897 degrees of freedom
#> Multiple R-squared: 0.3563, Adjusted R-squared: 0.3549
#> F-statistic: 248.3 on 2 and 897 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
#>
# but all we have is observed test data. Latent regression helps to recover these coefs
# Rasch model approach (and mirt equivalent)
rmod0 <- mirt(dat, 1, 'Rasch') # unconditional
#>
Iteration: 1, Log-Lik: -4850.403, Max-Change: 0.12185
Iteration: 2, Log-Lik: -4844.533, Max-Change: 0.09938
Iteration: 3, Log-Lik: -4841.485, Max-Change: 0.07625
Iteration: 4, Log-Lik: -4839.856, Max-Change: 0.06365
Iteration: 5, Log-Lik: -4838.949, Max-Change: 0.04075
Iteration: 6, Log-Lik: -4838.593, Max-Change: 0.02849
Iteration: 7, Log-Lik: -4838.407, Max-Change: 0.02159
Iteration: 8, Log-Lik: -4838.321, Max-Change: 0.01377
Iteration: 9, Log-Lik: -4838.282, Max-Change: 0.00945
Iteration: 10, Log-Lik: -4838.260, Max-Change: 0.00723
Iteration: 11, Log-Lik: -4838.251, Max-Change: 0.00456
Iteration: 12, Log-Lik: -4838.246, Max-Change: 0.00312
Iteration: 13, Log-Lik: -4838.244, Max-Change: 0.00241
Iteration: 14, Log-Lik: -4838.243, Max-Change: 0.00152
Iteration: 15, Log-Lik: -4838.242, Max-Change: 0.00104
Iteration: 16, Log-Lik: -4838.242, Max-Change: 0.00081
Iteration: 17, Log-Lik: -4838.242, Max-Change: 0.00051
Iteration: 18, Log-Lik: -4838.242, Max-Change: 0.00035
Iteration: 19, Log-Lik: -4838.242, Max-Change: 0.00027
Iteration: 20, Log-Lik: -4838.242, Max-Change: 0.00017
Iteration: 21, Log-Lik: -4838.242, Max-Change: 0.00012
Iteration: 22, Log-Lik: -4838.242, Max-Change: 0.00009
# these two models are equivalent
rmod1a <- mirt(dat, 1, 'Rasch', covdata = covdata, formula = ~ group)
#>
Iteration: 1, Log-Lik: -4850.403, Max-Change: 1.00340
Iteration: 2, Log-Lik: -4797.536, Max-Change: 0.47024
Iteration: 3, Log-Lik: -4787.544, Max-Change: 0.20349
Iteration: 4, Log-Lik: -4764.600, Max-Change: 0.14587
Iteration: 5, Log-Lik: -4746.281, Max-Change: 0.10255
Iteration: 6, Log-Lik: -4735.053, Max-Change: 0.07475
Iteration: 7, Log-Lik: -4728.900, Max-Change: 0.05298
Iteration: 8, Log-Lik: -4725.755, Max-Change: 0.03647
Iteration: 9, Log-Lik: -4724.223, Max-Change: 0.02431
Iteration: 10, Log-Lik: -4723.236, Max-Change: 0.02099
Iteration: 11, Log-Lik: -4723.055, Max-Change: 0.01526
Iteration: 12, Log-Lik: -4722.956, Max-Change: 0.01123
Iteration: 13, Log-Lik: -4722.901, Max-Change: 0.00886
Iteration: 14, Log-Lik: -4722.872, Max-Change: 0.00622
Iteration: 15, Log-Lik: -4722.858, Max-Change: 0.00446
Iteration: 16, Log-Lik: -4722.851, Max-Change: 0.00336
Iteration: 17, Log-Lik: -4722.846, Max-Change: 0.00237
Iteration: 18, Log-Lik: -4722.844, Max-Change: 0.00171
Iteration: 19, Log-Lik: -4722.843, Max-Change: 0.00130
Iteration: 20, Log-Lik: -4722.843, Max-Change: 0.00092
Iteration: 21, Log-Lik: -4722.842, Max-Change: 0.00067
Iteration: 22, Log-Lik: -4722.842, Max-Change: 0.00051
Iteration: 23, Log-Lik: -4722.842, Max-Change: 0.00036
Iteration: 24, Log-Lik: -4722.842, Max-Change: 0.00026
Iteration: 25, Log-Lik: -4722.842, Max-Change: 0.00020
Iteration: 26, Log-Lik: -4722.842, Max-Change: 0.00014
Iteration: 27, Log-Lik: -4722.842, Max-Change: 0.00010
Iteration: 28, Log-Lik: -4722.842, Max-Change: 0.00007
rmod1b <- mixedmirt(dat, covdata, 1, fixed = ~ 0 + items + group)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -6306.1, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -6156.0, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -5988.4, AR(1.38) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1660
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -5981.3, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.1608
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -5889.4, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.1153
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -5835.0, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.1284
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -5819.5, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.1084
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -5752.4, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0957
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -5733.3, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0911
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -5728.5, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0686
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -5716.3, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0641
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -5700.6, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0574
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -5664.7, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0470
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -5678.0, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0606
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -5644.0, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0515
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -5702.7, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0547
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -5645.3, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0557
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -5678.1, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0498
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -5668.8, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0395
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -5629.9, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0418
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -5638.0, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0242
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -5615.9, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0275
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -5592.7, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0258
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -5580.3, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0452
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -5607.6, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0276
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -5578.1, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -5624.0, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0253
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -5605.7, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -5589.4, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0333
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -5531.1, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0210
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -5595.0, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -5582.8, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -5590.3, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0231
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -5581.9, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0217
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -5600.6, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -5609.1, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -5585.5, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0177
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -5594.1, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0161
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -5605.9, AR(1.38) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -5571.6, AR(1.38) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0215
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -5558.9, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -5573.6, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0148
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -5577.7, AR(1.38) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -5620.9, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -5603.2, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0209
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -5613.5, AR(1.38) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -5573.9, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0218
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -5620.3, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -5594.7, AR(1.38) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -5580.0, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -5629.0, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -5590.5, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -5595.1, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -5564.8, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -5582.1, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0218
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -5589.3, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -5597.1, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -5554.5, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -5560.5, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -5614.9, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -5559.2, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -5562.7, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -5562.8, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -5601.3, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -5548.3, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -5605.5, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -5575.3, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -5570.7, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -5604.3, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -5606.4, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -5577.7, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -5563.3, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -5612.3, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0180
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -5579.9, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -5579.3, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -5609.7, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -5600.3, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -5582.3, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -5584.1, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -5569.8, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -5590.9, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -5573.0, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -5567.2, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -5570.3, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -5546.9, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0119
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -5586.7, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -5561.5, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -5600.5, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -5579.9, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -5593.7, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -5579.9, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0247
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -5614.6, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0402
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -5567.4, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -5598.0, AR(1.38) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -5612.8, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0303
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -5548.0, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -5601.6, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -5577.6, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -5610.6, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -5611.5, AR(1.38) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -5579.3, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -5565.7, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -5605.6, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -5574.0, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -5594.6, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -5605.2, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -5570.2, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0221
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -5583.8, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -5585.7, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -5594.6, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -5588.1, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -5575.9, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -5571.1, AR(1.38) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -5553.4, AR(1.38) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -5587.1, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -5562.9, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -5608.0, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -5613.4, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -5590.5, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -5615.1, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -5595.0, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -5580.9, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0154
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -5580.9, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -5571.7, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -5609.6, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -5577.0, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -5591.4, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0274
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -5606.2, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -5572.0, AR(1.38) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0215
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -5574.1, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -5586.5, AR(1.38) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0192
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -5595.4, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -5592.9, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -5556.2, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0231
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -5580.8, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -5562.5, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -5570.8, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -5592.3, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0212
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -5565.8, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -5584.1, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -5604.0, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -5602.3, AR(1.38) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -5626.1, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0148
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -5607.8, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0220
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -5580.4, AR(1.38) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -5563.8, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -5552.2, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -5594.6, AR(1.38) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -5599.3, AR(1.38) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -5555.9, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -5556.4, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -5567.6, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0334
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -5535.2, AR(2.89) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -5556.9, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -5587.8, AR(2.89) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -5622.3, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -5596.1, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -5595.7, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -5603.0, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -5599.4, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -5586.4, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -5589.2, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -5584.1, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -5571.3, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0255
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -5579.4, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -5550.2, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -5568.6, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -5607.6, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -5591.7, AR(2.89) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -5563.7, AR(2.89) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -5566.7, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -5586.1, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0258
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -5585.5, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -5555.5, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -5556.5, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0188
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -5578.2, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -5581.2, AR(2.89) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -5581.2, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0245
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -5588.4, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -5607.0, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -5579.4, AR(2.89) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -5569.6, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -5572.6, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0215
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -5591.0, AR(2.89) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -5599.9, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -5562.4, AR(2.89) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -5587.6, AR(2.89) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -5586.3, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -5575.8, AR(2.89) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -5596.3, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -5633.9, AR(2.89) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -5612.3, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -5607.5, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -5584.7, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -5559.0, AR(2.89) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -5565.7, AR(2.89) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -5586.9, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -5602.5, AR(2.89) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -5563.6, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -5572.4, AR(2.89) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -5625.7, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -5571.9, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -5577.9, AR(2.89) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0191
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -5586.5, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -5570.6, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -5562.1, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0135
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -5593.7, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -5587.8, AR(2.89) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -5582.9, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0207
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -5564.8, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0223
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -5609.6, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -5609.1, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0193
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -5590.3, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -5562.1, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -5561.7, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -5635.4, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -5590.6, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -5587.4, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -5613.5, AR(2.89) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -5597.5, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -5615.9, AR(2.89) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -5596.0, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -5588.6, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -5567.6, AR(2.89) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -5573.3, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -5616.1, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -5548.5, AR(2.89) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0167
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -5623.2, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -5613.6, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -5655.9, AR(2.89) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -5581.1, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -5584.8, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -5597.6, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -5551.0, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -5605.1, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -5580.0, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -5569.0, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -5528.1, AR(2.89) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -5579.7, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -5627.4, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -5606.9, AR(2.89) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -5575.6, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0224
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -5590.7, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -5594.2, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -5575.8, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -5558.3, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -5588.7, AR(2.89) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -5583.8, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -5546.8, AR(2.89) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -5586.1, AR(2.89) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -5601.6, AR(2.89) = [0.41], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -5595.1, AR(2.89) = [0.41], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -5587.7, AR(2.89) = [0.42], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -5608.6, AR(2.89) = [0.40], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -5607.9, AR(2.89) = [0.41], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -5588.7, AR(2.89) = [0.43], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -5542.5, AR(2.89) = [0.40], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -5611.3, AR(2.89) = [0.40], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -5629.0, AR(2.89) = [0.43], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -5552.5, AR(2.89) = [0.40], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -5576.6, AR(2.89) = [0.41], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -5562.6, AR(2.89) = [0.37], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -5558.7, AR(2.89) = [0.37], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -5553.4, AR(2.89) = [0.41], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -5596.8, AR(2.89) = [0.42], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -5559.6, AR(2.89) = [0.43], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -5576.9, AR(2.89) = [0.39], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -5591.4, AR(2.89) = [0.43], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -5581.1, AR(2.89) = [0.43], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -5567.7, AR(2.89) = [0.36], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0002
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -5615.3, AR(2.89) = [0.43], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -5600.4, AR(2.89) = [0.40], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -5586.7, AR(2.89) = [0.40], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -5632.5, AR(2.89) = [0.44], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -5598.2, AR(2.89) = [0.41], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -5578.6, AR(2.89) = [0.44], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -5607.8, AR(2.89) = [0.41], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 28, CDLL = -5543.6, AR(2.89) = [0.41], gam = 0.0150, Max-Change = 0.0003
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
anova(rmod0, rmod1b)
#> AIC SABIC HQ BIC logLik X2 df p
#> rmod0 9698.483 9716.375 9718.663 9751.310 -4838.242
#> rmod1b 9472.610 9493.755 9496.459 9535.041 -4723.305 229.873 2 0
coef(rmod1a, simplify=TRUE)
#> $items
#> a1 d g u
#> Item_1 1 -0.466 0 1
#> Item_2 1 0.193 0 1
#> Item_3 1 -0.699 0 1
#> Item_4 1 1.795 0 1
#> Item_5 1 0.561 0 1
#> Item_6 1 -0.607 0 1
#> Item_7 1 0.636 0 1
#> Item_8 1 0.957 0 1
#> Item_9 1 0.759 0 1
#> Item_10 1 -0.167 0 1
#>
#> $means
#> F1
#> 0
#>
#> $cov
#> F1
#> F1 1.005
#>
#> $lr.betas
#> F1
#> (Intercept) 0.000
#> groupg2 0.797
#> groupg3 1.707
#>
summary(rmod1b)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = dat, covdata = covdata, model = 1, fixed = ~0 +
#> items + group)
#>
#> --------------
#> FIXED EFFECTS:
#> Estimate Std.Error z.value
#> groupg2 0.821 0.118 6.972
#> groupg3 1.683 0.111 15.140
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1
#> F1 1
#>
# 2PL, requires different input to allow Theta variance to remain fixed
mod0 <- mirt(dat, 1) # unconditional
#>
Iteration: 1, Log-Lik: -4875.104, Max-Change: 0.28541
Iteration: 2, Log-Lik: -4844.704, Max-Change: 0.16266
Iteration: 3, Log-Lik: -4836.661, Max-Change: 0.09430
Iteration: 4, Log-Lik: -4834.290, Max-Change: 0.05691
Iteration: 5, Log-Lik: -4833.493, Max-Change: 0.03271
Iteration: 6, Log-Lik: -4833.219, Max-Change: 0.01897
Iteration: 7, Log-Lik: -4833.094, Max-Change: 0.00834
Iteration: 8, Log-Lik: -4833.067, Max-Change: 0.00477
Iteration: 9, Log-Lik: -4833.056, Max-Change: 0.00289
Iteration: 10, Log-Lik: -4833.047, Max-Change: 0.00093
Iteration: 11, Log-Lik: -4833.046, Max-Change: 0.00093
Iteration: 12, Log-Lik: -4833.045, Max-Change: 0.00044
Iteration: 13, Log-Lik: -4833.045, Max-Change: 0.00029
Iteration: 14, Log-Lik: -4833.044, Max-Change: 0.00042
Iteration: 15, Log-Lik: -4833.044, Max-Change: 0.00030
Iteration: 16, Log-Lik: -4833.044, Max-Change: 0.00013
Iteration: 17, Log-Lik: -4833.044, Max-Change: 0.00010
Iteration: 18, Log-Lik: -4833.044, Max-Change: 0.00008
mod1a <- mirt(dat, 1, covdata = covdata, formula = ~ group, itemtype = '2PL')
#>
Iteration: 1, Log-Lik: -4875.104, Max-Change: 1.00644
Iteration: 2, Log-Lik: -4808.292, Max-Change: 0.42552
Iteration: 3, Log-Lik: -4793.128, Max-Change: 0.23391
Iteration: 4, Log-Lik: -4762.922, Max-Change: 0.19148
Iteration: 5, Log-Lik: -4740.838, Max-Change: 0.15469
Iteration: 6, Log-Lik: -4728.566, Max-Change: 0.10210
Iteration: 7, Log-Lik: -4722.110, Max-Change: 0.07019
Iteration: 8, Log-Lik: -4719.354, Max-Change: 0.04458
Iteration: 9, Log-Lik: -4718.228, Max-Change: 0.02457
Iteration: 10, Log-Lik: -4717.699, Max-Change: 0.00981
Iteration: 11, Log-Lik: -4717.625, Max-Change: 0.00732
Iteration: 12, Log-Lik: -4717.599, Max-Change: 0.00562
Iteration: 13, Log-Lik: -4717.586, Max-Change: 0.00345
Iteration: 14, Log-Lik: -4717.582, Max-Change: 0.00245
Iteration: 15, Log-Lik: -4717.580, Max-Change: 0.00170
Iteration: 16, Log-Lik: -4717.576, Max-Change: 0.00067
Iteration: 17, Log-Lik: -4717.576, Max-Change: 0.00047
Iteration: 18, Log-Lik: -4717.576, Max-Change: 0.00035
Iteration: 19, Log-Lik: -4717.576, Max-Change: 0.00008
mod1b <- mixedmirt(dat, covdata, 1, fixed = ~ 0 + items, lr.fixed = ~group, itemtype = '2PL')
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -6443.4, AR(1.63) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -6214.1, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -5960.2, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -5925.1, AR(1.63) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.1937
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -5794.4, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.1590
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -5741.2, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1455
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -5693.4, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1217
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -5633.0, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.1043
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -5613.0, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0948
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -5612.1, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0799
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -5572.3, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0691
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -5588.4, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0633
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -5539.7, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0481
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -5554.5, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0417
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -5548.2, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0393
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -5567.2, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0264
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -5544.0, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0549
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -5576.9, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -5588.8, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0260
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -5542.6, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0205
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -5560.0, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0201
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -5554.2, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0274
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -5557.2, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -5526.5, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0381
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -5560.6, AR(1.63) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -5519.7, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0227
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -5586.8, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0456
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -5595.2, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -5544.8, AR(1.63) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -5531.8, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0267
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -5565.2, AR(1.63) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0274
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -5570.3, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0234
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -5574.2, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0229
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -5546.3, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0192
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -5575.7, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0254
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -5573.8, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0336
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -5562.6, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -5587.2, AR(1.63) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -5586.0, AR(1.63) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0177
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -5545.0, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -5551.7, AR(1.63) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -5544.3, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -5537.4, AR(1.63) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0229
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -5605.2, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -5584.5, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0140
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -5576.4, AR(1.63) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -5539.4, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0176
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -5567.8, AR(1.63) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -5561.3, AR(1.63) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0154
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -5547.0, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0254
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -5570.8, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -5578.6, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -5552.3, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -5538.9, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0234
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -5563.4, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0362
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -5575.3, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0341
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -5586.1, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0320
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -5543.5, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0249
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -5569.0, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -5633.5, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0274
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -5567.0, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -5544.3, AR(1.63) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0274
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -5572.1, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0203
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -5555.5, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0240
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -5573.9, AR(1.63) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0293
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -5570.3, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0185
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -5581.1, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -5591.5, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0328
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -5585.9, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0220
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -5615.0, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0272
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -5551.4, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -5569.0, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -5554.5, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0209
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -5571.0, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -5550.0, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0254
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -5561.6, AR(1.63) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0274
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -5585.2, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0209
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -5531.8, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -5550.2, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0176
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -5559.2, AR(1.63) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -5571.8, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0209
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -5563.9, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0207
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -5555.7, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -5546.3, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0240
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -5521.6, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0207
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -5562.8, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -5550.4, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -5565.8, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0265
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -5559.8, AR(1.63) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0289
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -5587.0, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -5549.4, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -5594.7, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0246
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -5535.2, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0345
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -5604.1, AR(1.63) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -5584.3, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0266
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -5529.5, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -5559.4, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0237
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -5550.1, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0174
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -5557.6, AR(1.63) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -5544.3, AR(1.63) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -5578.4, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0165
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -5575.2, AR(1.63) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0232
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -5581.7, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0191
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -5535.8, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0154
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -5565.5, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0209
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -5593.7, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -5588.3, AR(1.63) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0282
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -5582.7, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0247
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -5567.5, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -5589.1, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -5552.4, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0224
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -5565.3, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -5571.7, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -5524.5, AR(1.63) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0159
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -5570.9, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0229
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -5558.4, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0217
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -5591.3, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0193
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -5587.9, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0191
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -5563.6, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0189
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -5592.5, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0414
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -5569.1, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0325
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -5552.3, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0230
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -5556.2, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -5583.8, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0241
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -5594.3, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -5545.9, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0318
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -5600.1, AR(1.63) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -5588.5, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0209
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -5590.7, AR(1.63) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -5561.6, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -5552.4, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0169
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -5576.4, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0252
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -5573.0, AR(1.63) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -5557.8, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0267
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -5568.8, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0209
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -5584.7, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0270
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -5542.4, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -5571.8, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0263
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -5542.2, AR(1.63) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -5561.3, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0140
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -5582.8, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0228
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -5562.5, AR(1.63) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0180
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -5602.4, AR(1.63) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0383
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -5598.5, AR(1.63) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0207
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -5565.1, AR(1.63) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0251
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -5557.3, AR(1.63) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -5554.3, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0148
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -5550.8, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -5589.3, AR(1.63) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0310
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -5552.2, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0256
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -5551.5, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0140
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -5573.8, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -5538.2, AR(2.84) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0195
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -5577.4, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0199
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -5621.9, AR(2.84) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0365
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -5629.0, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0221
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -5562.7, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0294
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -5566.5, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0219
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -5586.5, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0207
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -5582.9, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0159
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -5578.2, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0211
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -5587.8, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0287
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -5589.1, AR(2.84) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -5574.9, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0225
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -5601.6, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -5555.6, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -5565.3, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0168
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -5596.4, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0301
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -5581.8, AR(2.84) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0250
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -5549.7, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0232
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -5554.1, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0402
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -5577.6, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0227
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -5582.7, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0194
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -5568.3, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0263
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -5553.3, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -5568.5, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -5581.8, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -5603.8, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0324
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -5571.9, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -5601.4, AR(2.84) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0201
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -5589.8, AR(2.84) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0249
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -5556.2, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0327
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -5546.7, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0269
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -5587.9, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0392
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -5599.2, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0311
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -5575.4, AR(2.84) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -5598.2, AR(2.84) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0276
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -5575.4, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0189
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -5586.5, AR(2.84) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0218
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -5603.3, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -5616.8, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0336
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -5593.6, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0302
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -5613.0, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0216
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -5557.0, AR(2.84) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0214
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -5568.1, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -5574.3, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -5580.9, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0266
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -5593.7, AR(2.84) = [0.46], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -5576.0, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -5554.6, AR(2.84) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0228
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -5620.3, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0215
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -5577.1, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0333
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -5591.4, AR(2.84) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -5567.7, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0261
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -5589.8, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -5572.8, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0148
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -5566.3, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0208
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -5587.1, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0142
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -5603.9, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0172
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -5586.5, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0320
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -5591.7, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0210
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -5598.3, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0249
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -5590.6, AR(2.84) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0289
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -5550.1, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -5547.1, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -5590.6, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0257
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -5565.5, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0169
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -5547.4, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0257
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -5577.9, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -5578.7, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -5598.6, AR(2.84) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -5567.2, AR(2.84) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -5573.8, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0185
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -5572.3, AR(2.84) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0238
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -5570.7, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0268
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -5593.1, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0185
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -5532.1, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0219
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -5593.4, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0204
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -5596.3, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0216
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -5620.3, AR(2.84) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0216
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -5549.7, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0324
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -5564.0, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -5593.0, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0172
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -5535.8, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0248
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -5573.0, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0177
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -5552.2, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0218
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -5553.4, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -5506.8, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -5532.5, AR(2.84) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0239
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -5598.9, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -5575.7, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0267
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -5537.8, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0247
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -5565.4, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0338
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -5577.1, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -5545.7, AR(2.84) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -5555.7, AR(2.84) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -5562.3, AR(2.84) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0425
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -5586.0, AR(2.84) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0265
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -5531.7, AR(2.84) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -5548.4, AR(2.84) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0254
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -5583.5, AR(2.84) = [0.41], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -5591.1, AR(2.84) = [0.41], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0225
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -5587.6, AR(2.84) = [0.43], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -5603.5, AR(2.84) = [0.39], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -5589.0, AR(2.84) = [0.42], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -5574.8, AR(2.84) = [0.43], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -5543.6, AR(2.84) = [0.39], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -5600.9, AR(2.84) = [0.40], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -5646.8, AR(2.84) = [0.45], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -5541.2, AR(2.84) = [0.40], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -5613.5, AR(2.84) = [0.41], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -5594.9, AR(2.84) = [0.39], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -5567.3, AR(2.84) = [0.37], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -5557.7, AR(2.84) = [0.43], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -5583.7, AR(2.84) = [0.43], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -5566.2, AR(2.84) = [0.43], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -5577.6, AR(2.84) = [0.39], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -5596.1, AR(2.84) = [0.42], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -5567.3, AR(2.84) = [0.43], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -5548.3, AR(2.84) = [0.36], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -5613.2, AR(2.84) = [0.40], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -5630.1, AR(2.84) = [0.41], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -5592.4, AR(2.84) = [0.41], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -5625.0, AR(2.84) = [0.44], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -5600.7, AR(2.84) = [0.38], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -5594.3, AR(2.84) = [0.45], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -5589.5, AR(2.84) = [0.43], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 28, CDLL = -5524.6, AR(2.84) = [0.41], gam = 0.0150, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 29, CDLL = -5591.9, AR(2.84) = [0.42], gam = 0.0146, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 30, CDLL = -5550.4, AR(2.84) = [0.40], gam = 0.0142, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 31, CDLL = -5558.6, AR(2.84) = [0.39], gam = 0.0139, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 32, CDLL = -5593.9, AR(2.84) = [0.40], gam = 0.0135, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 33, CDLL = -5572.4, AR(2.84) = [0.42], gam = 0.0132, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 34, CDLL = -5596.1, AR(2.84) = [0.41], gam = 0.0129, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 35, CDLL = -5580.1, AR(2.84) = [0.40], gam = 0.0126, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 36, CDLL = -5595.4, AR(2.84) = [0.40], gam = 0.0124, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 37, CDLL = -5576.7, AR(2.84) = [0.41], gam = 0.0121, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 38, CDLL = -5594.8, AR(2.84) = [0.43], gam = 0.0119, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 39, CDLL = -5577.1, AR(2.84) = [0.39], gam = 0.0116, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 40, CDLL = -5556.2, AR(2.84) = [0.41], gam = 0.0114, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 41, CDLL = -5573.6, AR(2.84) = [0.41], gam = 0.0112, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 42, CDLL = -5549.0, AR(2.84) = [0.43], gam = 0.0110, Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 3 = 43, CDLL = -5569.9, AR(2.84) = [0.36], gam = 0.0108, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 44, CDLL = -5535.0, AR(2.84) = [0.41], gam = 0.0106, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 45, CDLL = -5622.5, AR(2.84) = [0.40], gam = 0.0104, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 46, CDLL = -5602.2, AR(2.84) = [0.43], gam = 0.0102, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 47, CDLL = -5571.7, AR(2.84) = [0.39], gam = 0.0101, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 48, CDLL = -5570.6, AR(2.84) = [0.42], gam = 0.0099, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 49, CDLL = -5578.4, AR(2.84) = [0.42], gam = 0.0098, Max-Change = 0.0010
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
anova(mod0, mod1b)
#> AIC SABIC HQ BIC logLik X2 df p
#> mod0 9706.089 9738.620 9742.780 9802.136 -4833.044
#> mod1b 9481.042 9516.826 9521.402 9586.694 -4718.521 229.047 2 0
coef(mod1a)$lr.betas
#> F1
#> (Intercept) 0.0000000
#> groupg2 0.7910307
#> groupg3 1.7064184
summary(mod1b)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = dat, covdata = covdata, model = 1, fixed = ~0 +
#> items, itemtype = "2PL", lr.fixed = ~group)
#>
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1
#> F1 1
#>
#> --------------
#> LATENT REGRESSION FIXED EFFECTS:
#>
#> F1
#> (Intercept) 0.000
#> groupg2 0.767
#> groupg3 1.711
#>
#> Std.Error_F1 z_F1
#> (Intercept) NA NA
#> groupg2 NaN NaN
#> groupg3 NaN NaN
# specifying specific regression effects is accomplished by passing a list of formula
model <- 'F1 = 1-5
F2 = 6-10'
covdata$contvar <- rnorm(nrow(covdata))
mod2 <- mirt(dat, model, itemtype = 'Rasch', covdata=covdata,
formula = list(F1 = ~ group + contvar, F2 = ~ group))
#>
Iteration: 1, Log-Lik: -4995.120, Max-Change: 0.73734
Iteration: 2, Log-Lik: -4913.661, Max-Change: 0.44599
Iteration: 3, Log-Lik: -4875.823, Max-Change: 0.26038
Iteration: 4, Log-Lik: -4843.846, Max-Change: 0.16016
Iteration: 5, Log-Lik: -4824.713, Max-Change: 0.10803
Iteration: 6, Log-Lik: -4815.515, Max-Change: 0.06793
Iteration: 7, Log-Lik: -4811.670, Max-Change: 0.04052
Iteration: 8, Log-Lik: -4810.214, Max-Change: 0.02334
Iteration: 9, Log-Lik: -4809.699, Max-Change: 0.01337
Iteration: 10, Log-Lik: -4809.493, Max-Change: 0.00590
Iteration: 11, Log-Lik: -4809.450, Max-Change: 0.00416
Iteration: 12, Log-Lik: -4809.430, Max-Change: 0.00371
Iteration: 13, Log-Lik: -4809.418, Max-Change: 0.00335
Iteration: 14, Log-Lik: -4809.410, Max-Change: 0.00292
Iteration: 15, Log-Lik: -4809.404, Max-Change: 0.00255
Iteration: 16, Log-Lik: -4809.400, Max-Change: 0.00294
Iteration: 17, Log-Lik: -4809.395, Max-Change: 0.00201
Iteration: 18, Log-Lik: -4809.392, Max-Change: 0.00171
Iteration: 19, Log-Lik: -4809.390, Max-Change: 0.00150
Iteration: 20, Log-Lik: -4809.389, Max-Change: 0.00130
Iteration: 21, Log-Lik: -4809.388, Max-Change: 0.00114
Iteration: 22, Log-Lik: -4809.387, Max-Change: 0.00109
Iteration: 23, Log-Lik: -4809.386, Max-Change: 0.00090
Iteration: 24, Log-Lik: -4809.386, Max-Change: 0.00077
Iteration: 25, Log-Lik: -4809.385, Max-Change: 0.00067
Iteration: 26, Log-Lik: -4809.385, Max-Change: 0.00059
Iteration: 27, Log-Lik: -4809.385, Max-Change: 0.00051
Iteration: 28, Log-Lik: -4809.385, Max-Change: 0.00048
Iteration: 29, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00040
Iteration: 30, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00035
Iteration: 31, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00030
Iteration: 32, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00026
Iteration: 33, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00023
Iteration: 34, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00033
Iteration: 35, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00018
Iteration: 36, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00016
Iteration: 37, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00014
Iteration: 38, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00012
Iteration: 39, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00011
Iteration: 40, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00014
Iteration: 41, Log-Lik: -4809.384, Max-Change: 0.00008
coef(mod2)[11:12]
#> $GroupPars
#> MEAN_1 MEAN_2 COV_11 COV_21 COV_22
#> par 0 0 1.042267 0 1.1041
#>
#> $lr.betas
#> F1 F2
#> (Intercept) 0.00000000 0.0000000
#> groupg2 0.72217097 0.9033666
#> groupg3 1.74535169 1.6975586
#> contvar -0.01418415 0.0000000
#>
mod2b <- mixedmirt(dat, covdata, model, fixed = ~ 0 + items,
lr.fixed = list(F1 = ~ group + contvar, F2 = ~ group))
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -7707.9, AR(0.68) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -7511.2, AR(0.68) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -7270.0, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -7153.0, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -7116.2, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1860
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -7017.7, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.1644
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -6967.3, AR(0.68) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.1427
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -6933.0, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1195
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -6931.2, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0966
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -6913.2, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0837
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -6937.8, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0690
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -6881.8, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0562
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -6897.9, AR(0.68) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0479
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -6876.2, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0482
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -6819.6, AR(0.68) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0393
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -6816.7, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0318
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -6803.2, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0286
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -6820.6, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0211
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -6847.2, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -6904.6, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0216
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -6831.2, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0391
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -6814.1, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0236
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -6793.3, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -6805.7, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -6857.9, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0212
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -6875.7, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0348
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -6877.8, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0199
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -6843.7, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0171
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -6834.4, AR(0.68) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0215
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -6779.6, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -6837.8, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -6822.2, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -6834.6, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -6887.1, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0257
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -6865.9, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0239
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -6855.2, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -6836.4, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -6838.8, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -6898.0, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -6877.6, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -6851.6, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -6868.0, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -6845.9, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -6886.4, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0165
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -6872.6, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -6827.0, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -6835.9, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -6918.6, AR(0.68) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0167
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -6872.2, AR(0.68) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0168
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -6836.5, AR(0.68) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0201
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -6934.6, AR(0.68) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0119
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -6947.1, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -6933.2, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0133
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -6893.2, AR(0.68) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -6887.2, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -6894.8, AR(0.68) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -6881.6, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -6847.8, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0262
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -6889.6, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0171
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -6867.6, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0224
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -6901.4, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0225
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -6892.6, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0218
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -6901.7, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -6889.1, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0177
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -6857.2, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -6846.4, AR(0.68) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0171
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -6864.9, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0168
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -6886.8, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0222
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -6905.0, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -6840.0, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -6881.1, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -6893.9, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -6919.3, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -6873.7, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0193
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -6886.2, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -6937.0, AR(0.68) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -6882.0, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -6870.5, AR(0.68) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0148
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -6818.2, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0252
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -6818.8, AR(0.68) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0185
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -6849.6, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -6864.0, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0194
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -6834.1, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -6828.9, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -6874.4, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -6841.2, AR(0.68) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0167
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -6848.1, AR(0.68) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -6853.4, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -6871.5, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -6821.6, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0232
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -6833.4, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -6859.4, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -6866.0, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -6850.1, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0171
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -6839.3, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -6854.4, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -6885.1, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0247
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -6888.6, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0133
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -6894.3, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0169
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -6896.3, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -6890.6, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -6894.9, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0165
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -6845.0, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -6898.3, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -6839.5, AR(0.68) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -6852.1, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -6852.0, AR(0.68) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0150
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -6850.4, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -6829.1, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -6866.7, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -6850.6, AR(0.68) = [0.47], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -6841.6, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -6840.9, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -6844.1, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -6884.7, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -6839.2, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0237
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -6840.0, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0172
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -6906.1, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -6895.8, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -6910.0, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -6877.2, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -6850.5, AR(0.68) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0194
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -6902.3, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -6916.2, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -6950.0, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -6903.3, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -6869.9, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -6889.3, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -6853.2, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -6844.2, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -6890.0, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -6892.8, AR(0.68) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -6871.2, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -6855.2, AR(0.68) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -6839.1, AR(0.68) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0191
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -6885.9, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -6874.3, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -6893.2, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0176
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -6914.8, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0241
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -6908.7, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0255
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -6910.6, AR(0.68) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -6873.5, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -6897.6, AR(0.68) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -6900.8, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -6961.7, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0193
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -6919.5, AR(0.68) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0195
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -6948.7, AR(0.68) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -6922.6, AR(0.68) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -6871.5, AR(0.68) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -6936.4, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -6898.1, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -6900.9, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0154
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -6890.6, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -6940.5, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -6901.6, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0201
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -6934.8, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -6953.8, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0219
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -6955.3, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -6921.7, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -6965.7, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0224
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -6953.1, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0269
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -6909.4, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -6937.1, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -6928.6, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0248
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -6971.3, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0318
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -6891.6, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -6923.3, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -6888.4, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -6890.4, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -6922.4, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -6875.0, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0275
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -6935.1, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -6947.9, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0228
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -6942.9, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0163
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -6913.8, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -6937.2, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -6895.4, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -6885.4, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -6882.5, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -6877.7, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -6910.7, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -6950.6, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -6925.5, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0180
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -6956.4, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0236
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -6924.3, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -6921.0, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0203
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -6895.4, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0319
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -6918.1, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -6921.1, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -6907.1, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0168
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -6936.7, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -6878.9, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0192
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -6884.2, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0221
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -6839.7, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -6903.2, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -6903.5, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -6856.5, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -6893.6, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -6920.5, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0298
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -6894.6, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -6863.7, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0210
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -6874.8, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -6896.7, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -6869.5, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -6867.3, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -6929.1, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -6938.9, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0169
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -6888.3, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -6877.7, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -6854.0, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0204
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -6849.1, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0161
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -6908.0, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -6890.2, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -6884.8, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -6857.7, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -6932.1, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -6911.5, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -6915.9, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0172
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -6918.2, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -6895.0, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0235
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -6946.5, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -6927.2, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -6873.1, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -6847.7, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0268
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -6846.5, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -6827.9, AR(1.31) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -6908.3, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -6877.1, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -6864.2, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0189
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -6858.2, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -6852.9, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0297
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -6934.3, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -6913.2, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -6863.1, AR(1.31) = [0.38], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -6905.3, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -6891.1, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -6849.5, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0289
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -6894.0, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -6894.4, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0312
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -6913.8, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -6918.7, AR(1.31) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -6837.3, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -6843.7, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -6820.9, AR(1.31) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -6893.2, AR(1.31) = [0.36], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -6877.3, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -6847.9, AR(1.31) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -6881.6, AR(1.31) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -6927.8, AR(1.31) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -6878.0, AR(1.31) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -6875.2, AR(1.31) = [0.37], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -6941.0, AR(1.31) = [0.38], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -6906.5, AR(1.31) = [0.38], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -6877.7, AR(1.31) = [0.42], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -6968.4, AR(1.31) = [0.43], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -6907.7, AR(1.31) = [0.43], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -6881.4, AR(1.31) = [0.43], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -6877.7, AR(1.31) = [0.39], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -6891.9, AR(1.31) = [0.39], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -6904.8, AR(1.31) = [0.41], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -6907.5, AR(1.31) = [0.39], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -6888.9, AR(1.31) = [0.38], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -6886.7, AR(1.31) = [0.42], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -6914.0, AR(1.31) = [0.40], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -6901.8, AR(1.31) = [0.41], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -6935.7, AR(1.31) = [0.40], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -6951.0, AR(1.31) = [0.42], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -6959.7, AR(1.31) = [0.40], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -6843.1, AR(1.31) = [0.39], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -6835.2, AR(1.31) = [0.39], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -6832.4, AR(1.31) = [0.42], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -6917.8, AR(1.31) = [0.38], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 23, CDLL = -6918.1, AR(1.31) = [0.44], gam = 0.0175, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 24, CDLL = -6857.3, AR(1.31) = [0.42], gam = 0.0169, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 25, CDLL = -6879.9, AR(1.31) = [0.42], gam = 0.0164, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 26, CDLL = -6956.0, AR(1.31) = [0.38], gam = 0.0159, Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 3 = 27, CDLL = -6928.8, AR(1.31) = [0.43], gam = 0.0154, Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 3 = 28, CDLL = -6915.0, AR(1.31) = [0.41], gam = 0.0150, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 29, CDLL = -6908.0, AR(1.31) = [0.38], gam = 0.0146, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 30, CDLL = -6936.9, AR(1.31) = [0.43], gam = 0.0142, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 31, CDLL = -6912.9, AR(1.31) = [0.39], gam = 0.0139, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 32, CDLL = -6891.4, AR(1.31) = [0.40], gam = 0.0135, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 33, CDLL = -6915.8, AR(1.31) = [0.40], gam = 0.0132, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 34, CDLL = -6933.5, AR(1.31) = [0.38], gam = 0.0129, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 35, CDLL = -6939.5, AR(1.31) = [0.41], gam = 0.0126, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 36, CDLL = -6948.6, AR(1.31) = [0.39], gam = 0.0124, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 37, CDLL = -6909.7, AR(1.31) = [0.44], gam = 0.0121, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 38, CDLL = -6933.4, AR(1.31) = [0.43], gam = 0.0119, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 39, CDLL = -6929.7, AR(1.31) = [0.42], gam = 0.0116, Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 3 = 40, CDLL = -6918.5, AR(1.31) = [0.41], gam = 0.0114, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 41, CDLL = -6944.6, AR(1.31) = [0.43], gam = 0.0112, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 42, CDLL = -6905.3, AR(1.31) = [0.39], gam = 0.0110, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 43, CDLL = -6930.4, AR(1.31) = [0.42], gam = 0.0108, Max-Change = 0.0008
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(mod2b)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = dat, covdata = covdata, model = model, fixed = ~0 +
#> items, lr.fixed = list(F1 = ~group + contvar, F2 = ~group))
#>
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1 F2
#> F1 1.08 0.00
#> F2 0.00 1.12
#>
#> --------------
#> LATENT REGRESSION FIXED EFFECTS:
#>
#> F1 F2
#> (Intercept) 0.000 0.000
#> groupg2 0.689 0.831
#> groupg3 1.747 1.640
#> contvar -0.021 0.000
#>
#> Std.Error_F1 Std.Error_F2 z_F1 z_F2
#> (Intercept) NA NA NA NA
#> groupg2 0.373 0.205 1.849 4.061
#> groupg3 0.455 0.235 3.837 6.969
#> contvar 0.073 NA -0.289 NA
####################################################
## Simulated Multilevel Rasch Model
set.seed(1)
N <- 2000
a <- matrix(rep(1,10),10,1)
d <- matrix(rnorm(10))
cluster = 100
random_intercept = rnorm(cluster,0,1)
Theta = numeric()
for (i in 1:cluster)
Theta <- c(Theta, rnorm(N/cluster,0,1) + random_intercept[i])
group = factor(rep(paste0('G',1:cluster), each = N/cluster))
covdata <- data.frame(group)
dat <- simdata(a,d,N, itemtype = rep('2PL',10), Theta=matrix(Theta))
itemstats(dat)
#> $overall
#> N mean_total.score sd_total.score ave.r sd.r alpha SEM.alpha
#> 2000 5.414 2.749 0.25 0.019 0.769 1.321
#>
#> $itemstats
#> N mean sd total.r total.r_if_rm alpha_if_rm
#> Item_1 2000 0.424 0.494 0.573 0.433 0.750
#> Item_2 2000 0.560 0.497 0.602 0.467 0.745
#> Item_3 2000 0.373 0.484 0.547 0.405 0.754
#> Item_4 2000 0.781 0.414 0.524 0.402 0.754
#> Item_5 2000 0.577 0.494 0.585 0.447 0.748
#> Item_6 2000 0.378 0.485 0.571 0.434 0.750
#> Item_7 2000 0.598 0.491 0.568 0.428 0.751
#> Item_8 2000 0.652 0.476 0.568 0.432 0.750
#> Item_9 2000 0.620 0.486 0.577 0.440 0.749
#> Item_10 2000 0.453 0.498 0.584 0.445 0.748
#>
#> $proportions
#> 0 1
#> Item_1 0.577 0.424
#> Item_2 0.440 0.560
#> Item_3 0.627 0.373
#> Item_4 0.219 0.781
#> Item_5 0.424 0.577
#> Item_6 0.622 0.378
#> Item_7 0.402 0.598
#> Item_8 0.348 0.652
#> Item_9 0.380 0.620
#> Item_10 0.547 0.453
#>
# null model
mod1 <- mixedmirt(dat, covdata, 1, fixed = ~ 0 + items, random = ~ 1|group)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -14414.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -14191.9, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -13998.9, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1825
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -13933.3, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.1571
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -13797.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.1285
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -13757.3, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.1118
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -13749.6, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0969
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -13686.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0772
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -13664.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0708
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -13677.4, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0561
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -13689.5, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0421
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -13685.0, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0388
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -13697.3, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0371
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -13704.7, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0292
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -13770.3, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0279
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -13732.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -13747.0, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0298
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -13743.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0281
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -13743.4, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -13728.9, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -13762.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -13691.8, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -13735.6, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0237
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -13724.9, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -13713.3, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -13753.3, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -13757.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0244
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -13815.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -13748.3, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -13744.4, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -13744.4, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -13731.7, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -13814.4, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -13749.4, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -13748.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -13775.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -13790.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -13769.0, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -13799.6, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0212
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -13809.8, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0191
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -13784.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -13769.2, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -13794.2, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0211
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -13832.1, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -13822.9, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -13765.2, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -13773.4, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -13747.8, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -13829.0, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -13785.2, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -13815.9, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -13773.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -13867.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -13760.1, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -13809.5, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -13782.6, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -13779.7, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -13827.9, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -13799.1, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -13786.4, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -13789.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -13798.4, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -13759.4, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -13728.4, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -13785.6, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -13819.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -13805.7, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -13815.8, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -13795.1, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -13790.1, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -13831.7, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -13803.5, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -13750.6, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -13766.7, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -13765.5, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -13828.1, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -13757.9, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -13804.2, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -13819.8, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -13796.6, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -13752.9, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -13848.6, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -13777.5, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -13769.0, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -13787.5, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -13888.1, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -13840.5, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -13891.3, AR(1.33) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0150
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -13762.0, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -13802.7, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -13853.9, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -13861.1, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -13810.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -13851.1, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -13802.3, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -13809.8, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -13804.1, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -13815.3, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -13822.1, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0169
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -13493.2, AR(1.83) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.1604
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -13442.9, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.56], Max-Change = 0.0823
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -13408.2, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.49; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0655
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -13467.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.29], Max-Change = 0.0506
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -13400.2, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0506
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -13395.9, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.50; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0465
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -13369.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.49; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0366
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -13362.0, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.49; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0268
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -13367.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.50; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0292
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -13330.2, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.49; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0274
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -13346.5, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -13302.7, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0328
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -13338.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.50; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0200
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -13300.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.49; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -13291.7, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -13306.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0238
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -13248.0, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -13345.1, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.50; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -13289.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -13317.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -13341.9, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -13278.0, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0210
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -13250.0, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.49; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0241
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -13276.7, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.50; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -13309.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -13297.1, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -13235.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -13255.1, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -13259.0, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -13193.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0176
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -13237.8, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.49; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -13225.5, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -13264.5, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -13256.0, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.11], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -13204.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.45; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -13236.9, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -13257.7, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -13235.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -13226.0, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -13272.2, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.45; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -13287.1, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -13224.9, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -13243.2, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -13220.9, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.45; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -13229.0, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.49; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -13264.5, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -13253.7, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -13229.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -13239.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -13214.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -13199.9, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.45; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 151, CDLL = -13226.1, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.45; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 1 = 152, CDLL = -13200.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.45; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 153, CDLL = -13166.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 154, CDLL = -13213.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 1 = 155, CDLL = -13215.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.27], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 156, CDLL = -13182.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 157, CDLL = -13280.2, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 158, CDLL = -13204.9, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 1 = 159, CDLL = -13197.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.08], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 160, CDLL = -13247.1, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.45; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 161, CDLL = -13188.2, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 1 = 162, CDLL = -13197.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 1 = 163, CDLL = -13170.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 1 = 164, CDLL = -13241.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 1 = 165, CDLL = -13208.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 166, CDLL = -13197.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 167, CDLL = -13230.1, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 1 = 168, CDLL = -13186.9, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.49; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 169, CDLL = -13190.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 170, CDLL = -13202.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 171, CDLL = -13216.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 1 = 172, CDLL = -13223.8, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 173, CDLL = -13159.7, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 174, CDLL = -13195.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 175, CDLL = -13146.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 1 = 176, CDLL = -13164.5, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.43; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 177, CDLL = -13218.1, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.11], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 1 = 178, CDLL = -13280.5, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 1 = 179, CDLL = -13229.2, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 1 = 180, CDLL = -13255.0, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 1 = 181, CDLL = -13180.2, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 1 = 182, CDLL = -13214.7, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0119
Stage 1 = 183, CDLL = -13220.1, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 184, CDLL = -13231.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 185, CDLL = -13257.9, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 1 = 186, CDLL = -13262.7, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 187, CDLL = -13233.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 188, CDLL = -13220.3, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 189, CDLL = -13207.0, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.49; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 1 = 190, CDLL = -13194.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.45; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 1 = 191, CDLL = -13283.1, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0207
Stage 1 = 192, CDLL = -13223.7, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 193, CDLL = -13274.6, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 194, CDLL = -13256.7, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 1 = 195, CDLL = -13259.7, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 1 = 196, CDLL = -13244.0, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.45; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 197, CDLL = -13243.4, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.46; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 198, CDLL = -13215.9, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.48; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 199, CDLL = -13267.5, AR(1.83; 0.10) = [0.47; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 200, CDLL = -13260.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -13189.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -13180.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -13259.6, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -13187.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -13217.1, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -13230.9, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -13238.5, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -13271.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -13197.1, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -13205.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -13221.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -13172.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -13207.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -13172.9, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -13220.6, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -13237.5, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -13207.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -13207.5, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -13237.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -13210.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -13226.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -13214.6, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -13197.6, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -13202.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -13241.5, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -13268.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -13198.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.51], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -13214.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -13232.6, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -13164.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -13162.9, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -13203.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -13267.6, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.53], Max-Change = 0.0119
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -13181.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -13194.9, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -13234.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -13223.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -13202.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -13239.3, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -13211.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -13218.1, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -13181.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -13202.9, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -13207.9, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -13221.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -13183.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -13199.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -13198.1, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -13197.1, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -13217.6, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -13223.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -13231.5, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -13256.3, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -13232.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -13256.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -13261.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -13256.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -13200.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -13207.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -13140.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -13265.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -13152.3, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -13275.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -13155.5, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -13227.3, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -13190.3, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -13228.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -13252.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -13207.6, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -13210.9, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -13188.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -13209.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -13187.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -13235.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -13244.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -13235.9, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -13231.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -13250.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -13264.1, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -13210.9, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -13208.3, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -13245.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -13199.3, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -13200.1, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -13264.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -13184.9, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -13160.1, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -13197.6, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -13157.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -13172.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -13242.1, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -13165.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -13250.1, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -13268.3, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -13239.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -13129.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -13245.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -13225.9, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -13218.3, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -13149.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -13174.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.51], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -13150.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.54], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -13151.7, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -13220.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.39], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -13193.4, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.39], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -13199.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.46], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -13239.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.47], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0002
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -13262.0, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.43], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -13248.1, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.48], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -13243.2, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.44], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -13199.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.45], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0003
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -13218.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.37], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -13234.6, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.37], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -13194.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.46], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -13221.8, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -13216.3, AR(2.73; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.37], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0003
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(mod1)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = dat, covdata = covdata, model = 1, fixed = ~0 +
#> items, random = ~1 | group)
#>
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1
#> F1 1.02
#>
#> $group
#> COV_group
#> COV_group 0.853
#>
# include level 2 predictor for 'group' variance
covdata$group_pred <- rep(random_intercept, each = N/cluster)
mod2 <- mixedmirt(dat, covdata, 1, fixed = ~ 0 + items + group_pred, random = ~ 1|group)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -14414.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -14150.1, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -13926.2, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.1797
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -13787.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1540
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -13621.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.1292
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -13536.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1114
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -13499.7, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0981
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -13424.3, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0797
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -13395.2, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0726
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -13308.8, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0565
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -13352.6, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0436
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -13328.8, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0397
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -13326.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0353
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -13297.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0313
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -13323.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -13305.2, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0326
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -13275.2, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0265
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -13301.1, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0204
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -13316.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0212
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -13246.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0173
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -13280.4, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -13224.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -13258.3, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -13252.3, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -13228.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -13262.7, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -13246.8, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -13296.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -13205.8, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -13205.9, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -13226.0, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -13184.5, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -13202.2, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -13192.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -13178.9, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -13203.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -13207.6, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -13186.5, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -13232.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -13218.3, AR(1.33) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -13249.0, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -13228.0, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -13251.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -13229.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -13238.9, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -13222.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -13189.0, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -13188.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -13230.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -13248.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -13252.9, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -13198.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -13283.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -13222.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -13213.2, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -13184.2, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -13223.5, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -13228.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -13226.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -13210.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -13179.0, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -13237.8, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -13225.4, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -13166.1, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -13211.1, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -13219.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -13170.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -13224.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -13242.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -13226.4, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -13271.8, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -13252.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -13218.1, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -13189.8, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -13200.9, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -13209.2, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -13201.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -13204.9, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -13220.2, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -13226.8, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -13182.4, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -13198.2, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -13179.9, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -13220.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -13220.8, AR(1.33) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -13240.0, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -13239.0, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -13247.3, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -13163.1, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -13210.7, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -13277.0, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -13270.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -13226.3, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -13199.2, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -13145.9, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -13205.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -13172.1, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -13212.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -13194.0, AR(1.33) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -13186.7, AR(1.46) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0172
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -13177.2, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.58], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -13185.2, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -13211.5, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.48; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.1757
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -13184.8, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.47; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.1798
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -13201.9, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.1665
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -13187.5, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -13211.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -13193.7, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -13172.1, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -13199.5, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -13192.1, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -13196.6, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -13153.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -13171.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -13197.2, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -13149.9, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -13180.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -13187.2, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -13191.4, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -13222.5, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -13219.8, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -13217.4, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.11], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -13208.6, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.53; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -13216.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -13235.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -13204.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -13198.8, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -13230.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -13203.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -13230.4, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -13165.7, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0161
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -13249.1, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.11], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -13237.4, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -13190.4, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -13231.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -13209.6, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -13231.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.52; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -13225.6, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -13286.1, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -13268.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -13230.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -13164.8, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -13162.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -13254.8, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -13220.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.52; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -13271.1, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -13221.2, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.52; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -13207.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -13215.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.07], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -13199.7, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 151, CDLL = -13205.4, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 1 = 152, CDLL = -13187.9, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.48; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 153, CDLL = -13139.7, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.48; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 154, CDLL = -13221.6, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 155, CDLL = -13205.2, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 156, CDLL = -13182.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.52; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 157, CDLL = -13229.6, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 158, CDLL = -13218.6, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 159, CDLL = -13176.5, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 160, CDLL = -13257.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.48; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 1 = 161, CDLL = -13199.2, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.11], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 1 = 162, CDLL = -13218.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.11], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 163, CDLL = -13119.4, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.52; 0.25], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 164, CDLL = -13218.9, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.05], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 1 = 165, CDLL = -13207.7, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 166, CDLL = -13169.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 167, CDLL = -13235.7, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.11], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 168, CDLL = -13229.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.09], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 169, CDLL = -13210.1, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 1 = 170, CDLL = -13214.3, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 171, CDLL = -13234.7, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 172, CDLL = -13205.7, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 173, CDLL = -13193.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 1 = 174, CDLL = -13193.4, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 175, CDLL = -13144.7, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 176, CDLL = -13208.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.48; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 1 = 177, CDLL = -13220.1, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 178, CDLL = -13257.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 179, CDLL = -13214.9, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.52; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 180, CDLL = -13200.9, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 181, CDLL = -13202.2, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 1 = 182, CDLL = -13264.9, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.11], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 1 = 183, CDLL = -13277.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.52; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 1 = 184, CDLL = -13183.4, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.48; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 185, CDLL = -13250.2, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 1 = 186, CDLL = -13245.6, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 1 = 187, CDLL = -13283.8, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 188, CDLL = -13215.2, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.52; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 1 = 189, CDLL = -13225.7, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 1 = 190, CDLL = -13183.1, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 191, CDLL = -13267.8, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.16], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 192, CDLL = -13246.9, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.52; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 1 = 193, CDLL = -13239.4, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.10], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 194, CDLL = -13215.1, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 195, CDLL = -13233.2, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.12], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 196, CDLL = -13242.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.48; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 197, CDLL = -13242.0, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.49; 0.15], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 198, CDLL = -13197.1, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.51; 0.11], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 199, CDLL = -13277.8, AR(1.46; 0.09) = [0.50; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 200, CDLL = -13223.6, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -13213.9, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -13187.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -13247.0, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -13213.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -13204.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -13252.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -13242.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -13245.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -13206.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -13192.6, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -13251.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -13177.1, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -13241.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -13152.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -13224.1, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -13204.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -13228.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -13186.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -13252.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -13223.5, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -13270.1, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -13218.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -13208.0, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -13214.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -13240.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -13281.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -13197.0, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.52], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -13227.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -13228.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -13228.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -13205.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -13202.5, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -13276.9, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -13210.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -13198.0, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -13212.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -13206.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -13226.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -13281.1, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -13227.0, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -13202.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -13184.0, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0140
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -13206.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -13202.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -13223.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -13220.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -13206.1, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -13240.6, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -13223.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -13238.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -13262.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -13293.1, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -13254.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -13231.9, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -13250.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -13273.0, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -13274.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -13195.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -13225.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -13192.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -13301.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -13186.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -13294.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -13184.6, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -13233.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -13230.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -13212.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -13266.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -13223.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -13204.0, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -13196.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -13224.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0009
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -13204.9, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -13247.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -13242.5, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -13265.6, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -13213.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -13231.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -13256.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -13199.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -13230.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -13270.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -13263.9, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -13206.0, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -13275.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -13226.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -13189.0, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -13215.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -13159.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0133
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -13189.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -13245.9, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -13230.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -13248.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -13262.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -13265.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -13139.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -13241.9, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -13240.5, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -13196.3, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -13197.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -13209.9, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.38], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -13200.4, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.46], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -13177.2, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.32], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -13243.5, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.30], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -13216.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.36], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -13216.1, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -13234.7, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -13251.8, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -13273.1, AR(2.77; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.42], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0004
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
# including group means predicts nearly all variability in 'group'
summary(mod2)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = dat, covdata = covdata, model = 1, fixed = ~0 +
#> items + group_pred, random = ~1 | group)
#>
#> --------------
#> FIXED EFFECTS:
#> Estimate Std.Error z.value
#> group_pred 1.017 0.05 20.282
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1
#> F1 1.04
#>
#> $group
#> COV_group
#> COV_group 0.0335
#>
anova(mod1, mod2)
#> AIC SABIC HQ BIC logLik X2 df p
#> mod1 23548.80 23577.89 23573.48 23616.01 -11762.40
#> mod2 22744.85 22776.36 22771.59 22817.66 -11359.43 805.95 1 0
# can also be fit for Rasch/non-Rasch models with the lr.random input
mod1b <- mixedmirt(dat, covdata, 1, fixed = ~ 0 + items, lr.random = ~ 1|group)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -14414.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -14191.9, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -13998.9, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1825
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -13933.3, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.1571
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -13797.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.1285
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -13757.3, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.1118
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -13749.6, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0969
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -13686.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0772
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -13664.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0708
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -13677.4, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0561
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -13689.5, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0421
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -13685.0, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0388
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -13697.3, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0371
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -13704.7, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0292
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -13770.3, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0279
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -13732.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -13747.0, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0298
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -13743.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0281
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -13743.4, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -13728.9, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0170
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -13762.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -13691.8, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0178
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -13735.6, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0237
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -13724.9, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -13713.3, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0213
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -13753.3, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -13757.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0244
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -13815.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -13748.3, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -13744.4, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -13744.4, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -13731.7, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -13814.4, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -13749.4, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -13748.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -13775.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -13790.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -13769.0, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -13799.6, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0212
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -13809.8, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0191
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -13784.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -13769.2, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0017
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -13794.2, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0211
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -13832.1, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -13822.9, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -13765.2, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -13773.4, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -13747.8, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -13829.0, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -13785.2, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -13815.9, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -13773.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -13867.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -13760.1, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -13809.5, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -13782.6, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -13779.7, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -13827.9, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -13799.1, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -13786.4, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -13789.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -13798.4, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -13759.4, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -13728.4, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -13785.6, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -13819.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -13805.7, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -13815.8, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -13795.1, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -13790.1, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -13831.7, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -13803.5, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -13750.6, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -13766.7, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -13765.5, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0030
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -13828.1, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -13757.9, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -13804.2, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -13819.8, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -13796.6, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -13752.9, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -13848.6, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -13777.5, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -13769.0, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -13787.5, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -13888.1, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -13840.5, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -13891.3, AR(1.33) = [0.58], Max-Change = 0.0150
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -13762.0, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -13802.7, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -13853.9, AR(1.33) = [0.56], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -13861.1, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -13810.7, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -13851.1, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -13802.3, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -13809.8, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -13804.1, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -13815.3, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -13822.1, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0169
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -13636.5, AR(5.11) = [0.37], Max-Change = 0.0704
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -13630.5, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.96], Max-Change = 0.0689
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -13650.7, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.68], Max-Change = 0.0489
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -13706.7, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.55], Max-Change = 0.0433
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -13642.5, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.52], Max-Change = 0.0410
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -13671.6, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.57], Max-Change = 0.0380
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -13595.3, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.51], Max-Change = 0.0347
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -13640.4, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0321
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -13614.1, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -13652.1, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0249
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -13617.9, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0214
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -13576.2, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0182
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -13643.3, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0159
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -13647.7, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -13626.5, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -13620.3, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -13594.0, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.55], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -13644.7, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -13615.0, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -13613.6, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -13643.7, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -13614.8, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -13624.3, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -13607.7, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -13616.4, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -13608.6, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -13551.1, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.53], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -13574.3, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -13568.9, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -13528.0, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -13631.2, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -13579.1, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -13651.1, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -13611.5, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.32; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0090
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -13572.6, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -13580.2, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -13540.4, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -13584.9, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -13568.2, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -13615.5, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -13667.1, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -13625.0, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -13627.7, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -13603.5, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -13616.0, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.35; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -13592.4, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -13599.6, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0177
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -13574.9, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -13539.6, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.33; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -13517.0, AR(5.11; 0.00) = [0.34; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -14657.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.27], Max-Change = 0.0282
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -13622.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -13585.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -13561.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -13630.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0150
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -13603.5, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -13581.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -13589.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -13565.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -13620.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -13629.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0059
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -13537.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -13578.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -13566.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -13576.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -13573.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -13617.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -13611.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -13574.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0240
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -13538.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -13530.4, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -13506.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -13562.4, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -13604.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -13576.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -13522.3, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -13514.9, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0208
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -13538.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -13542.9, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -13559.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -13551.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -13550.0, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -13607.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -13505.0, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -13606.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -13522.3, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -13528.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -13598.9, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -13555.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -13577.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -13630.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -13599.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -13590.4, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -13576.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -13587.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -13592.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -13606.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -13617.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -13582.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -13569.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -13570.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -13565.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -13505.3, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -13568.0, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -13570.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -13548.0, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -13550.5, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -13598.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -13557.4, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -13510.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -13552.5, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -13608.0, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -13577.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -13584.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -13499.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -13523.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -13542.3, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -13591.9, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -13547.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -13608.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0180
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -13565.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -13601.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -13568.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -13578.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -13566.4, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -13592.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -13600.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -13534.9, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -13556.0, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -13588.9, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0056
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -13552.3, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -13539.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -13542.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -13626.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -13536.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -13551.4, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -13561.3, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -13570.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.36; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0027
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -13579.5, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -13616.4, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -13603.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -13564.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -13516.3, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -13537.3, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -13579.0, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -13576.5, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -13560.7, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -13527.4, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -13548.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -13541.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.51], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -13583.9, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -13581.5, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.34], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -13598.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.46], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -13619.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.38], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -13563.5, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -13584.8, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.38], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -13599.2, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.38], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -13613.4, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.37], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -13560.4, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.39], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -13549.1, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -13542.3, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.44], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0006
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -13583.6, AR(3.53; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.33], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0006
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(mod1b)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = dat, covdata = covdata, model = 1, fixed = ~0 +
#> items, lr.random = ~1 | group)
#>
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1
#> F1 1.54
#>
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $group
#> COV_group
#> COV_group 1.45
#>
mod2b <- mixedmirt(dat, covdata, 1, fixed = ~ 0 + items + group_pred, lr.random = ~ 1|group)
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -14414.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -14150.1, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -13926.2, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.1797
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -13787.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1540
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -13621.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.1292
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -13536.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.1114
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -13499.7, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0981
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -13424.3, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0797
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -13395.2, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0726
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -13308.8, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0565
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -13352.6, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0436
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -13328.8, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0397
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -13326.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0353
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -13297.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0313
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -13323.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -13305.2, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0326
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -13275.2, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0265
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -13301.1, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0204
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -13316.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0212
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -13246.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0173
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -13280.4, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -13224.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -13258.3, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -13252.3, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -13228.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -13262.7, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -13246.8, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -13296.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -13205.8, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -13205.9, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -13226.0, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -13184.5, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -13202.2, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -13192.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -13178.9, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -13203.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0081
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -13207.6, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -13186.5, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -13232.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -13218.3, AR(1.33) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -13249.0, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -13228.0, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -13251.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -13229.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -13238.9, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -13222.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -13189.0, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -13188.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -13230.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0046
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -13248.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0074
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -13252.9, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0039
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -13198.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -13283.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -13222.8, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -13213.2, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0067
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -13184.2, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -13223.5, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0043
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -13228.5, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -13226.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -13210.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -13179.0, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -13237.8, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -13225.4, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -13166.1, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -13211.1, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -13219.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -13170.6, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -13224.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -13242.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -13226.4, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -13271.8, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -13252.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -13218.1, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -13189.8, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -13200.9, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -13209.2, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -13201.7, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -13204.9, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -13220.2, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -13226.8, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -13182.4, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -13198.2, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -13179.9, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -13220.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -13220.8, AR(1.33) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -13240.0, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -13239.0, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0022
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -13247.3, AR(1.33) = [0.55], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -13163.1, AR(1.33) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -13210.7, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -13277.0, AR(1.33) = [0.54], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -13270.6, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -13226.3, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0014
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -13199.2, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -13145.9, AR(1.33) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.0029
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -13205.4, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -13172.1, AR(1.33) = [0.51], Max-Change = 0.0053
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -13212.5, AR(1.33) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -13194.0, AR(1.33) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -14094.9, AR(1.48) = [0.53], Max-Change = 0.0504
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -14070.9, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.49; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0563
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -13797.7, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0438
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -13650.1, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.48; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0414
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -13531.8, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -13458.0, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.53; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -13408.4, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0674
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -13422.5, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0488
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -13429.3, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.1112
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -13358.1, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.50; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0397
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -13344.5, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -13416.7, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -13399.7, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0143
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -13306.9, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0157
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -13347.4, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -13385.7, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.27], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -13304.4, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0456
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -13324.3, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.53; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -13335.2, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -13410.3, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0286
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -13383.8, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.24], Max-Change = 0.0242
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -13335.0, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -13392.7, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.53; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0098
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -13351.3, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.54; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -13352.0, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0062
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -13371.0, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.50; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -13314.5, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.29], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -13353.2, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.27], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -13319.9, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -13298.4, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.50; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -13294.1, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0085
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -13258.8, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0268
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -13281.0, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -13310.2, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.49; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -13241.1, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.50; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -13287.1, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -13310.5, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.17], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -13291.3, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.53; 0.28], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -13265.8, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.50; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -13313.1, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.48; 0.19], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -13332.6, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -13284.4, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.50; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -13256.7, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.50; 0.18], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -13265.7, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.50; 0.13], Max-Change = 0.0078
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -13301.5, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.21], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -13251.3, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.51; 0.23], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -13301.2, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.50; 0.20], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -13255.2, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.53; 0.22], Max-Change = 0.0028
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -13251.7, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.50; 0.27], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -13265.2, AR(1.48; 0.04) = [0.52; 0.14], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -13415.5, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.29], Max-Change = 0.0032
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -13287.5, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -13278.6, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -13251.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -13314.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.27], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -13301.1, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -13278.1, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -13328.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -13272.8, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0052
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -13295.8, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -13312.5, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0057
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -13236.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -13252.5, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -13247.3, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -13297.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -13276.6, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -13306.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.51], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -13300.4, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0021
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -13315.8, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -13246.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0145
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -13294.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -13231.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -13304.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -13265.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -13295.4, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -13246.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -13229.3, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -13249.4, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -13233.4, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -13245.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -13302.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -13250.6, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0070
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -13294.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -13225.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -13292.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -13269.8, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0089
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -13259.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -13295.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.51], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -13274.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -13295.5, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -13359.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -13340.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0102
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -13275.3, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -13266.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -13244.3, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -13311.8, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0058
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -13302.5, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -13270.6, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -13289.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -13261.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0061
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -13313.6, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -13267.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -13203.6, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -13273.5, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0087
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -13259.3, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0036
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -13233.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -13255.6, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -13261.1, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0041
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -13296.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -13222.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0051
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -13252.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -13279.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -13236.1, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -13265.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0055
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -13209.4, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -13257.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0049
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -13279.8, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -13236.6, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -13233.1, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0044
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -13282.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0080
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -13301.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -13312.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -13244.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0054
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -13269.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0075
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -13273.1, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -13306.3, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -13328.5, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -13246.6, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.51], Max-Change = 0.0038
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -13277.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0108
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -13262.4, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -13278.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -13265.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -13255.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -13296.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -13259.6, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0063
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -13242.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -13232.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -13261.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0037
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -13258.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0064
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -13296.4, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -13262.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0068
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -13279.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.43; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0047
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -13255.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -13259.6, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0042
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -13278.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0045
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -13286.4, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0079
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -13268.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0060
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -13221.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0025
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -13251.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0040
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -13251.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0071
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -13276.3, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0033
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -13290.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -13286.8, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.49], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0065
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -13314.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.45], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0048
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -13285.4, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.46], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0016
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -13289.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.42], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -13299.7, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.36], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0018
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -13299.1, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.45], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -13264.1, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.45], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -13272.2, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.41], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -13246.5, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.45], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -13345.9, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.35], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0013
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -13235.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.44], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0007
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -13339.3, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.43], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -13240.5, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.50], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0004
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -13283.0, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0005
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -13283.3, AR(2.86; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.39], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0006
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(mod2b)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = dat, covdata = covdata, model = 1, fixed = ~0 +
#> items + group_pred, lr.random = ~1 | group)
#>
#> --------------
#> FIXED EFFECTS:
#> Estimate Std.Error z.value
#> group_pred 1.036 0.044 23.766
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1
#> F1 1.12
#>
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $group
#> COV_group
#> COV_group 0.1
#>
anova(mod1b, mod2b)
#> AIC SABIC HQ BIC logLik X2 df p
#> mod1b 23637.58 23664.24 23660.20 23699.19 -11807.79
#> mod2b 22749.34 22778.43 22774.02 22816.55 -11362.67 890.24 1 0
mod3 <- mixedmirt(dat, covdata, 1, fixed = ~ 0 + items, lr.random = ~ 1|group, itemtype = '2PL')
#>
Stage 1 = 1, CDLL = -14673.9, AR(1.59) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 2, CDLL = -14372.6, AR(1.59) = [0.50], Max-Change = 0.2000
Stage 1 = 3, CDLL = -14157.0, AR(1.59) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1738
Stage 1 = 4, CDLL = -14035.0, AR(1.59) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1500
Stage 1 = 5, CDLL = -13844.4, AR(1.59) = [0.49], Max-Change = 0.1263
Stage 1 = 6, CDLL = -13716.0, AR(1.59) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.1114
Stage 1 = 7, CDLL = -13623.5, AR(1.59) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.1014
Stage 1 = 8, CDLL = -13585.6, AR(1.59) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0822
Stage 1 = 9, CDLL = -13468.5, AR(1.59) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0827
Stage 1 = 10, CDLL = -13466.6, AR(1.59) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0623
Stage 1 = 11, CDLL = -13431.5, AR(1.59) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0533
Stage 1 = 12, CDLL = -13445.1, AR(1.59) = [0.48], Max-Change = 0.0476
Stage 1 = 13, CDLL = -13399.8, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0405
Stage 1 = 14, CDLL = -13390.5, AR(1.59) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0350
Stage 1 = 15, CDLL = -13361.1, AR(1.59) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0288
Stage 1 = 16, CDLL = -13344.6, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0341
Stage 1 = 17, CDLL = -13395.8, AR(1.59) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0200
Stage 1 = 18, CDLL = -13333.7, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0251
Stage 1 = 19, CDLL = -13413.1, AR(1.59) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0278
Stage 1 = 20, CDLL = -13274.4, AR(1.59) = [0.45], Max-Change = 0.0296
Stage 1 = 21, CDLL = -13292.9, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0227
Stage 1 = 22, CDLL = -13326.0, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0251
Stage 1 = 23, CDLL = -13325.8, AR(1.59) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 1 = 24, CDLL = -13296.4, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 1 = 25, CDLL = -13209.7, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0346
Stage 1 = 26, CDLL = -13262.1, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 27, CDLL = -13240.2, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 28, CDLL = -13269.5, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 1 = 29, CDLL = -13210.4, AR(1.59) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0234
Stage 1 = 30, CDLL = -13213.0, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0312
Stage 1 = 31, CDLL = -13220.4, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 1 = 32, CDLL = -13181.2, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0161
Stage 1 = 33, CDLL = -13190.1, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 1 = 34, CDLL = -13219.6, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0176
Stage 1 = 35, CDLL = -13179.3, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 1 = 36, CDLL = -13200.6, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0184
Stage 1 = 37, CDLL = -13204.8, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 1 = 38, CDLL = -13192.6, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0192
Stage 1 = 39, CDLL = -13267.7, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0312
Stage 1 = 40, CDLL = -13230.1, AR(1.59) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0234
Stage 1 = 41, CDLL = -13205.2, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0202
Stage 1 = 42, CDLL = -13227.6, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0160
Stage 1 = 43, CDLL = -13230.1, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0187
Stage 1 = 44, CDLL = -13216.3, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0125
Stage 1 = 45, CDLL = -13219.7, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0146
Stage 1 = 46, CDLL = -13245.8, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0210
Stage 1 = 47, CDLL = -13161.8, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 1 = 48, CDLL = -13200.0, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0280
Stage 1 = 49, CDLL = -13203.4, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 1 = 50, CDLL = -13183.6, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 1 = 51, CDLL = -13249.0, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0180
Stage 1 = 52, CDLL = -13228.3, AR(1.59) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 1 = 53, CDLL = -13236.3, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 1 = 54, CDLL = -13187.9, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0227
Stage 1 = 55, CDLL = -13208.9, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0190
Stage 1 = 56, CDLL = -13200.7, AR(1.59) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 1 = 57, CDLL = -13208.7, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0161
Stage 1 = 58, CDLL = -13223.1, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0179
Stage 1 = 59, CDLL = -13219.2, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0180
Stage 1 = 60, CDLL = -13197.3, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 61, CDLL = -13175.2, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0331
Stage 1 = 62, CDLL = -13210.5, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0150
Stage 1 = 63, CDLL = -13227.9, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 1 = 64, CDLL = -13200.8, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 1 = 65, CDLL = -13202.8, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 1 = 66, CDLL = -13175.0, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 1 = 67, CDLL = -13207.1, AR(1.59) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 68, CDLL = -13202.1, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0185
Stage 1 = 69, CDLL = -13210.4, AR(1.59) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0169
Stage 1 = 70, CDLL = -13163.0, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 1 = 71, CDLL = -13189.6, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0132
Stage 1 = 72, CDLL = -13181.7, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0220
Stage 1 = 73, CDLL = -13163.9, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0219
Stage 1 = 74, CDLL = -13166.1, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0216
Stage 1 = 75, CDLL = -13182.2, AR(1.59) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 1 = 76, CDLL = -13217.4, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0150
Stage 1 = 77, CDLL = -13161.3, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0161
Stage 1 = 78, CDLL = -13189.4, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0175
Stage 1 = 79, CDLL = -13210.5, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0191
Stage 1 = 80, CDLL = -13229.2, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0234
Stage 1 = 81, CDLL = -13135.8, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0195
Stage 1 = 82, CDLL = -13243.1, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 1 = 83, CDLL = -13195.0, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0264
Stage 1 = 84, CDLL = -13181.3, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 1 = 85, CDLL = -13140.6, AR(1.59) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0221
Stage 1 = 86, CDLL = -13195.2, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 1 = 87, CDLL = -13201.8, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0168
Stage 1 = 88, CDLL = -13207.5, AR(1.59) = [0.44], Max-Change = 0.0245
Stage 1 = 89, CDLL = -13138.2, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0215
Stage 1 = 90, CDLL = -13162.9, AR(1.59) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0192
Stage 1 = 91, CDLL = -13188.1, AR(1.59) = [0.43], Max-Change = 0.0181
Stage 1 = 92, CDLL = -13184.1, AR(1.59) = [0.40], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 1 = 93, CDLL = -13213.6, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0205
Stage 1 = 94, CDLL = -13176.2, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0155
Stage 1 = 95, CDLL = -13146.4, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 1 = 96, CDLL = -13172.3, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0185
Stage 1 = 97, CDLL = -13136.2, AR(1.59) = [0.41], Max-Change = 0.0150
Stage 1 = 98, CDLL = -13225.6, AR(1.59) = [0.42], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 99, CDLL = -13204.8, AR(1.59) = [0.39], Max-Change = 0.0210
Stage 1 = 100, CDLL = -13051.3, AR(1.04) = [0.52], Max-Change = 0.0473
Stage 1 = 101, CDLL = -13099.2, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.48; 0.98], Max-Change = 0.0461
Stage 1 = 102, CDLL = -13098.7, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.51; 0.75], Max-Change = 0.0412
Stage 1 = 103, CDLL = -13132.9, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.48; 0.65], Max-Change = 0.0413
Stage 1 = 104, CDLL = -13141.2, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.50; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0340
Stage 1 = 105, CDLL = -13127.7, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.53; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0316
Stage 1 = 106, CDLL = -13165.4, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.52; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0291
Stage 1 = 107, CDLL = -13210.9, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.52; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0308
Stage 1 = 108, CDLL = -13198.6, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.53; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0263
Stage 1 = 109, CDLL = -13237.7, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.52; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0238
Stage 1 = 110, CDLL = -13248.9, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.53; 0.50], Max-Change = 0.0303
Stage 1 = 111, CDLL = -13223.3, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.53; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0196
Stage 1 = 112, CDLL = -13277.9, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0270
Stage 1 = 113, CDLL = -13222.3, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.54; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 1 = 114, CDLL = -13252.3, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.55; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0199
Stage 1 = 115, CDLL = -13306.5, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.55; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0317
Stage 1 = 116, CDLL = -13247.9, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.54; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0225
Stage 1 = 117, CDLL = -13269.8, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 1 = 118, CDLL = -13263.3, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.55; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 1 = 119, CDLL = -13286.0, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.54; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0186
Stage 1 = 120, CDLL = -13348.2, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0191
Stage 1 = 121, CDLL = -13292.8, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.55; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 1 = 122, CDLL = -13393.2, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.57; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 1 = 123, CDLL = -13340.7, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.57; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 1 = 124, CDLL = -13383.4, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.55; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0193
Stage 1 = 125, CDLL = -13407.7, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.54; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 1 = 126, CDLL = -13337.4, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 1 = 127, CDLL = -13328.3, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.55; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 1 = 128, CDLL = -13316.9, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 129, CDLL = -13329.4, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.54; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 130, CDLL = -13339.6, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.58; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 1 = 131, CDLL = -13323.7, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 1 = 132, CDLL = -13403.7, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0167
Stage 1 = 133, CDLL = -13398.1, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0127
Stage 1 = 134, CDLL = -13318.8, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.55; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0201
Stage 1 = 135, CDLL = -13383.7, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 136, CDLL = -13405.1, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.58; 0.30], Max-Change = 0.0136
Stage 1 = 137, CDLL = -13332.5, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 1 = 138, CDLL = -13412.1, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.54; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0236
Stage 1 = 139, CDLL = -13434.0, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.54; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0105
Stage 1 = 140, CDLL = -13445.5, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.57; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 1 = 141, CDLL = -13392.5, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0112
Stage 1 = 142, CDLL = -13396.6, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.55; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0255
Stage 1 = 143, CDLL = -13384.8, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.55; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 1 = 144, CDLL = -13395.7, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0084
Stage 1 = 145, CDLL = -13384.7, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.57; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0166
Stage 1 = 146, CDLL = -13417.6, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.56; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 1 = 147, CDLL = -13389.0, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.58; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 1 = 148, CDLL = -13408.6, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.55; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 1 = 149, CDLL = -13387.4, AR(1.04; 0.00) = [0.57; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0116
Stage 1 = 150, CDLL = -14250.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.26], Max-Change = 0.0607
Stage 2 = 1, CDLL = -13380.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 2 = 2, CDLL = -13427.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 2 = 3, CDLL = -13424.2, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0147
Stage 2 = 4, CDLL = -13477.5, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 2 = 5, CDLL = -13473.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 2 = 6, CDLL = -13489.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0167
Stage 2 = 7, CDLL = -13467.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 8, CDLL = -13385.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0197
Stage 2 = 9, CDLL = -13426.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.29], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 2 = 10, CDLL = -13473.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0129
Stage 2 = 11, CDLL = -13381.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 2 = 12, CDLL = -13361.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 2 = 13, CDLL = -13363.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 2 = 14, CDLL = -13426.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0050
Stage 2 = 15, CDLL = -13383.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 16, CDLL = -13447.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0109
Stage 2 = 17, CDLL = -13428.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 2 = 18, CDLL = -13432.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0118
Stage 2 = 19, CDLL = -13366.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 2 = 20, CDLL = -13366.9, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0092
Stage 2 = 21, CDLL = -13365.9, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.49], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 2 = 22, CDLL = -13420.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 2 = 23, CDLL = -13383.9, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0123
Stage 2 = 24, CDLL = -13458.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0128
Stage 2 = 25, CDLL = -13373.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.55], Max-Change = 0.0101
Stage 2 = 26, CDLL = -13341.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0093
Stage 2 = 27, CDLL = -13334.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0131
Stage 2 = 28, CDLL = -13354.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0152
Stage 2 = 29, CDLL = -13364.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0073
Stage 2 = 30, CDLL = -13386.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 31, CDLL = -13385.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 2 = 32, CDLL = -13394.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0141
Stage 2 = 33, CDLL = -13339.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 2 = 34, CDLL = -13406.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 2 = 35, CDLL = -13361.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0183
Stage 2 = 36, CDLL = -13352.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 2 = 37, CDLL = -13372.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 38, CDLL = -13371.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0208
Stage 2 = 39, CDLL = -13367.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0086
Stage 2 = 40, CDLL = -13443.5, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0149
Stage 2 = 41, CDLL = -13396.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0069
Stage 2 = 42, CDLL = -13372.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 2 = 43, CDLL = -13397.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 2 = 44, CDLL = -13340.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0139
Stage 2 = 45, CDLL = -13418.2, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 2 = 46, CDLL = -13424.5, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0094
Stage 2 = 47, CDLL = -13386.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0104
Stage 2 = 48, CDLL = -13381.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0130
Stage 2 = 49, CDLL = -13387.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0095
Stage 2 = 50, CDLL = -13369.5, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.45], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 2 = 51, CDLL = -13363.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0144
Stage 2 = 52, CDLL = -13311.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0103
Stage 2 = 53, CDLL = -13415.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 2 = 54, CDLL = -13397.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0168
Stage 2 = 55, CDLL = -13318.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 2 = 56, CDLL = -13411.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0091
Stage 2 = 57, CDLL = -13382.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0100
Stage 2 = 58, CDLL = -13415.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 2 = 59, CDLL = -13340.9, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0162
Stage 2 = 60, CDLL = -13386.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0082
Stage 2 = 61, CDLL = -13433.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0097
Stage 2 = 62, CDLL = -13358.5, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.48], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 2 = 63, CDLL = -13377.5, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0198
Stage 2 = 64, CDLL = -13343.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.47], Max-Change = 0.0207
Stage 2 = 65, CDLL = -13357.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 2 = 66, CDLL = -13377.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0158
Stage 2 = 67, CDLL = -13400.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0121
Stage 2 = 68, CDLL = -13334.5, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0188
Stage 2 = 69, CDLL = -13420.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0107
Stage 2 = 70, CDLL = -13375.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0114
Stage 2 = 71, CDLL = -13412.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.33], Max-Change = 0.0156
Stage 2 = 72, CDLL = -13395.9, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0122
Stage 2 = 73, CDLL = -13372.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0133
Stage 2 = 74, CDLL = -13363.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.31], Max-Change = 0.0126
Stage 2 = 75, CDLL = -13419.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.27], Max-Change = 0.0077
Stage 2 = 76, CDLL = -13461.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.32], Max-Change = 0.0111
Stage 2 = 77, CDLL = -13346.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.43], Max-Change = 0.0134
Stage 2 = 78, CDLL = -13394.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0164
Stage 2 = 79, CDLL = -13381.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 2 = 80, CDLL = -13344.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0115
Stage 2 = 81, CDLL = -13335.5, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.34], Max-Change = 0.0137
Stage 2 = 82, CDLL = -13365.2, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0124
Stage 2 = 83, CDLL = -13423.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0099
Stage 2 = 84, CDLL = -13329.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 2 = 85, CDLL = -13335.9, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0096
Stage 2 = 86, CDLL = -13370.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0151
Stage 2 = 87, CDLL = -13384.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0135
Stage 2 = 88, CDLL = -13386.9, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.35], Max-Change = 0.0120
Stage 2 = 89, CDLL = -13399.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0106
Stage 2 = 90, CDLL = -13392.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.39], Max-Change = 0.0117
Stage 2 = 91, CDLL = -13337.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0133
Stage 2 = 92, CDLL = -13371.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0083
Stage 2 = 93, CDLL = -13368.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.44], Max-Change = 0.0150
Stage 2 = 94, CDLL = -13390.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.41], Max-Change = 0.0153
Stage 2 = 95, CDLL = -13390.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.46], Max-Change = 0.0076
Stage 2 = 96, CDLL = -13373.2, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.37], Max-Change = 0.0113
Stage 2 = 97, CDLL = -13350.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.36], Max-Change = 0.0138
Stage 2 = 98, CDLL = -13337.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.38], Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 2 = 99, CDLL = -13342.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.42], Max-Change = 0.0066
Stage 2 = 100, CDLL = -13395.9, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.40], Max-Change = 0.0110
Stage 3 = 1, CDLL = -13404.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.36], gam = 0.0000, Max-Change = 0.0000
Stage 3 = 2, CDLL = -13401.5, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.38], gam = 0.1778, Max-Change = 0.0088
Stage 3 = 3, CDLL = -13471.2, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.34], gam = 0.1057, Max-Change = 0.0072
Stage 3 = 4, CDLL = -13394.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.39], gam = 0.0780, Max-Change = 0.0034
Stage 3 = 5, CDLL = -13417.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.34], gam = 0.0629, Max-Change = 0.0035
Stage 3 = 6, CDLL = -13429.9, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.37; 0.37], gam = 0.0532, Max-Change = 0.0031
Stage 3 = 7, CDLL = -13415.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.32], gam = 0.0464, Max-Change = 0.0023
Stage 3 = 8, CDLL = -13389.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.42], gam = 0.0413, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 9, CDLL = -13392.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.35], gam = 0.0374, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 10, CDLL = -13372.1, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.41; 0.35], gam = 0.0342, Max-Change = 0.0024
Stage 3 = 11, CDLL = -13446.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.33], gam = 0.0316, Max-Change = 0.0020
Stage 3 = 12, CDLL = -13374.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.30], gam = 0.0294, Max-Change = 0.0011
Stage 3 = 13, CDLL = -13451.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.34], gam = 0.0276, Max-Change = 0.0026
Stage 3 = 14, CDLL = -13355.0, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.39], gam = 0.0260, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 15, CDLL = -13367.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.36], gam = 0.0246, Max-Change = 0.0019
Stage 3 = 16, CDLL = -13400.2, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.40; 0.26], gam = 0.0233, Max-Change = 0.0010
Stage 3 = 17, CDLL = -13380.3, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.42], gam = 0.0222, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 18, CDLL = -13413.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.29], gam = 0.0212, Max-Change = 0.0015
Stage 3 = 19, CDLL = -13376.4, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.38; 0.35], gam = 0.0203, Max-Change = 0.0012
Stage 3 = 20, CDLL = -13393.8, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.42; 0.27], gam = 0.0195, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 21, CDLL = -13368.6, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.35], gam = 0.0188, Max-Change = 0.0008
Stage 3 = 22, CDLL = -13389.7, AR(3.03; 0.00) = [0.39; 0.36], gam = 0.0181, Max-Change = 0.0008
#>
#> Calculating information matrix...
#>
#> Calculating log-likelihood...
summary(mod3)
#>
#> Call:
#> mixedmirt(data = dat, covdata = covdata, model = 1, fixed = ~0 +
#> items, itemtype = "2PL", lr.random = ~1 | group)
#>
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $Theta
#> F1
#> F1 1
#>
#>
#> --------------
#> RANDOM EFFECT COVARIANCE(S):
#> Correlations on upper diagonal
#>
#> $group
#> COV_group
#> COV_group 1
#>
anova(mod1b, mod3)
#> AIC SABIC HQ BIC logLik X2 df p
#> mod1b 23637.58 23664.24 23660.20 23699.19 -11807.79
#> mod3 23571.39 23619.87 23612.52 23683.41 -11765.69 84.189 9 0
head(cbind(randef(mod3)$group, random_intercept))
#> group random_intercept
#> G1 1.1491873 1.51178117
#> G2 -0.4599634 0.38984324
#> G3 -0.5315804 -0.62124058
#> G4 -2.4771853 -2.21469989
#> G5 0.6369300 1.12493092
#> G6 -0.6300873 -0.04493361
# }